2010 Fantasy Football: Quarterbacks with New Receivers
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With four highly talented receivers joining new teams this offseason (Brandon Marshall, Anquan Boldin, Santonio Holmes and Antonio Bryant), I thought it would be important to see how quarterbacks have performed in the past with new receivers added to the squad. Would their numbers expand, or would they contract because of a potential learning curve with a new target?
Looking back since 2003, I looked at all quarterbacks who were given new receivers during the offseason, and I compared their stats before and after the acquisition.
All of these wideouts fit the following criteria:
So, here's a glance at all of the quarterbacks with their new receiver:
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Year |
Pass Yards |
TDs |
INTs |
Notes |
2005 |
3,639 |
23 |
17 |
|
2006 |
1,164* |
7* |
8* |
* - through only 6 games. As you'll see, Drew Bledsoe is the only quarterback who didn't improve. |

Year |
Pass Yards |
TDs |
INTs |
Notes |
2004 |
2,559 |
13 |
11 |
|
2005 |
1,799* |
11* |
12* |
* - through only 9 games. Sadly, even Kyle Boller improved with a new receiver. |

Year |
Pass Yards |
TDs |
INTs |
Notes |
2006 |
3,529 |
24 |
12 |
|
2007 |
4,806 |
50 |
8 |

Year |
Pass Yards |
TDs |
INTs |
Notes |
2003 |
2,108* |
11* |
15* |
* - through 11 games |
2004 |
3,159 |
27 |
7 |

Year |
Pass Yards |
TDs |
INTs |
Notes |
2004 |
3,495 |
21 |
20 |
|
2005 |
3,759 |
20 |
12 |

Year |
Pass Yards |
TDs |
INTs |
Notes |
2008 |
1,216* |
5* |
10* |
* - through only 7 games |
2009 |
3,029* |
17* |
17* |
* - through 14 games |

Year |
Pass Yards |
TDs |
INTs |
Notes |
2004 |
1,043* |
6* |
9* |
* - through only 9 games |
2005 |
3,762 |
24 |
17 |

Year |
Pass Yards |
TDs |
INTs |
Notes |
2003 |
3,216 |
16 |
11 |
|
2004 |
3,875 |
31 |
8 |

Year |
Pass Yards |
TDs |
INTs |
Notes |
2002 |
1,539* |
9* |
8* |
* - through 11 games |
2003 |
2,166* |
14* |
9* |
* - Ramsey played only 9 games in 2003 before suffering a season-ending injury against the Dolphins. |

Year |
Pass Yards |
TDs |
INTs |
Notes |
2005 |
2,412 |
15 |
13 |
|
2006 |
2,472 |
20 |
13 |
According to this trend, Joe Flacco, Chad Henne, Mark Sanchez and Carson Palmer all figure to improve in 2010.
How much will they improve though? Before making any predictions, let's take Palmer out of the equation because he might not be 100 percent and Antonio Bryant may not try hard in the wake of his new contract (Bryant has a dubious history of sucking after getting guaranteed money).
After extrapolating every quarterback's numbers over 16 games, the 10 quarterbacks above improved by an average of:
657 yards, 9 TDs, -1.5 INTs.
Appending those numbers to each of our three quarterbacks, we would get:

Year |
Pass Yards |
TDs |
INTs |
Notes |
2009 |
3,613 |
21 |
12 |
|
2010 |
4,272 |
30 |
11 |

Year |
Pass Yards |
TDs |
INTs |
Notes |
2009 |
3,289* |
14* |
16* |
* - numbers expanded for a 16-game season |
2010 |
3,948 |
23 |
15 |

Year |
Pass Yards |
TDs |
INTs |
Notes |
2009 |
2,607* |
13* |
21* |
* - numbers expanded for a 16-game season |
2010 |
3101* |
20* |
20 |
* - factored in only a 12-game improvement because of Santonio Holmes' 4-game suspension |
Now, will I project Joe Flacco to throw for 4,200 yards and 30 touchdowns when I release my 2010 Fantasy Football Rankings? No, like Chad Henne and Mark Sanchez, Flacco won't be asked to do too much in a run-heavy offense.
That said, I think we should expect a tremendous improvement from all three quarterbacks - all of whom will be sleepers in my Sleepers/Busts column which will come out later this month.