Round 1


I feel like Cincy could be looking at two strong DT prospects, Harmon and Nolen, or Stewart here. Stewart, obviously, fits their athletic thresholds. But Harmon would as well, and he seems to have heavy momentum late in the process. Harmon is -700 to go in the 1st, whereas Nolen is just -280. This all said, Stewart's odds aren't even listed to go in the 1st, and he's actually +350 to be a top 10 pick, with Harmon only +2600 to be a top 10 choice. So I'll guess that Duke Tobin can't resist the RAS of Stewart here.


I expect Zabel to be off the board by the mid-20's (he's -1000 to be a 1st Round pick), and Seattle is right in the range of OL-needy teams that should be interested.


The heir apparent to Lavonte David. The odds for Tampa Bay's pick to be a LB have come down from +500 a week ago to +180 now, just barely behind the favorite (DL) at +150.


Sean Payton gets the jolt to the running game that his offense needs, and Hampton's O/U for draft position is 19.5, unsurprisingly.


Harmon met with the club on a top 30 visit, and the Steelers have reliably selected a player in the 1st Round that they met with on "30" visits in recent years. Their front seven has been aging and they got annihilated on the ground against the Ravens in the playoff loss. While a lot of people are mocking QB here, and for good reason, I have come to the conclusion that this could be Tomlin's last year as coach if they don't show some type of improvement with the status quo. As such, if Rodgers is coming (and I still think that he is), a 1st round QB isn't helping the immediate cause. And while Tomlin is not the GM, of course, his voice holds significant sway in the building.


If both Golden and Egbuka are on the board, yes, either one would help the Chargers. And so would Loveland, should he be available. But I just can't escape the thought that Harbaugh would be unlikely to pass on the chance to add one of his former players, given the enormous need at DL/DT.


Peter Bukowski, the host of the LockedOnPackers podcast, believes that DL should be valued at about -150 to be the pick, rather than the listed odds of +100 (which is still the favorite, ahead of CB). As the Packers love toolsy pass rushers (I think of Rashan Gary), this could be Shemar Stewart, who did meet with the team on a top 30 visit, if he falls. WR and CB are other obvious needs, and although the Packers haven't drafted a 1st Round receiver in eons, the team has met with Golden and Egbuka on top 30 visits. One other thing I'll mention here is that, if the team goes with an edge rusher, it wouldn't surprise me if the team preferred Donovan Ezeriuaku, because Packers DC Jeff Hafley had him at BC up until last year when he was the head coach there.
The verdict? Gutekunst breaks the streak and selects Golden, whose speed will be needed in the offense in the wake of Christian Watson's total inability to stay healthy.


It's certainly very possible that the Vikings trade down, given their lack of draft capital this year. But if not, I could see Brian Flores pounding the table for Emmanwori, should he be there for the taking.


OL is a strong favorite for this pick, but WR is the second choice, and Tony Pauline reported on April 15 that Egbuka would be the pick if available. Perhaps this is a bone for CJ Stroud to get one of his guys, but it's not without logic. It's not like Christian Kirk is a long-term solution, and who knows if Tank Dell will ever regain his explosiveness after two years in a row with significant season-ending leg injuries.


I had the Rams trading up to 15 for Barron before. But I like the mock better with dropping him down to this range (and Stewart up quite a bit from 27), and Nick Guarisco (one of the sharp mockers that I pay attention to) has pointed out that players with Barron's measurements at CB rarely go in the top 20.


Booker is -700 to go in the 1st, and he would be a perfect fit for the Ravens' power run scheme.


With Harmon unavailable, perhaps Grant could be the pick if the Lions went with a DT. However, Guarisco (and others) have made a compelling pitch for the BC sack artist to be the guy the Lions could be coveting. He's a high-character guy, important to Brad Holmes and Dan Campbell, and the team's pass rush absolutely fell apart last season after Hutchinson's injury. Yes, Hutch will be back in 2025, but he may not be at full force in Week 1.


TRADE! Washington trades #29 and a 2026 5th Round pick to Cleveland for #33 and #104.
Perhaps the Browns would prefer Milroe, due to the Rees connection, but Dart's odds are so much higher to be a 1st Round pick that I'm going to default to that here, if the Browns move back into the 1st to get a QB. Washington is probably willing to make a small drop to 33 (leading off Round 2) to get some extra draft capital, given their paucity of picks this year.


Starks could go in the teens, but I just couldn't find the right spot for him earlier, and he's pushing Emmanwori to be the first safety chosen. But safeties often fall in the draft, and this would be a gift for the Bills.


Though the team hopes to have solved its LT situation with Jaylon Moore, RT Jawaan Taylor has been a liability since he became a Chief. Simmons could provide a solution at one of the tackle spots by 2026, and if he has character concerns, well, count the Chiefs among the teams that routinely push those fears aside. We saw the Chiefs move swiftly to add OL talent after the last Super Bowl loss where the unit was overwhelmed, and I could see something similar here. Of major note is that Simmons is -1100 to go in the 1st Round, so maybe I'm just way off and he'll get picked far earlier than this.


There's just too much talent to pass up here for Philly, in my opinion, and even though Jordan Davis and Jalen Carter are there, Milton Williams no longer is. We know how much Howie Roseman values DL depth. It's not a stretch to say that Nolen is the most talented DT in this class, though he obviously has off-the-field concerns (or he wouldn't fall out of the top 15, let alone the top 31). Guarisco thinks he will fall out of the 1st Round entirely.