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Mr. Bitter 640 Posts (387 )
2 minute(s) ago - hide

TEN +3

The Raiders are destined to bat leadoff in the '26 NFL Draft, meaning both the Giants and Titans will win one of their remaining games. NYG will beat LV next week, while TEN will beat KC straight up today.

I know that TEN sucks, but KC is staggered right now. The O-line is in tatters, they have no running game, and the only viable passing targets for Minshew are (bust?) Xavier Worthy and the ghost of Travis Kelce. Key injuries are peppered along the KC defensive depth chart. TEN 20 KC 17

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iEatCrayons 2 Posts (1 )
57 minute(s) ago - hide
Top Picks for Sunday

Judkins under 66.5 Yds - 2 OL out, Sanders no Pass threat + Bills best DB back, +10 spread/script.  I just don't see it.

Titans +7 teaser w many.   KC favored on RD? 1-5 this year + Injuries + Minshew + Tank?.  TEN 0-7 at home that is why +7

CIN -2.5 teaser w many.  Burrows+Chase,Higgins,Brown vs MIA Ewers yikes.  Archane can maybe blow this up but I am from Texas, he is scared under pressure.  Yeah CIN D isn't great but underrated IMO - 3,4,3 Sacks last 3 weeks.

Many Teasers with SD+6.5, DET -3, IND under 24.5 
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iEatCrayons 1 Posts (0)
3 day(s) 3 hour(s) ago - hide
My Top Pick of the Week 

LAR over 20.5 
LAR ML
Also, Teased LAR +3 wCHI +7, PHI ML, Chargers +4 combos 

LAR on a heater,  Scored 41,45,28,34,21,42,34,35 last 8 weeks but yes no DA has some impact.
Have doubts about SEA D played Rivers, Cousins, Max Bro, Ward.  + No best OL Cross, No Run Game, Darnold+LAR pass rush + Suck at being pressured + Windy/Rain day. 

Sharps pushing this to SEA -2 today.  I must be missing something - Maybe the delayed LAR flight has impact?

Tell me what am I missing.      
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Billl2021 17 Posts (5 )
3 day(s) 1 hour(s) ago - hide

@iEatCrayons 

You are missing the 12th man! That place is going to get crazy if the Rams don't keep them quiet by controlling the game. Plus Sam threw four picks in the 1st game and only lost by 2. 

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Mr. Bitter 638 Posts (387 )
3 day(s) 1 hour(s) ago - hide

@Billl2021 

The thing is, Sam never shows up in big games.

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Mr. Bitter 638 Posts (387 )
3 day(s) 1 hour(s) ago - hide

@iEatCrayons 

I'm with you. Rams are the right side, even with Adams OUT. (For what it's worth, Adams only had 1 catch for one yard last time these teams met.)

SEA cannot establish the run. Cross is OUT. Darnold falls apart under pressure, while Stafford is gunning for MVP. The only hope for SEA is a completely dominant defensive performance. 

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iEatCrayons 0 Posts (0)
3 day(s) 1 hour(s) ago - hide

@Billl2021 

Note:
SEA 13-11 in home games last 3 years

We can also pick and choose outliners stats,

Matt -- try to find out how many games of the 330 games he started which he only threw 130 Yards...  it's less then that # of 4 INT games for SD

Should be a good game though....  Honestly, Im more of a Seattle fan, I just don't know how this is -2 for SEA.  I think LAR wins 6-12 pts.  That is why I am asking what does vegas see that I don't.   I probably will lose this knowing this. 

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Billl2021 18 Posts (7 )
3 day(s) 0 hour(s) ago - hide

@iEatCrayons 

The line opened Rams -1.5. There was big money put on Seattle to move that line 3 points. That is why it is called gambling!

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Billl2021 18 Posts (7 )
3 day(s) 0 hour(s) ago - hide

@Mr. Bitter 

That is old Sam. New Sam has a damn good record the last 2 years between Minnesota and Seattle

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Billl2021 20 Posts (7 )
2 day(s) 3 hour(s) ago - hide

@iEatCrayons 

Sick backdoor win but at least the +1.5 betters got paid. I don;t think Sam saw ghosts last night. He is turning into the real deal.

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dawsonseto 0 Posts (3 )
21 hour(s) 55 minute(s) ago - hide

@Billl2021 

Yeah, thought I had LAR ML in the bag.   Nevertheless, even though SEA might win division, any rematch - i still see LAR as a much stronger team.  

At least my LAR over and LAR teasers are in play.  

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Broncoswinn55 1 Posts (1 )
4 day(s) 15 hour(s) ago - hide
Broncos undefeated at home, 11 game win streak, lol must like losing money. Love laughing at your mistakes picking against Denver . Shows your knowledge of nfl football is 5th grade level 
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broncoselway 20 Posts (3 )
4 day(s) 17 hour(s) ago - hide
Oh by the way you are wrong about the Broncos they have everything to play for, and they have the better QB too. If the Jags win, they hold the tiebreaker over Denver if they are tied at the end of the season for the #1 seed you really need to get your facts straight. Why do you hate Bo he is a great QB, and he is proving every week as the season goes on?
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broncoselway 20 Posts (3 )
4 day(s) 17 hour(s) ago - hide
Walt, when it comes to football you should listen to your friend Andy, he is a very smart man.
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broncoselway 20 Posts (3 )
4 day(s) 17 hour(s) ago - hide
Walt, you seem like you are a very slow learner when it comes to the Broncos but that's ok some people never learn. You keep on hating and Denver keep on winning thanks Walt, I love it! Oh, by the way you should listen to your friend Andy he is a very smart man unlike you.
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joedchi 0 Posts (0)
7 day(s) 0 hour(s) ago - hide
How is it a look ahead spot for the Bears but not the Packers? If GB beats Chicago next week, they sweep them and own the tiebreaker although the tiebreaker probably doesn't come into play with the Packers having a tie.
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Mr. Bitter 638 Posts (387 )
7 day(s) 1 hour(s) ago - hide

Fav plays:

BAL/CIN  U51.5

CHI -7.5  Proper Sanders implosion incoming. Thuney/Dalman/Jackson will do work against a CLE interior D struggling without Collins, and Graham hurting. Another big game from the CHI RBs.

JAX -12  "We quit" game from the battered Jets, while Jax is getting into a lather. Blowout. 

BUF -1  Josh Allen - looking to make his MVP case - in a snow game. Revenge for BUF as Bosa and Rosseau take turns on Vederian Lowe.

DET +6  Just a hunch that this is a FG game. DET's battered secondary is concerning, but we've seen their backups step up before. Goff indoors and Gibbs on a rug allow Lions to keep up.

SEA -13.5  Betting that Indy's Philip Rivers Hail Mary is a disaster from the jump. Four TOs from Rivers sounds about right.

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42yardline 40 Posts (11 )
11 day(s) 14 hour(s) ago - hide
 Best tease of the year- for week 15  Jax and Sea. Not putting the house on it, but definitely the cottage.
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Baird 109 Posts (73 )
9 day(s) 14 hour(s) ago - hide

@42yardline 

I'm w you on the Jags game. They're one of my top plays on teasers this week, but I'm skeptical on Seattle.

Dont get me wrong, I'm going to hit a few 6.5 teasers w SEA, Jags, PIT, NYG, etc... All the games that the extra 1/2 point make sense. I dont know if its the flooding in Seattle or the LARs game on TNF for the div lead but I'm sure we're not going to see a 100% effort from the Seahawks.

If they go up by 2 scores late in the 4th do they pull players for the real game on Thurs?

They're playing a non-conference opponent with no QB - how jacked are they going to be? Buckner may be back, but I cant get past the fact that Ward just went on IR and Sauce prob wont play. JSN should shine... BUT in the rain?

I'm going to tread lightly on SEA (6.5 teasers and ML parlays) - GL

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Mr. Bitter 638 Posts (387 )
7 day(s) 22 hour(s) ago - hide

@Baird 

I feel confident that SEA will blow out IND. Rivers is starting, which is comically desperate. Coming out of a five-year retirement, he gets to face the best D in the NFL in a potential monsoon and without RT Braden Smith. There may be so many IND turnovers, SEA may cover even if not fully focused. I just have visions of that SEA D running fumbles and INTs into the EZ throughout the game.

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Baird 109 Posts (73 )
7 day(s) 14 hour(s) ago - hide

@Mr. Bitter - I hope youre right. I went against myself and threw down bigger than I wanted on SEA -7 (6.5 teasers + ML parlays).

I cant get past INDs O-line+Taylor and the big TNF game SEA has. I'm over thinking it.

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Mr. Bitter 638 Posts (387 )
7 day(s) 2 hour(s) ago - hide

@Baird 

I'm going heavy on SEA. For me, it's all about fading Rivers. I'm not gonna wait to see how he fares when all logic points toward a disaster right from the jump. Gonna get out ahead of it. If I'm wrong on Rivers, then so be it. But I don't think I will be.

SEA definitely has one eye toward the Rams, so I'd lay off if Riley Leonard was starting. At least he's functional and can do some things with his wheels. Rivers is just a sitting duck vs. that swarming SEA front seven. I'm with Walt - to expect anything but disaster for Rivers is fairy tale land. 

Not too worried about Taylor vs. an elite SEA run D that recently folded Jarran Reed back into the mix. Taylor has faded since Indy's problems at QB began anyway.

For what it's worth, SEA is 10-3 ATS, including 3-1 ATS in games I deemed "flat" spots. MacDonald has them playing consistent ball. That said, I'm on the Rams -1 on TNF. LA has SEA's number.  

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BigSmoke420 2 Posts (0)
7 day(s) 22 hour(s) ago - hide

I agree that Mina Kimes isn't a great evaluator of the QB position but the fact you bring her up week after week anytime you evaluate the Raiders (even when Geno is injured and not starting lol) screams that she lives in your head rent free.

Constantly bringing up the DEI  thing also just makes it sounds like your more bothered that she's a Asian woman covering football than her actual analysis and takes. Quit yapping about other media ppl that get more attention than you and focus on football lil bro. 

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DoctorJ 16 Posts (12 )
10 day(s) 16 hour(s) ago - hide
One game that I believe you may have missed an important detail is Buffalo @ New England.  The Patriots will be returning from their Bye Week so they will be well-rested, and Mike Vrabel had more time to develop a game plan.  Josh Allen and the Bills just played a physically and mentally exhausting game against Joe Burrow and the Bengals.  I expect a letdown in this road game.
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Mr. Bitter 638 Posts (387 )
8 day(s) 23 hour(s) ago - hide

@DoctorJ 

Counterpoint: 1 to 3 inches of snow and 21 mph winds in the forecast. Josh Allen is reliably beastly in snow games.

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DoctorJ 16 Posts (12 )
8 day(s) 17 hour(s) ago - hide
@Mr. Bitter Point well taken.  As a lifelong Miami Dolphins fan, I know how ineffective Tua performs in cold, snowy weather.  I just switched my pick to Josh Allen and the Bills.
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broncoselway 20 Posts (3 )
11 day(s) 17 hour(s) ago - hide
When Denver beat Green Bay this week, I hope you will put them in the top 5 of your power rankings but I know you won't because you are a hater.
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Baird 109 Posts (73 )
14 day(s) 16 hour(s) ago - hide
Week 14: I went HUGE on LAR

2-game teasers...
LAR -2.5 + TB -2.5 (5U to win 4U)
    + Jags +7.5 (5U)
    + Cin +11.5 (5U)
    + Bal - (5U)
LAR -2.5 + Hou +9.5 3.75U to win 3U
    + Sea -1.0 2.5U to win 2U
    + Den -1.5 2.5U to win 2U

*I mixed the above for 6-game teasers & added in week 15...
Ten @ SF: SF -6.5
GB @ Den: Den +7.5
BUF @ NE: BUF +7.5

I hit ML parlays on the heavy favs and mixed in...
Chase Brown (CIN) 32+ Rush Yards
Chris Rodriguez Jr. (WAS) 20+ Rush Yards
Blake Corum (LAR) 14+ Rush Yards
Tyler Warren (IND) 43+ Rec Yards
De'Von Achane (MIA) 21+ Rec Yards

GL all
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Mr. Bitter 638 Posts (387 )
19 day(s) 2 hour(s) ago - hide
Week 14: The Cowboys and Texans are going to win SU. 
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Billl2021 17 Posts (5 )
16 day(s) 5 hour(s) ago - hide

@Mr. Bitter 

So Chiefs it is?

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Mr. Bitter 638 Posts (387 )
16 day(s) 1 hour(s) ago - hide

@Billl2021 

Maybe lol. But it'll be difficult for Mahomes without 3/5 of his O-line there to keep Hunter and Anderson off his ass.

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Mr. Bitter 638 Posts (387 )
16 day(s) 18 hour(s) ago - hide
For CHI/GB, there should be mention of Devonte Wyatt being OUT. Huge blow to the GB D-line.
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Mr. Bitter 638 Posts (387 )
21 day(s) 0 hour(s) ago - hide
TEN +6, NYJ +3, HOU +3
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Wesley C 3 Posts (2 )
24 day(s) 21 hour(s) ago - hide
I don't think we have to worry about tge Chargers "looking ahead" given the muddled AFC Wild Card picture. They have a similar record to Buffalo/KC/Houston/Jacksonville/Pittsburgh and can't afford to slip, especially an "easy" game
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Billl2021 17 Posts (5 )
26 day(s) 23 hour(s) ago - hide
Vikings, 4 units (loss): Wow. J.J. McCarthy sucks. I thought the Vikings would have a huge edge with their receivers against Chicago’s injury-ridden secondary, but it doesn’t matter when the quarterback is absolute garbage. I can’t bet the Vikings again unless they’re large underdogs or battling another terrible quarterback.
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Aces 0 Posts (1 )
27 day(s) 14 hour(s) ago - hide
Blood Bath! 
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