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2 Comments (last 3 days):
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ATL +6 Do the Colts bounce back or has Danny Dimes turned back into a pumpkin? Which ATL team will show up? DeForest Buckner is OUT, but will ATL be able to take advantage with Bergeron and possibly Lindstrom OUT? Will Sauce Gardner be up to speed and able to control Drake London? Too many questions to bet this one, but my best guess is ATL covers but loses due to a crucial Penix mistake and/or a Zane Gonzalez missed FG or two, while IND stumbles into their BYE. CAR -5.5 No, I don't think CAR is suddenly a legit NFC contender, but I'm leaning on an underrated, intangible angle in this matchup: The Panthers are establishing an identity, while the Saints aren't. NO has no plan beyond yanking two backup-quality QBs in and out of the lineup and trotting out the ghosts of Kamara, T. Hill, Jordan, etc., and expecting anything to change, while Canales has established CAR as a competitive, smashmouth team. This counts for something...enough for me to go light on CAR. I think Dowdle's success will continue vs. NO. While the Saints have been okay overall vs. the run, they have given up the 5th-most explosive rushes in the NFL. Since becoming the starter, Dowdle is 1st in the NFL in explosive rushes. CHI -4.5 I'm with Walt here. The NYG run defense - which is basically just Sexy Dexy and tumbleweeds - is dead last in EPA per rush, just as the CHI running game is getting into a full lather behind that revamped O-line. Bears with a methodical, comfortable win. HOU +1 This pick hinges on the availability of Will Anderson Jr. (QUESTIONABLE), as Anderson/Hunter taking turns pinning their ears back vs. atrocious JAX LT Walker Little would wreck the Jags offense. Must-win for HOU, but I'm not trusting Davis Mills and no running game unless the defense is fully dominant. Anderson likely plays, meaning I'm likely to bet HOU light. BUF -9.5 Classic trap game, but a) the Bills are still looking up at the Pats in the standings and b) the Dolphins are an auto-fade. Josh Allen game. NYJ +2 Jets fan here to tell you how this will go down: Because this is exactly the type of game the Jets win to blow their chance at batting leadoff in the '26 Draft, rookie CB Azareye'h Thomas gets a pick-six in what will otherwise be the ugliest win this season. Vibes are good in Jersey for a few days, then the Jets get slobberknockered by NE next Thursday. Bank it. It's what the Jets do. BAL -4 Have we forgotten what J.J. McCarthy looked like earlier this season? I haven't. |
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@Mr. Bitter - as you say "weekend of the backup RB". I think I found something w/ GB... Montgomery 11-25-2.3 |
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I got worked last weekend. It happens. Week 1 & 2 2024 were worse, but I havent lost that much in over a year. I looked back on why Det got killed at home in a div game vs a semi rook QB, but Goff does fold to pressure so bravo BF D. Ind vs Pit? idk - good on ya for 6 turnovers. Just do that every week and you'll win the SB. KC? Again, idk. I teased KC +4 in a big game = should've been money, but I get it... Buf 5-0 in last 5 reg season vs KC and KC 4-0 vs Buf in last playoff games. Look ahead leans... NE @ TB - I want to love TB assuming health comes their way. NE has MIA on TNF so TB is the obvious play off a bye. Non-conf helps too. PIT @ LAC - under I want to love CLE w NJ getting rid of their good players, but this has that "everyone show up" feel for NJ. I teased CLE +3.5 a bit , but I'm being cautious. Lastly, as a Rams fan I love them, but my bookie hasnt posted the line. GL all |
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WC- WHY was I eliminated when I bet LA Chargers in WEEK 9??????? It says SDC?????????? Please advise!!!! |
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Walt: Expect the Cowboys to bounce back from the beat down by the Broncos- Imho- I don't expect the Cardinals to keep up with the Cowboys in a shootout- Cowboys 37 Cardinals 17
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@Baird - IND @ pit 6'2" 200+ Jaylon Jones has been activated. Edwards & Blackmon have been weak outside corners. I'm guessing this is to cover Metcalf. I like Ind even more |
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Prop builder... Jonathan Taylor (IND) 2+ Receptions |
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@noeman55 if you want teams ranked by record and to be spoon fed more stupidity (though it seems you've had plenty) you can go check out the rankings on CBS or ESPN.
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You mention the Rams potentially being 6-1, but they could just as easily be 7-0. Unfortunately, Kyren Williams was absolutely useless in the TNF game vs SF, fumbling at the 1 yard line and then failing to pick up less than a yard on 4th and 1 in OT.
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I teased IND +3 a bunch
Ind @ Pit: lets quickly look at PIT's schedule... Wk1 - Beat NYJ by 2, but they were losing by 15 and had to score 17 in the 4th to win. Should have lost to Jets! Wk2 - Worked by Sea Wk3 - NE beat themselves w turnovers (a few in the endzone/redzone). PIT should have lost 2-1 at this point but could easily be 0-3 Wk4 - Won vs Min in Spain (Wentz went for 350 & 2tds) Wk5 - Won vs Gabriel in his 1st start Wk6 - Lost to Flacco Bengals (342-3) Wk7 - Lost (beat up by) GB @ home on SNF PIT COULD EASILY BE 2-5 w/ wins vs Wentz in Spain and Gabriel's 1st start. *In all fairness, Ind plays in Germany next and then a bye. Das German game is vs the non-conference Falcons. I think PIT is a bigger deal regarding playoff seeding. |
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I teased DET -2.5 a bunch
I'm breaking down the games and can make points for/against most of the close ones. I dont like old trends because of how much the game changed, but recent trends in the right context have meaning. For example... Min is 1-9 vs Det in the last 10 games and the Det home dynamic shows a few double digit wins. Also, Det has won the last 5 in a row vs Min... and now Min is starting a green QB who's been hurt more than he's played. Branch is back, its a div game and Det will be rocking. I dont see how Min wins. |
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I'm teasing KC +4 more and more
Buf should have lost to Bal wk1 & had to score 22 in the 4th to win by 1. They went on to beat NYJ, Mia, Saints & Car. Bills have Dolphins next; KC going into bye. *Big men Jones & Oliver out = I like KC |
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Their not called the Redskins bro they are the Commanders. Your not slick by calling them by their old name you just sound like a bitter old man yelling at the clouds. It's unprofessional and tacky
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Perkins pull out a big can of quit on national TV versus A&M. He may drop to day 3.
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@noeman55 You can build your own on our subdomain. If we like what you have to say we'll push it up on the main site. https://debacled.walterfootball.com/ReaderPowerRankings
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I'll save you the trouble of recapping the Atlanta/Miami game... Kirk Cousins sucks the high hard bone, and Falcons defense was even worse.
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@Karensman I remember when this comment section was a gold mine of old head degenerate gamblers offering up angles aplenty. Not sure why they all bailed, but I would like to see that happen again. Lately it seems like it's me and Baird doing all the heavy lifting, with a few others only jumping in after the fact and piling on when I whiff. (Which happens often because that's the nature of this beast.) Any thoughts or angles you have are appreciated. The metrics hate the Steelers tonight. Offensive and defensive EPA, success rate, EDP yards per play...it all comfortably favors the Packers. Individual matchups lean Packers too; Parsons vs PIT's OTs (3rd-lowest pass-blocking grade) with Rodgers only QB28 under pressure, Jordan Love top-3 in comp % between the numbers, vs. man coverage, and vs. the blitz (basically custom-built to dissect the PIT defensive scheme), etc. But then there's Tomlin's 21-7-3 record as a home dog, which is hard to ignore - but I will. Probably somewhat foolishly, I've leaned less and less into trends over the years, preferring to focus on matchups, injuries, etc. The way I look at it, it's like "big deal - now Tomlin will be 21-8-3". GB is also 0-4 ATS as a road favorite this season. Now they'll be 1-4. I like GB. I also like CIN, so cue the media's unrealistic "Flacco will lead the Bengals past the Steelers and into the playoffs" narrative. |
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@Mr. Bitter & Baird : I don't post very often and when I do post my pick tends to backfire. I also seldom bet GB games as I'm a died in the wool Bear fan and hate GB, BUT In my opinion Pitt. getting a field goal at home is an automatic bet. Tomlin's record as an underdog [ especially at home, highly motivated, and coming off a loss ] is impossible to ignore. With the Ravens struggles, and no other decent team in their division, the Steelers should cruise to the division title. I expect a close game and getting a field goal is huge [ although 3 1/2 would be better ] . Good luck with all the other games !
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I could see the Saints going QB for sure, but I don't see the Saints taking a 5-9 receiver, however talented he might be, in the 2nd round. They need size to complement all the vertically challenged guys already on the roster, unless changes are made to it between now and draft day.
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@Baird You've convinced me. That 'Niners defensive depth chart is looking pretty grim. Like the Lions, SF wears their ability to overcome injuries like a badge of honor - a factor I feel sometimes isn't fully baked into the line for SF and DET - but there comes a point where the hits are too much to overcome. If HOU's offense can't get right in this one... |
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@Baird Yeah, just a hunch on MIA/ATL, and Cousins starting doesn't change anything. I feel like MIA keeps it close in this one, then gets thoroughly demolished by BAL in Week 9. I envision Achane and Bijan taking turns blasting off, and Waddle is way overdue for some numbers, assuming MIA is smart enough to work him in the slot and away from A.J. Terrell. I might change my mind on CHI/BAL. The Bears are down to practice squad CBs. My main concerns are that Lamar isn't fully healthy, and that CHI has the weapons to keep up if the game becomes a race to 35, which is quite possible. |
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@Mr. Bitter - good to see you're off CLE. I like NE for the same reason I hit CLE last week... of the 4 sides I like their D vs Gabriel the best. Judkins has been carrying the team but not vs NE @ home (#3 run D @ 3.3 YPC). I like NE to win in a low scorer like 20-10, although it could get ugly and end up 27-3. Teasing NE -1 is the play |
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@Mr. Bitter - I was going to hit Vegas tomorrow morning and go big on on teasers featuring ATL -1.5, but Im backing off. I have a gut feeling MIA makes it a game. Other than Diablo out, I really dont know why I have a bad feeling - especially since this is MIA's 2nd road game and they have BAL next on TNF. Bijan should ball out. IDK - I'm listening to whatever's giving me pause. Good to see your seeing the same thing I'm w you on Buf/Car too. I'm still going to hit small teasers on both sides, but feel like CAR has a small chance to win outright. |
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SF @ Hou: Purdy and Pearsall out - whats new?
McCaffrey's ballin out and Kittle is back to block so SF looks good. Plus Saleh has that young D amp'd up - well at least vs ATL on the road in a letdown game. Penix looked pretty lost outdoors under the bright lights. To top it all off Nico & Kirk are out + Hou's run game is crap so how will they score? SF must be the side... And then I looked at Hou's D - the front 4 is one of the best, front 7 legit and Lassiter + Pitre lock up the left side. Surprisingly, the only weakness is Stingley. Bourne seems like the only option outside of McCaffrey, but Hou brings #5 run D in terms of YPC @ 3.8 so he may not lay it down like he did vs a Diablo less D. Hou @ home - lost to a healthy TB team by 1 point and beat Ten 26-0 (not legit; should have been 6-6 at half, but still 26-0). This is only their 3rd home game and I feel like Higgins and Noel show up vs #111 out of #112 CB Stout & Green 42.8 coverage. Lets not forget Schultz 9-10-98 last week. ***The clincher is Huff and Gross-Matos out*** I LOVE teasing the UNDER: 47.5 is so key in a real game, but I dont see this as a real game w/ NFC SF coming off a primetime blowout to play a stuggling AFC team. Neither team hits 20 pts. GL all |
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ATL -7 NON-BET I don't trust Tua right now, but I don't trust an injured Penix, either. There might be a QB controversy slowly brewing in ATL and I'm tempted to get ahead of it, but MIA seems to have tapped out and has to be faded until they show some fight. ATL is a better team at home and Bijan could make an MVP statement vs. MIA's saloon door run D, but ATL's overall inconsistency and Achane on a rug has me fearful of a back and forth game and a backdoor cover. CHI +6.5 NON-BET BAL was my preseason SB pick, and I'm trying my best not to let that cloud my judgement. A lot of things have to click in order for BAL to get out of their 1-5 hole, even against the 7th-easiest remaining schedule, and while they're getting reinforcements off their BYE, I'm not sure they'll just be able to flip the switch vs. a hot CHI team that may feel disrespected by this point spread. The BAL defense sucks right now without Madubuike, and he's not coming back. BUF -7 NON-BET I've gone back n forth here. BUF's struggling D gets a few D-line depth pieces back for this one, but now DaQuan Jones and Taylor Rapp are OUT. CAR should be able to establish the run vs. BUF, but what if Josh Allen comes out hot and the Bills jump out to an early lead? I simply am not betting Dalton over Allen in this situation. CIN -6.5 LOVE I don't think CIN's springboard win over PIT saves their season, but it provides more than enough momentum to TCB against the awful, poorly-coached Jets. For NY, Wilson and Sauce have already been ruled OUT, and now Breece Hall and Mason Taylor are QUESTIONABLE. The Jets simply can't score points right now and must be faded. SF +2.5 LIKE This is a must-win for HOU...but so was their loss to SEA. Screw the net points...why should I assume that HOU will break out of their offensive funk when they have zero running game, their O-line is still sh*t, and Nico Collins is likely OUT? Why should I assume a finally-healthy CMC won't dominate? CLE +7 NON-BET Maye>Gabriel means no cabbage, but running game and defense travels, so NE should be on upset alert - especially if CLE can win the TO battle. (Looking at YOU, Stevenson.) |
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@Billl2021 Your take was logical, but Dan Campbell's ability to overcome a rash of injuries is something that may need to be baked into handicapping the Lions going forward. Every coach uses the "next man up" cliche, but they take it seriously in Detroit. They did it last season, and now they're doing it with the secondary this season. It's nuts. |
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And oh yeah - Sauce Gardner is likely OUT with a concussion. Another Ja'Marr Chase eruption incoming.
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@Baird The CIN victory over PIT definitely felt like a springboard game. Maybe even kept Hendrickson in Cincy. I don't anticipate Flacco keeping it up and saving CIN's season, but there's no reason why they shouldn't TCB vs. my Jets. The Jets are a hot mess, and Tyrod Taylor might be playing hurt if he starts. I know it's early, but Aaron Glenn already has a good coordinator/bad head coach vibe. |
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@Baird Yeah, I don't anticipate a look ahead for BUF. Not when they're looking up at the Pats in the AFC East. Also - betting Dalton over Allen coming off a bye seems insane. That 20+ TD stat for Allen is crazy. Guess that's why Gabe Davis is back in the fold lol. Feels like CB2 has been a problem spot for BUF forever. Curious to see how Hairston looks once he's activated. What's your take on Milano these days? I think Walt may be overstating his impact, as the injuries are piling up and age is creeping in. It's starting to feel like a Sean Lee-type situation where injuries caught up all at once and he was terminally QUESTIONABLE until having to hang em up. |
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@Mr. Bitter - Good call last week. I agree on CAR's upswing and bet them to beat NY. I was ready to bet CAR win total under after they beat NJJ but now Im holding off. I like Dalton better than Young and CAR's D has been playing decent (JC Horn's 2 picks were both amazing) so I'm NOT betting the under win total... yet With that said, Walt is on Milano being out to mess with BUF's run D but Ed Oliver was a big part as well. Something not mentioned... Larry Ogunjobi is coming back after a 6-game PED suspension. That should help to cycle players vs run. If Hubbard was still out I'd like Dowdle to carry them, BUT this game means too much to a Bills team coming off a BYE and succeeding the div lead to NE. I'm teasing BUF a little thinking they get close to 30 pts. I still like home field (3-0), Dalton & Dowdle so I'm treading lightly. Side note: I just saw a graphic of Josh Allen 20+ yard passing TDs... 2020-23 = 27 Shaq Thompson revenge game lol |
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@scaredmoney - I agree completely. Flacco hitting Chase for like 14-16 passes? + Higgins getting the game clinching pass must be a wake up call for every Bengals player... "hey, we have a chance" I think they all get up & give 100% this week with their win over div rival/leader PIT last week & a new found hope. The home field crowd should help. I'm teasing Cin -0.5 a bunch |
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@Wesley C - not bad Brett Favre (lost to the Packers with the Vikings), Kurt Warner (lost to the Giants and Rams with the Cardinals), and Peyton Manning (lost to the Colts with the Broncos) |
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I know it's not ideal to make picks based off trends, but something else in Pittsburgh's favor is Hall of Fame QBs in "Revenge Games." Montana beat the 49ers, Brees beat the Chargers, Favre beat the Packers, Manning beat the Colts and Brady beat the Patriots in their 1st meeting. For what it's worth, Rodgers won his "Revenge Game" against the Jets Week 1.
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Walt, always be happy with what you have. You had a winning week so no complaining about what could have been. Good luck this week! |
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Nobody gets up to play the jets. Is why they look like they’re sticking around. The bungles on the other hand are on a high and they just might feast on a team since they’re so desperate to win.
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One could say that the Commanders offense, and Daniels injuries, are the result of the poor play of Tunsil. The Texans were correct in moving him when they did.
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@Walt. No concern here? The whole Lions secondary is gone and no worries because they are group A? SUNDAY MORNING NOTES: The Buccaneers will have Mike Evans and Lavonte David, and there’s a chance Emeka Egbuka will play. The Lions, meanwhile, won’t have their top three cornerbacks and their two safeties. Despite this, the sharps have bet the Lions up from -5.5 to -6. |
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I have waited 5 years to see these results ! Thanks chiefs, browns, patriots, eagles, panthers, giants! all winners ATS! Great job today |
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It’s passed time for some editing. Why would the Raiders take Garret Nussmeier in tbe second round because the 49ers need a QB..? Other errors are peppered throughout the movk as well; it kinda chips away at how serious to take the player grades and choices. |
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It’s passed time for some editing. Why would the Raiders take Garret Nussmeier in tbe second round because the 49ers need a QB..? Other errors are peppered throughout the movk as well; it kinda chips away at how serious to take the player grades and choices. |
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It's not hard to believe that CAR is vastly improved vs. the run. Derrick Brown. The Jets are an auto-fade for me until Tyrod Taylor takes over under center. Rookie TE Mason Taylor is currently Fields' top receiving option. The Jets simply can't score points. I agree that CAR isn't suddenly a playoff contender, but they should win this game. You're letting your resistance to the idea that CAR is improved cloud your judgement. CAR returns Hubbard, Coker , J. Sanders, Moton, Corbett and Wharton this week. They are currently in a lather running the ball and stopping the run. That travels. CAR 27 NYJ 13 |
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It feels like you're forcing unworthy QBs in the top 10 just to have QBs in the top 10. Arvell Reese and Rueben Bain Jr. need to be in the top 10.
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Walter: In regards to the L.A. Rams @ Jacksonville Jaguars game in London, I think the Rams will win too. One offensive player overlooked is Tutu Atwell. He could have several targets/catches that normally go to Puka Nacua. Atwell's speed will stretch the field and open up passing lanes for Devonte Smith and Tyler Higbee.
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@JRO60 - I tried to do a few simple searches looking back 10 years but some obvious issues emerge with algorithms... bye week in between 3 road games - count? I guess I could grab all the games over 10 years, narrow columns to simple home vs away and highlight 3 away in a row. Take those and make a pivot table for W/L result on 3rd game. Maybe tomorrow, too hazy tonight. AI and computers are inherently stupid and require exact specifics which makes it difficult to analyze. Maybe Walt or someone here knows a better way? FWIW... The last NFL team to win three consecutive road games was the Detroit Lions in the 2024 season |
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Prop builder... |
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I didn't watch a lot of it but from what I saw I'm forced to ask...has Pittsburgh never seen or defended a slant route before?
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If Cleveland is picking 3rd and they take yet another dlineman I think I will lose it. 1st pick: Qb 2nd pick: OL/WR 3rd pick: WR/OL (whichever not chosen 2nd) |
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@SadisticNobility Assuming the Ravens get Lamar Jackson and a handful of other key players back from injury following their bye, they're set up for a run that might put them on PIT's tail. BAL might come out of their post-bye CHI, MIA, MIN, CLE, NYJ, CIN, PIT, CIN schedule run 7-7 and in contention. |
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Week 7 is the Patriots third road game in a row. They have won the first two and it is not common for a team to win all three. Maybe Walt can access some detail on this.
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In the Overrated/Underrated page, you list the Denver Broncos as underrated, noting they "could be 6-0." In their write-up against the Giants, however, you call the Broncos "a fraudulent 4-2," choosing to focus on the weak competition in their wins. So which is it??
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LAR W Puka 12-5 Look ahead... |
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Walt - it sounds like your backing off of prop bets or at least saying "if it wasn't for them...". I think there are some layup props this week so stick w it, but why not add teasers? You used to do 2-gamers and hit - why quit? This week seems tough spread-wise, but teasers look good... |
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I doubt Dante Moore declares for the 26 draft, I'd have him #1 in 2027.
And Xavier Chaplin is having hearing issues, Hue Freeze said Monday "We've done some testing on (Chaplin's) hearing, and there's an issue there, That goes back to us, we should've handled the cadence stuff differently for him, but he really struggles to hear in those environments, and we'll make adjustments for that," 6 penalties in 2 games, 8 quarterback pressures, 5 quarterback hurries and 2 sacks, he wont go in round one, with that kind of tape. |
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Chaplin continues to have issues with false starts, which some are blaming on a hearing disorder. Sounds like a guard at best and not going to the Texans. |
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I have no idea why I ever look at your site even. You have the Bucs at 10? Pathetic. You are a homer and you don't know anything about football. You have the f'ing Falcons higher. The bucs are nearly 2nd string Offense and yet, still winning. Get lost dude. If they get fully healthy, forget 'bout it.
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So if you’re so sick and tired of the international games, why post? see my previous post for motivation by the big chalk. |
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First, the Packers were sleepwalking. Do you really think the pack is going to get up to face an abysmal team like the bungles. |
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The Rams are staying in Baltimore this week before going to London. They did a similar strategy in 2017 and 2019 when they played in London and won straight up both times. I'm not worried about jet lag for the team, but it sucks for the few SoCal fans the Rams actually have.
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@wafflesworth Sorry to hear that you're so racist. Why does Native American imagery offend you?
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The Steelers dominated the Browns today, so it’s safe to predict that Pittsburgh will win the north. Baltimore is a complete mess right now, the Bengals can’t win without Joe Burrow and Cleveland’s offense is a disaster. Maybe the Steelers aren’t that bad afterall.
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Attn: WFDEVTEAM: My test post made the grade, but now two separate posts have not gone through. Can you help me with this???????????
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I think you're leaning too hard into pressure numbers in the LAC/MIA matchup. MIA has faced some good O-lines this season, especially at OT. There's enough talent in MIA's EDGE unit (Chubb, J. Phillips, C. Robinson and Judon) to take advantage of LAC's current practice squad situation at OT.
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"RECAP: I personally don’t care if Murray misses this game. If anything, it gives us more points to work with by selecting the Cardinals." "THURSDAY THOUGHTS: Kyler Murray missed Wednesday’s practice, causing the spread to move to -7. It sounds like Jacoby Brissett may start this game. I think I’d switch to the Colts if Brissett were to be named the starter." Why didn't you care about Brissett starting on Tuesday, but do now? |
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Dearest CHALK King WC, You do realize that ALL of your picks in Week 6 with UNITS are all phuckeen CHALK!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! WEAK yet again dude. WHY have you gravitated to a PURE CHALK player???? |
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Walt is obsessed with "losing coordinators" even though Dan Campbell clearly has proven that it's irrelevant for a top 3 coach in the league. The entire year has been about how bad Detroit was going to regress and he thought he was right after Week 1 and had to eat his words the last 4 weeks. Now it's about discrediting the opponents they've played. Once Det beats KC there will be another reason as to why I'm sure. @jmacphee9
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I am a bit confused about the Lions take.. From what I see, they haven't lost anything in the coordinator sacrifice, The Chiefs have lost to good and bad teams already.
I dont think any logical bettor is considering week 1 or 2 even in their strength evaluation in 2025. The Chiefs might just be bad. The Jags definitely are not good. 4-1 so be it, but they played the reverse Ravens schedule minus the injuries. Luckily for them their division is a weird ass incest dumpster fire and they might actually win it. |
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@Walt You're going to grow old waiting for Matt Milano to play at 100%. Might be washed. |
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@Walt Joe Flacco just beat the Packers a few weeks ago. Now he is going to face them with Higgins and Chase. Im going Bengals ML |
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Can World play RT? Patrick Paul is Miami's starting LT and the only o-lineman that is playing well for us.
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Walt: Expect the Cowboys to continue their tour of looking like a Super Bowl Bound Contender against mediocre teams on Sunday. The real test regarding the Cowboys offensive line- will come against the Commanders with former Defensive Coordinator Dan Quinn returning. Expect the Cowboys to dominate the Panthers this Sunday
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@Mr. Bitter Clevelands coaches cost them that game. Way to conservative when they had the lead |
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That Packers -14.5 makes no sense. Should the Packers be 5 points higher that what the Lions spread was vs the Bengals?
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looking at this I guess the Browns' O-line will suck and be hurt again next year.
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Browns need O-linemen, like Mauigoa. Their O-line is either old (Bitonio, Teller) or beaten to an injured pulp (everyone else) They do not need a first round WR. Between all their 2 TE formations and receiving RBs, and a borderline first round WR talent they just got for free (Bond) |
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Please stop projecting the Niners to draft another CB in the 1st or second round. They have their starters set for the next few years because the paid Lenoir, drafted Green in the 2nd round in 2024 and Stout in the 3rd round in 2025. If you want to project them drafting a safety, fine, but please stop with CBs. For a 2nd round, they will go with either a TE (eventual replacement for Kittle), interior OL or a RB(eventual replacement for McCaffrey) or Safety. They could even go DE Depending if they think Bosa will return and be reliable.
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Typical horrible take on the Bucs and Baker Mayfield. He is the MVP leader right now, hands down. Bucs also are better then the Chargers and Rams easily. If the Bucs were 5-0, you would have them at 9 probably. You hate the Bucs...always have and your bias shows all the time.
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The Texans are still an awful team, regardless of what happened against Baltimore. People are suddenly pretending that Baltimore hasn’t been slated wirh injuries all over just to try and make it sound as if Houston is back. I’m wagering that Seattle and San Francisco will blow out the Texans.
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Mina Kimes DEI hirecomment is unfair. Do not get caught up in the moment this fervor will pass and a lot of people will look foolish. |
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@Baird If the Ravens were playing a team with a functional passing game, I wouldn't touch them given all the injuries in the secondary. But HOU hasn't been able to throw the ball for a while. I still believe the Ravens are an elite team that will round into form as they get healthier, so I wanna get out ahead of it. BAL could really get into a lather Weeks 8 through 14 (lotta cupcakes) and I'm gonna bet a small wager that tomorrow's game will be an early springboard into that. Kinda my contrarian pick of the week. |
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@Baird Kyle Shanahan has to be frontrunner for NFL Coach of the Year, but the Rams are better than the 'Niners and should have won that game. |
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@Baird MIN will be down 3/5 of their O-line and their backup center. Now I really don't trust Wentz. Wentz behind a practice squad O-line vs. that CLE defensive front feels like an INT party waiting to happen. One thing I will give Gabriel - he's always been very safe with the ball. As you said, safe dink-and-dunk action and a dominant defensive showing could carry the day for CLE, especially in a game where TOs will be crucial. |
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@Bitter - I'm here to tell you Gabriel ain't it Thats the kind of thing I need to hear cause I dont watch college. Flores > Gabriel should be an easy decision, but Wentz doesnt instill confidence vs Cle's D. I got 0.5U on a 6-game w/ Min+2.5 just cause Walt sees something - GL |
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@Mr. Bitter - "why are you out on HOU/BAL?" Henry has owned the Texans so there's that angle, but Lamar, Roquan, Awuzie, Madubiuke & Humphrey out w banged up Stanley, Oweh is too hard to cap. Yes, this is do or die for Bal, they are at home and have owned Hou in the past, but I cant calculate all the variables. |
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@Mr. Bitter That game was hard to watch. The 1st quarter QB sneak while Rams d-line talks about what they are doing after the game & quick passing TD to Tonges wide open in red zone. Fumble, drop, fumble, missed extra point, missed FG - jeez I hate to lose money, but gladly stand by my 5.75U + 5.75U Rams bets. They should have covered -2.5 |
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@Baird
Beginning with the victory over MIA, I think BAL could win 8 straight. Lamar chews up and spits out the blitz, so I'm not worried about BAL scoring vs. MIN. I'm on BAL, but I'm concerned that the BAL D may not be able to pressure McCarthy off his spot. (His pressure/no pressure splits are miserable.) Hopefully underrated acquisition Dre'Mont Jones can hit the ground running in a BAL defense that he fits well. Jones was running hot bringing edge pressure for TEN before the trade.
You've got marbles with the TB pick. Good spot for TB, but all the offensive injuries have to catch up at some point. The running game has really suffered without Bucky Irving. I'm staying away from NE/TB.