I could see the Bills falling off.  I don't think firing the coach was the right answer and getting something like that wrong can set a team back.

@jvkeb 

Thanks for the heads up

Jaguars and Eagles listed as First day losers instead of Third day losers, no link for Third day losers

As a Jags fan I'm disgusted at their draft. Although they targeted older players, they didn't draft me. I'm older, 6' and 195 lbs. which an ideal size/weight for a CB. I can run the 40 in ... well, I can run 40 yards.

Whoever wrote the draft player grades is a fucking idiot. You gave the best player in the draft a D because of the team that picked him.  You gave Tate a B and Jordan Tyson an A, I watched every Sun Devil game and Tyson is a marginal 1 who was always hurt.  They took Tate because he's a much better prospect without being injured constantly.  

You give the Jets an A for drafting a bunch of receivers with nobody to throw them the ball, and the Cardianls a D because they drafted a RB with no line?  Are you fucking retarded? 

Wilken Formby is now at Texas A&M.

I don't see that Mateer goes in Round 1. 

Just a question for you and Walter. Both of you have a different draft order for teams as you select your choices for the 2027 draft. Many teams that you both have drafting near the bottom of round 1 are not good teams amd have little chance of drafting low. Do each of you just pick team names out of a hat?

the jets had the best draft with bailey, sadiq, and cooper. only one direction that the jets can go from here and that is up. 

strange fact --rory mcilroy has won 2 masters since the last time the jets got an interception.

here are a few players who will be an NFL bust.

1 peter woods DT clemson  very overrated

2 carsen beck miami--he just does not have it

3 T J parker clemson another overrated clemson lineman

4 emmett johnson RB nebraska not much athletiic ability and slow

"Garrett is in his 30s..."

Literally just turned 30.  Talk about making it as negative as possible.  Zion Young is no Garrett.  LOL

@Mr. Football  

So which team is Pickens getting traded to?

@Mr. Bitter 

I agree with both you and The Champ for the likeliest first round pick for the Bills. CJ Allen and Cashius Howell make the most sense, although I wonder if Howell will still be available at 26.

This year's first round should be a lot more challenging to predict than recent years. Have your wings, pizza, and beer ready by 8P EST on Thursday, April 23rd for a very entertaining evening.

@The Champ 

This draft is giving me 2018 vibes when it comes to the O-linemen. If you project Mauigoa strictly as a guard, he's a clean, plug-n-play bulldozer with All-Pro upside, much like Quenton Nelson in '18, when he was the first O-lineman off the board at 1.6. Freeling is like Kolton Miller, the late-rising LT specimen drafted at 1.15. 

I could see the Browns taking Mauigoa at 1.6 as the foundational piece for the O-line rebuild (even if he's just a guard), then Freeling popping off from 1.10 to 1.13.

@42yardline 

I think Cashius Howell would be a great fit for BUF. Fast, intense, alpha 3-4 EDGE that they need, especially with Bosa and Epenesa FAs.

@Coherent37 Yeah I had him going 5th to the Giants for a while but now I've dropped him to Miami at 11.  I think Miami would pick him over even Mauigoa, the local product, and my reasoning is that the Packers value versatile OL's.  And while Mauigoa may not be a RT and a G instead, Fano can apparently play all 5 positions.  Almost sounds like Elgton Jenkins.  Of course, new Miami GM Jon-Eric Sullivan comes from the Packer front office.  

As neither Fano nor Mauigoa are LT's, I actually think Monroe Freeling has a good chance to be the first OL chosen.  

@chuckbaker512 next year's QB class will be better: Arch, Dante Moore, Sayin, even Chambliss with another year of SEC experience.

Was hoping the Browns might somehow get Moore this year - I think he'll be much better than Mendoza in the long term. Wouldn't mind them taking a flyer on Drew Allar this draft, if they have an extra 4th or something. He's from half an hour south of Cleveland.

@petermwb 

The Browns have a history of trading up to the 22nd pick and taking a QB. A miserable history involving 3 QBs.

@NoHeroes94 The Rams will take Lemon if he is there at 13.  

Also, not even the Jets are dumb enough to pick Simpson at 2 overall.  His play was inconsistent and he doesn't have plus traits and he doesn't even have much experience.  Maybe the Jets are dumb enough to pick him at 16, but not at 2. 

This site seems extremely low on Makai Lemon versus consensus. In my non-expert opinion, he's the best receiver in the class. I think he'll go 2nd or 3rd because he's a slot-only receiver, but he is a likely top-16 pick. 

Wonder if Charlie has heard something the rest of the world hasn't. 

I think these teams are pretty evenly matched in terms of player talent and both coaches are talented as well but I'll go with the Patriots because I think their staff has the edge due to Vrabel and McDaniels experience.

Vrabel has been great at game management and handling a gauntlet of tough defenses this playoffs. The Seahawks, OTOH, have beaten up an injury riddled 49ers and nearly gave away the Rams game numerous times.

While we're waiting until next week for Walter's SB picks, I guess I'll go first. I expect this will be a field goal game, so I'm a bit surprised Seattle is -5.

I'll take the Seahawks on the money line, and I'm leaning slightly on the game being under 45.5 points.

Many of this year's playoff games have been close, and I'm hoping that trend will continue. Good luck to you all, but most of all enjoy this game - we won't see another until September.

Excuse my English, LBLD

I can't comment in hiring and firing grade page... walter, you're fucking idiot... as ravens fan. He's just shitty motivational and CEO HC. When coordinators mess up so gawkbaugh(yes I insulted "greatest ravens HC" and fuck gawkbaugh lovers) blame them for didn't follow his gameplan when his gameplan is shit... gawkbaugh didn't think of anything for counter when Mike tomlin knew lamar jackson since he scouted lamar before draft 2018 which 3-7 for lamar... gawkbaugh trust lamar too much. And gawkbaugh is one who hired worst of all OL coaches in nfl history. Check warhop coach history... he got his own teams in 4th for division... even warhop helped texans got higher overall pick to draft QB CJ... you can research that if true or not... so how i view gawkbaugh as tier? Tier 3 or lower... if not for legendary D in 2008 then flacco will be bust and gawkbaugh will be firing in 2010 or 2011... before disagree with me... did lamar save his ass in 2018? He was about being firing... and why GM didn't firing him yet? Cause owner Steve is one who have power to decide, not GM so now GM EDC(nickname) have power to get new HC or firing since gawkbaugh is gone. When I saw Mike tomlin step down and stoolers hired new HC. I was like ??????????????????????????????

They didn't trust Tomlin! Tomlin is CEO but schemer which he can let his DC know about lamar weakness. So tomlin is gone, stoolers will NEVER sweep ravens AGAIN until lamar injured or leave or minter out of ravens

LAR at SEA really comes down to if you think LAR seeming drop in play is real...they peaked early...or not versus if you think SEA's strong finish was the sign of a team getting better, or just variance.  I'm leaning on the LAR peaked early, SEA got better, side but can easily imagine being proven wrong here.  Great matchup for sure.  

Meanwhile, I think Stidham comes in and plays like its the Casino's money and the result is they win outright.  Good luck to all.  Stay within your means.  

“Branch (5-10, 180) flashed with the Bulldogs in 2024 with 47 receptions for 503 yards and a touchdown. He was capable of producing more, but Georgia dealt with streaky quarterback play with Carson Beck.”

Branch was on USC in 2024

@DoctorJ 

You will notice that Parent Comment Deleted always refers to Broncoselway. My guess is that if you don't agree with him he responds with inappropriate language that Walter deletes so that his website is not filled with profanity by idiots.

NFL Conference Championship Picks:

Take Seattle -2.5 over the Rams  (tough choice)

Take New England -5.5 over Denver    (easy choice)

Denver + 4-

Over Den 42-

La Rams +2-

Under La Rams 47- 

@Mr. Bitter And I will guess that Minnesota ends up trading for Mac Jones.  They still have a championship-level defense and they cannot possibly go into next season with McCarthy as the starter.  Jones has some Darnold-esque qualities and would be taking on almost the exact same path that Darnold did.  Yeah, they'll likely have to part with a 2nd/3rd Round pick (and maybe an additional later pick) to acquire him, but Adofo-Mensah has to be on the hot seat because they chose to not only draft McCarthy, but then chose not to make a serious offer for Darnold, and look where Seattle is now.  If they don't make the playoffs next season, I believe he's going to get fired.  As such, I don't think he stakes his job on hoping that Kyler Murray rebounds, not to mention that his cap hit would be a lot higher.  Jones' isn't, which allows them to keep paying their defense and offensive skill positions.  

As to where Murray winds up, I truly have no idea.  Maybe the Steelers?  I could see them in the Willis business too, and if that did happen, then maybe Murray would make some sense for the Jets.  But I really do like the Mac Jones fit for Minnesota.  Would just seem to fit the KOC system really well and because he's under contract cheaply he fits their roster structure of a win-now, highly paid defense.  (And Justin Jefferson.)

Has anyone else noticed that when Broncoselway makes a comment he always gives himself a "thumbs up"?  Check all of his comments.

That is such a Bush League move. He must be very insecure - don't you think?

@broncoselway 

No one cares.

@Billl2021 

Maybe that is where Walt is getting his picks!

@broncoselway 

I just found out Pete Prisco is on the Broncos. He like Walt is 1-9 in the playoffs. Good luck on your ace!

@broncoselway 

You probably haven't bet since 2014 when the Broncos got beat in the superbowl 43-8. I heard they are bringing Peyton back for this superbowl run!

Since most of us don't bet in-game, I wish you would separate the computations between in-game and pregame. It is disheartening to take a bath on your picks, only to have you say, "But I was awesome in-game!" When we take a bath, we want to think you are asking for the soap, as well. Long-time reader.

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@broncoselway 

It is at 5.5 WTH are you talking about? Broncos just won their Superbowl beating the Bills. (with refs help) The luck is about to run out with your team. Better get Uncle Rico in to save the day!

@broncoselway 

Past season results mean nothing, Brady and Elway are long retired.

I'm hoping for another close playoff game - but I just don't see it. Stidham hasn't played in 2 years, and he has predominately been a career backup in the NFL. If he can hold Denver to just a 7 point loss it will be a big feather in his cap.

I believe it will be a 10-14 point NE victory. By the way, its now Monday night and the Patriots are favored by 5.5 points. Watch that spread continue to rise as the week goes on.

@42yardline 

The Rams would have been my pick to win it all a few weeks ago.  They aren't the same team that dominated the regular season.  

@broncoselway 

You better go get Uncle Rico to play QB for your Broncos. 

@JRO60 

Thanks for the heads up.  It wasn't Charlie.  Something went wrong with my process in pushing his latest version up.  Its fixed now.

@42yardline 

AJ Brown wouldn't be able to deal with being WR2 in NY. First things first: Our inevitable overpay for Malik Willis or trade for Mac Jones or Kyler Murray.

Saturday's Predictions

BUF +1

The team that wins the LOS wins this game. As good as the DEN defense is, I like Allen/Cook behind that seasoned, cohesive BUF O-line better than I like Nix/Harvey. There's also a good amount of "Josh Allen is just better than Bo Nix" baked into my pick. If Ed Oliver plays, I'm sprinkling some on BUF.

SEA -7

I have a hunch this is the weekend the magic ends for DEN, CHI (late-game comebacks) and SF (injury-decimated). This is usually the time of year where the unsustainable catches up and the more balanced, boring teams advance. Darnold scares me, but he doesn't have to be pretty as long as Walker/Charbonnet continue to bite off explosive plays and the defense does its thing. I just see no reason why SF will fare any better than they did in WK 18, especially without Kittle.

@Billl2021 

Darnold basically said it isn't a big deal, but I've got my eye on the injury reports and for any indication that the sharps smell blood.

@broncoselway

Is everyone in Denver as ignorant as you? Calling the Bills a losing franchise and the Broncos winners is just pure, unadulterated gibberish.

Let's talk about FACTS:

Since 2018 the Bills have won 89 games while Denver has won 62. That's 67.4 % for the Bills and 46.6 % for the Broncos.

My friend, perhaps some day you will learn that FACTS tell the true story.

No commenrs on Darnold’s oblique or Collins’ concussion. An update would be nice.

Must be Walt’s day off.

@Mr. Bitter 

Sound logic on your Saturday Divisional pcks, I agree. Also, your Jets have some money to spend and the need is there- should the Jets trade for A.J. Brown or do you think he would be reading too much Grisham and Baldacci while on the bench?

@WFDevTeam 

RJ Harvey sure doesn't run mean. He runs tentatively and inefficiently. I don't think DEN will be able to fully take advantage of BUF's greatest weakness.

@WFDevTeam 

SEA has been so consistent under MacDonald. I thought SEA -7 was on the nose for a bit, but then I figured that SEA beat SF by 10 in Frisco, and now SEA is rested and at home. Also: SEA gets back Cross, while SF loses Kittle. Unless Darnold implodes, I just see SEA giving SF a workmanlike beating.

@broncoselway 

I get paranoid by made up stories in my head such as 'doesn't the league want Josh Allen to win this game?'

@Mr. Bitter 

Walt's take away from the Broncos Packers game isn't the same as mine.  At the beginning of that game I remember the Broncos getting into the Packers faces about something.  They strike me as a 'mean' team.  Its not my favorite look in sports but usually teams with a streak of mean to them fair well.  Enough for me to not want to touch that game.

I do think SF is around because the Eagles offense self-destructed.  SEA has shown they won't do that.  The number looks on the money though.  Wouldn't be surprised if SEA wins by 7 on the dot.    

Josh Allen is a beast in the playoffs. Great playoff games so far this weekend. But Lawrence was no match for Allen (although it was a back and forth game). Lawrence at home threw 2 picks while Allen completed 80% with no picks.

Allen has said he wants to play for a very long time. I'm sure his future opponents don't want to hear that. Get him a couple of good receivers (or even one) and the Bills will be a major player for quite a few years to come.

Sorry Bills haters, but this is just the truth.

@Mr. Bitter 

Good one, Bitter. You always have a timely comment.

@broncoselway 

Jax killed your Broncos, and we just beat Jax. Do the math.

@broncoselway 

Fortune cookies are wrong all the time.

my pick of the Divisional round:

10 degrees, 10-20 mph winds, Stafford's bad finger, Rams playing in weather they are not used to.

Under 48.5

@Billl2021 

Just my view, but I see no value in factoring stats from previous seasons to make picks on what is going on this season. The past is the past.

Don't mean to knock you for picking Pitt over Hou in the Wildcard round, but Pitt's Monday night record of 38-10 over the years is not a valid reason to pick them - this year is this year.

@broncoselway 

If anyone is going to do the smoking its the red-hot Josh Allen. Bo Nix vs, Allen - are you kidding me?? Walter said it best- Denver barely wins against weak opponents - he picked Buffalo for 8 units in this weekend's Divisional games.

I'll bet you the world famous Buffalo wings against whatever Denver is known for (unbreathable air) ?

Just one whiff ATS so far this weekend, and -of course - it was my lone money game. (Thanks, Eagles. Jesus.) I'm with Walt tonight and like PIT to win SU. 

I know PIT should have lost to BAL. I know about Anderson and Hunter screaming off the EDGE. I know about Stingley and Lassiter at the boundaries. The thing is - and as Walt described - the PIT offense will be attacking the HOU LBs and safeties with quick shots to Gainwell and the TEs...and the HOU LBs and safeties can be had in coverage. (Especially To'oTo'o, a miserable coverage LB.) 

I'm not sold on the Texans, and this is a spot (home dogs, MNF, getting disrespected a lil' bit-type game) where PIT traditionally cashes. Unless HOU jumps on PIT early, PIT will drag HOU into a low-scoring brawl in which the Steelers and their formidable front seven will gain confidence by the minute. PIT by a Boswell FG.

PIT 20 HOU 17 

@petermwb 

Word is that Miami (FL) is trying to lure Ty Simpson back to college after losing out on Sam Leavitt. 

its kind of a thin quarterback draft. it looks like one quarterback deep, with a lot of pretend type quarterbacks. here is the list.

1 fernando mendoza--this guy looks like the 2nd coming of peyton manning. a total stud with a great accurate arm. great player.

2 dante moore--was exposed vs indiana as a guy not ready for prime time. has the skill set, not a NFL starter yet, his draft stock should have dropped after the terrible game vs indiana, but the desperate jets, jets, jets will take him in round one. 

3 ty simpson-nice arm, great athlete who is a very good runner. but not ready for prime time. be lost to indiana 38-3. three points will not cut it. needs another year of college football, but the dope already declared, will go in top 10 picks since the qb draft is so weak. 

4 garrett nussmeier- this guy has a nice arm, not strong but is accurate. he is too small, not ready for NFL and injury prone. will be career back-up type.

5 john mateer--very good athlete but is primarily a running type quarterback. cannot make a living in the pocket, so he nfl career not too promising.

6 carson beck--this guy is a mutt, very below average athlete, and throws a lot of picks. whoever drafts this guy will regret the decision and wonder why they drafted him.

7 trinidad chambilss--not ready for prime time, too short at 6' 0". will just fade away in the pros, good college player, but not an nfl quarteback.

8 drew allar--a bust at the college level, so what are the chances he makes it in the NFL? answer, no chance, zero, a waste of a draft pick. 

9 cade klubnik--a small guy, very average type player, career back-up at best.

&amp;nbsp; 

&amp;nbsp;

It's impressive to see the Niners go as far as they have gone with the injuries they've endured. It's like a boat with several leaks still managing to win races. 

Losing Kittle yesterday HURTS bad. No matter how far they go, it won't be the same without Kittle. Luckily he's got those Little Ceaser's ads. 

For the Browns (01/12/25A)  @6 no to Proctor.  He's another lazy Alabama bust waiting to happen.  Tate would be my pick here as he is available.

Then @24 A DE that will be available in the 3rd.  World would be my pick.

@woo hoo 

#1 reason not to take teams with with to much money on them. That game was controlled by the refs. Everytime Eagles would get going they were getting hit with a holding call. Then the PI late in the game was BS. Just my take. 

Best Pick for Wildcard Weekend?

PHI -3, I got this earlier in week and pounded it.  SF is beat up and got physically beaten last Sunday - down 2 more LBs and others - I mean is Purdy ok vicious last play hit.  PHI basically had a week off and players coming back.

I do like LAR but -10 is much.  I did bet FT/HalfTime LAR though with PHI ML.

@Mr. Bitter 

Jacksonville gave that game away. They could have run the ball on the outside the whole game. They were picking up 8 yards a carry on the outside. Also after Allen was hurt they never pressured him. I would of put pressure on him every play. Oh well onto the next one.

@Mr. Bitter 

I actually think in order the priority would be to get rid of 

1. Hurts 

2. AJ Brown

3. OC/HC

4. Barkley

@WFDevTeam

You know your team well.

@iEatCrayons 

A.J. Brown for sure has gotta go.

I can't get over how lethargic PHI looked on offense at times. 

@WFDevTeam 

Damn Sorry about PHI here.  I really think Hurts just got low football IQ and also coaches not helping him out.  Time to clean house.  

@broncoselway 

a bit premature.  4 games to go.  No matter what its a bit surprising both games went the way the betting public's way yesterday.  Let's see how today goes.

@Billl2021 

I get the splits and I don't trust the BUF defense at all. (Although news that Van Lanen is OUT may create more wiggle room for Rousseau and Bosa.) I just envision a healthy Allen and Cook going wild and simply outscoring JAX. Non-bet, though.

@Billl2021 

Thanks. I figured the Bears would keep the 4th quarter magic going vs. GB. That ride is over, though. The Bears are going to get Saquan Barkleyed to death next weekend, especially with T.J Edwards OUT.

@Mr. Bitter 

 In the four games with QB Josh Allen, the Bills' defense has been the statistical difference on the road versus at home (33.5 points per game allowed on the road and 19.8 allowed at home). 

@Mr. Bitter 

Great job on both games yesterday. That Bears game was one for the ages!

@Mr. Bitter 

McDermott is 0-5 in road playoff games. And home teams are 10-3 in wildcard playoffs the past year. 

@woo hoo 

Coen was a great hire. But this is his first playoff game, and I can't shake the feeling that the Jags peaked too early - and against a cupcake stretch of schedule. 

I love the young, foundational pieces along the JAX front seven, but Allen/Cook present a challenge unlike JAX has seen. 

This is not to say I'm confident that the Bills will win. It's all predicated on Allen being healthy, and that's not a given. I also don't like a BUF defense that may need to put an extra man in the box just to help their weak LBs vs. Etienne, which would open up the JAX passing game. Hell, I don't even like that JAX has such a pronounced advantage at kicker. 

All I know is this: If healthy, Allen could easily put the Bills on his back. The Bills went over 26.5 points in all three of their playoff games last year, and have done so in 7 of their last 9 playoff games. The Jags haven't had to worry about a QB that can put up those kinda points for an eternity.

@woo hoo 

I kinda have agree here.  Not saying Jax Run D isn't good but there a good Risk/Reward on Cook on this game.  Jax hasn't faced good QB/RB combo since the bye, atleast nothing close to Allen/Cook.  They played bad QBs (as Mr.Bitter noted) and then blew out bad teams, that is a big contribution to their leading Run D. 

Tough betting today... but do think Cook will Cook.
Cook +80 RushYds, +105 Combo Yards, +18.5 attempts
(Also got Barkley +80 RushYds)

I think the Bears game is a trap.  I don't get why the Bears aren't favored.  Or that the line hasn't moved to favor them.  There are games with lines that feel obvious to me and then in retrospect felt like a trap.  Something is up here.    

I with Walt on the Rams.  That line makes sense.  Wouldn't surprise me if it ends up a push at 10.  But I think the Rams make a statement they should be the favorites to win it this year.  Not the Seahawks.

@mcklbrown_1 

point taken.  I may even do something about it over the next week.

@Mr. Bitter 

Regarding CHI, I have similar view about CHI RUN.  The weird thing is CHI finished in TOP 5 in 2025 for rushing attempts... past 3 games bottom 4,  and also factoring Ben Johnson style, their OL, WR injuries, etc.  CHI seem to move away from their run game.  I dunno...

I feel CHI will (hope) Run today and win.

My Bets today
CHI ML
LAR HT/FT + CHI +6.5
Puka +89.5 Yds

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Saturday Predictions

I'm still pissing in the wind when it comes to handicapping the AFC Wild Card games, but I think I have a decent read on the NFC side.

CAR +10.5

We all know how fluky CAR's earlier win over the Rams was, but I won't be shocked if CAR does it again. Home playoff dogs getting 10+ points historically almost always cover because they have nothing to lose. It's why all three teams that have made the playoffs with a worse point differential than CAR won SU in the Wild Card round. House money and all that.

All the pressure is on LA. The Rams are 3-3 in their last six, yet are commonly regarded as the best team in the NFC and expected to win three straight on the road, beginning with a cross-country trip to CAR. I don't think it will be that easy. 

Notes: Rams get back D. Adams and Q. Lake, but will be without the right side of their O-line (K. Dotson and R. Havenstein). CAR LDE D. Brown lines up over RG and could dominate...CAR gets back behemoth RG R. Hunt, increasing the likelihood that Dowdle/Hubbard get back on track vs. LA's undersized run-stop unit...The LAR CB depth chart is weak. E. Forbes Jr. in particular can be targeted with success...Last time these teams played, CAR was without J. Horn, T. Moehrig, C. Rozeboom and C. Cherelus...Needs to be talked about more: CAR may have a secret weapon vs. LAR in DC Ejiro Evero. It might be no coincidence that the LAR offense also struggled against ATL and Raheem Morris - another coach that understands how to prep vs. the McVay offense. 

LAR 31 CAR 24

CHI +1.5

Sure, the Bears have been winning with unsustainable turnover and late-game luck, but sometimes teams just have seasons like that, and the magic bleeds into the playoffs for a game or two. It's just who the Bears are this season. The Packers are the team whose season ended when Parsons (and Wyatt) went down.

Walt doesn't trust Caleb Williams here, but I kinda do. Williams - who will be regarded as the NFC's best QB by this time next year - can go toe-to-toe with any QB. Jordan Love could easily be rusty coming off a concussion and a few weeks off.

Notes: Biggest mismatch in this game: J. Thuney/D. Dalman/J. Jackson vs. GB run defense. It's not even close. The Bears are 1st in rushing success rate. The Packers are last in rushing success rate allowed since losing Parsons and Wyatt. The Bears will run at will...The return of R. Odunze is huge, especially against a GB defense that struggles vs. boundary WRs and is now without Nate Hobbs..The return of do-everything CB Kyler Gordon should boost CHI's beleaguered defense.

CHI 24 GB 21<;/strong>

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