GOD....you had Ravens at 7 and they are 1-5.  Pathetic.  

@Baird 

Drake London OUT. I'm on MIA.

@Karensman 

I remember when this comment section was a gold mine of old head degenerate gamblers offering up angles aplenty. Not sure why they all bailed, but I would like to see that happen again. Lately it seems like it's me and Baird doing all the heavy lifting, with a few others only jumping in after the fact and piling on when I whiff. (Which happens often because that's the nature of this beast.) Any thoughts or angles you have are appreciated.

The metrics hate the Steelers tonight. Offensive and defensive EPA, success rate, EDP yards per play...it all comfortably favors the Packers. Individual matchups lean Packers too; Parsons vs PIT's OTs (3rd-lowest pass-blocking grade) with Rodgers only QB28 under pressure, Jordan Love top-3 in comp % between the numbers, vs. man coverage, and vs. the blitz (basically custom-built to dissect the PIT defensive scheme), etc. 

But then there's Tomlin's 21-7-3 record as a home dog, which is hard to ignore - but I will. Probably somewhat foolishly, I've leaned less and less into trends over the years, preferring to focus on matchups, injuries, etc. The way I look at it, it's like "big deal - now Tomlin will be 21-8-3". GB is also 0-4 ATS as a road favorite this season. Now they'll be 1-4. I like GB. I also like CIN, so cue the media's unrealistic "Flacco will lead the Bengals past the Steelers and into the playoffs" narrative.

@Mr. Bitter & Baird : I don't post very often and when I do post my pick tends to backfire. I also seldom bet GB games as I'm a died in the wool Bear fan and hate GB, BUT In my opinion Pitt. getting a field goal at home is an automatic bet. Tomlin's record as an underdog [ especially at home, highly motivated, and coming off a loss ] is impossible to ignore. With the Ravens struggles, and no other decent team in their division, the Steelers should cruise to the division title. I expect a close game and getting a field goal is huge [ although 3 1/2 would be better ] . Good luck with all the other games !

I could see the Saints going QB for sure, but I don't see the Saints taking a 5-9 receiver, however talented he might be, in the 2nd round.  They need size to complement all the vertically challenged guys already on the roster, unless changes are made to it between now and draft day.