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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 17, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
4 years 11 month(s) ago
@chuckster  The higher the juice, the higner your winning % has to be. If you are playing highly juiced plays, better be correct more than the standard breakeven point.
0    0


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 17, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
4 years 11 month(s) ago
@Little daddy vlad   Lol #fakenews
0    0


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 17, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
4 years 11 month(s) ago
@time to sign  Its already 3.5 in some books. Probs 4 by kickoff.
0    0


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 17, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
4 years 11 month(s) ago
what's up fellas! Haven't had the greatest week 15 and 16, but let's get back into the green this week! Looking at the following plays: Zona +6.5 - i've been on a lot of zona games this year, with a mobile and capable qb they can backdoor a lot of games, which resulted in them being one of the better ATS teams. I don't expect the rams fans to show up and support the team in the colliseum, and rams already anounced sitting several starters. I do think we get an A effort from Zona, and kyle murray is in play for offensive ROY so there is that. Big bets are on zona, and i could really see an outright win for cardinals. Giants +4 this whole must-win narrative has been debunked year after year... Eagles basically won their perceived superbowl last week, and now they have to play giants, who you would think, want nothing more than to ruin Eagles playoff chances. Eagles receiver core is so banged up especially with ertz now missing the game, i just don't see how they would cover a fairly big road # in a divsisional game. Bengals +3 Another game, with the spread being completely off... We get a poorly coached team in cleveland, with a coach taht will probably get fired, off of their last gasp attempt to make playoffs where they came up short. I do hate the cinci off of OT angle, typically i bet against that, but ai am betting on the unraveling of the Browns team - which is tolally in play. Will most likely be on seattle as a homedog as well... Wilson is 6-1 ATS as a homedog, just can't pass up these #s. Best of luck all, BDV
4    5


https://walterfootball.com/nflpicks2019_17late.php
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
4 years 11 month(s) ago - hide
what's up fellas! Haven't had the greatest week 15 and 16, but let's get back into the green this week! Looking at the following plays: Zona +6.5 - i've been on a lot of zona games this year, with a mobile and capable qb they can backdoor a lot of games, which resulted in them being one of the better ATS teams. I don't expect the rams fans to show up and support the team in the colliseum, and rams already anounced sitting several starters. I do think we get an A effort from Zona, and kyle murray is in play for offensive ROY so there is that. Big bets are on zona, and i could really see an outright win for cardinals. Giants +4 this whole must-win narrative has been debunked year after year... Eagles basically won their perceived superbowl last week, and now they have to play giants, who you would think, want nothing more than to ruin Eagles playoff chances. Eagles receiver core is so banged up especially with ertz now missing the game, i just don't see how they would cover a fairly big road # in a divsisional game. Bengals +3 Another game, with the spread being completely off... We get a poorly coached team in cleveland, with a coach taht will probably get fired, off of their last gasp attempt to make playoffs where they came up short. I do hate the cinci off of OT angle, typically i bet against that, but ai am betting on the unraveling of the Browns team - which is tolally in play. Will most likely be on seattle as a homedog as well... Wilson is 6-1 ATS as a homedog, just can't pass up these #s. Best of luck all, BDV
4    5
BigVladdysDaddy (Anonymous Poster) •
4 years 11 month(s) ago
@BigDaddyVladdy  Bump . My sons been the worst capper in this chat for about a decade - Always bet against him and prosper _ His portly boyfriend Walter too ...
3    2


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 17, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
4 years 11 month(s) ago - hide
what's up fellas! Haven't had the greatest week 15 and 16, but let's get back into the green this week! Looking at the following plays: Zona +6.5 - i've been on a lot of zona games this year, with a mobile and capable qb they can backdoor a lot of games, which resulted in them being one of the better ATS teams. I don't expect the rams fans to show up and support the team in the colliseum, and rams already anounced sitting several starters. I do think we get an A effort from Zona, and kyle murray is in play for offensive ROY so there is that. Big bets are on zona, and i could really see an outright win for cardinals. Giants +4 this whole must-win narrative has been debunked year after year... Eagles basically won their perceived superbowl last week, and now they have to play giants, who you would think, want nothing more than to ruin Eagles playoff chances. Eagles receiver core is so banged up especially with ertz now missing the game, i just don't see how they would cover a fairly big road # in a divsisional game. Bengals +3 Another game, with the spread being completely off... We get a poorly coached team in cleveland, with a coach taht will probably get fired, off of their last gasp attempt to make playoffs where they came up short. I do hate the cinci off of OT angle, typically i bet against that, but ai am betting on the unraveling of the Browns team - which is tolally in play. Will most likely be on seattle as a homedog as well... Wilson is 6-1 ATS as a homedog, just can't pass up these #s. Best of luck all, BDV
4    5
time to sign • 630 Posts (473 ) •
4 years 11 month(s) ago
@BigDaddyVladdy  My Eagles defense on the road is putrid. 27 to WAS and GB, 37 to MIA and DAL, 38 to MIN. In comparison at home, Philly hasn't given up more than 17 to anyone since September.....It always amazed me how 3 hour national shows could spend 2 and a half hours talking about one team in one sport. I haven't checked but I hope Aikman or Romo aren't doing the game as an Eagles fan it's too easy to notice their biases.
1    5


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 17, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
4 years 11 month(s) ago
@chuckster  Long term, the juice eats you alive... but as a good friend of mine says, you only pay the juice when you win.
0    0


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 17, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
4 years 11 month(s) ago - hide
what's up fellas! Haven't had the greatest week 15 and 16, but let's get back into the green this week! Looking at the following plays: Zona +6.5 - i've been on a lot of zona games this year, with a mobile and capable qb they can backdoor a lot of games, which resulted in them being one of the better ATS teams. I don't expect the rams fans to show up and support the team in the colliseum, and rams already anounced sitting several starters. I do think we get an A effort from Zona, and kyle murray is in play for offensive ROY so there is that. Big bets are on zona, and i could really see an outright win for cardinals. Giants +4 this whole must-win narrative has been debunked year after year... Eagles basically won their perceived superbowl last week, and now they have to play giants, who you would think, want nothing more than to ruin Eagles playoff chances. Eagles receiver core is so banged up especially with ertz now missing the game, i just don't see how they would cover a fairly big road # in a divsisional game. Bengals +3 Another game, with the spread being completely off... We get a poorly coached team in cleveland, with a coach taht will probably get fired, off of their last gasp attempt to make playoffs where they came up short. I do hate the cinci off of OT angle, typically i bet against that, but ai am betting on the unraveling of the Browns team - which is tolally in play. Will most likely be on seattle as a homedog as well... Wilson is 6-1 ATS as a homedog, just can't pass up these #s. Best of luck all, BDV
4    5
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
4 years 11 month(s) ago
@time to sign  I am rooting for the eagles to win the game, i have a small bet on them to win the superbowl from mid-season. Also i never liked the cowboys, not sure why, but would rather see eagles in the dance than sporte media talking about cowboys all day. Good luck with your action tmr!
1    4


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 17, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
4 years 11 month(s) ago - hide
what's up fellas! Haven't had the greatest week 15 and 16, but let's get back into the green this week! Looking at the following plays: Zona +6.5 - i've been on a lot of zona games this year, with a mobile and capable qb they can backdoor a lot of games, which resulted in them being one of the better ATS teams. I don't expect the rams fans to show up and support the team in the colliseum, and rams already anounced sitting several starters. I do think we get an A effort from Zona, and kyle murray is in play for offensive ROY so there is that. Big bets are on zona, and i could really see an outright win for cardinals. Giants +4 this whole must-win narrative has been debunked year after year... Eagles basically won their perceived superbowl last week, and now they have to play giants, who you would think, want nothing more than to ruin Eagles playoff chances. Eagles receiver core is so banged up especially with ertz now missing the game, i just don't see how they would cover a fairly big road # in a divsisional game. Bengals +3 Another game, with the spread being completely off... We get a poorly coached team in cleveland, with a coach taht will probably get fired, off of their last gasp attempt to make playoffs where they came up short. I do hate the cinci off of OT angle, typically i bet against that, but ai am betting on the unraveling of the Browns team - which is tolally in play. Will most likely be on seattle as a homedog as well... Wilson is 6-1 ATS as a homedog, just can't pass up these #s. Best of luck all, BDV
4    5
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
4 years 11 month(s) ago
@BabyBettor  Ill probably have some $ on zona moneyline.
0    5


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 17, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
4 years 11 month(s) ago - hide
what's up fellas! Haven't had the greatest week 15 and 16, but let's get back into the green this week! Looking at the following plays: Zona +6.5 - i've been on a lot of zona games this year, with a mobile and capable qb they can backdoor a lot of games, which resulted in them being one of the better ATS teams. I don't expect the rams fans to show up and support the team in the colliseum, and rams already anounced sitting several starters. I do think we get an A effort from Zona, and kyle murray is in play for offensive ROY so there is that. Big bets are on zona, and i could really see an outright win for cardinals. Giants +4 this whole must-win narrative has been debunked year after year... Eagles basically won their perceived superbowl last week, and now they have to play giants, who you would think, want nothing more than to ruin Eagles playoff chances. Eagles receiver core is so banged up especially with ertz now missing the game, i just don't see how they would cover a fairly big road # in a divsisional game. Bengals +3 Another game, with the spread being completely off... We get a poorly coached team in cleveland, with a coach taht will probably get fired, off of their last gasp attempt to make playoffs where they came up short. I do hate the cinci off of OT angle, typically i bet against that, but ai am betting on the unraveling of the Browns team - which is tolally in play. Will most likely be on seattle as a homedog as well... Wilson is 6-1 ATS as a homedog, just can't pass up these #s. Best of luck all, BDV
4    5
time to sign • 630 Posts (473 ) •
4 years 11 month(s) ago
@BigDaddyVladdy  My Eagles will likely lose this game. I haven't decided what to do with the NYG but they will be on the card.
1    6


https://walterfootball.com/nflpicks2019_17early.php
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
4 years 11 month(s) ago - hide
what's up fellas! Haven't had the greatest week 15 and 16, but let's get back into the green this week! Looking at the following plays: Zona +6.5 - i've been on a lot of zona games this year, with a mobile and capable qb they can backdoor a lot of games, which resulted in them being one of the better ATS teams. I don't expect the rams fans to show up and support the team in the colliseum, and rams already anounced sitting several starters. I do think we get an A effort from Zona, and kyle murray is in play for offensive ROY so there is that. Big bets are on zona, and i could really see an outright win for cardinals. Giants +4 this whole must-win narrative has been debunked year after year... Eagles basically won their perceived superbowl last week, and now they have to play giants, who you would think, want nothing more than to ruin Eagles playoff chances. Eagles receiver core is so banged up especially with ertz now missing the game, i just don't see how they would cover a fairly big road # in a divsisional game. Bengals +3 Another game, with the spread being completely off... We get a poorly coached team in cleveland, with a coach taht will probably get fired, off of their last gasp attempt to make playoffs where they came up short. I do hate the cinci off of OT angle, typically i bet against that, but ai am betting on the unraveling of the Browns team - which is tolally in play. Will most likely be on seattle as a homedog as well... Wilson is 6-1 ATS as a homedog, just can't pass up these #s. Best of luck all, BDV
4    5
BabyBettor (Anonymous Poster) •
4 years 11 month(s) ago
@BigDaddyVladdy  I'm also watching ARZ +6.5 as the line as been on the rise and it would be great to see +7 pop up. The NYG line seems to be decreasing, but I lean them as well.
1    3


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 16, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
4 years 12 month(s) ago
@ND10  Good luck my dude!
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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 16, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
4 years 12 month(s) ago
Greetings from Vegas, degens! On 2 games, pretty big. Caesars sportsbook has titans at +3.5, love this homedog even with henry out. Saints ruled out 2 offensive linemen, expect brees to be under pressure. Outdoor brees isnt as effective as indoor, and coming out of emotional and record setting MNF game, expect a bit of a flat effort from saints. Jags +7.5 Super flat spot for falcons here, and really, why are the Falcons favorite by this much over anyone? Dan quinn is a horrible coach versus unfamiliar opponents, and you know everyone is teasing the f out of falcons today. Best of luck, Bdv
4    3


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 15, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 0 month(s) ago
Had a detailed post that got deleted. Looking at 2 games this week: Detroit +6, huge overadjiustment in point (original spread was det -2.5). Winston is injured (but playing) evans is out, putting slay on godwin. big bets are on detroit. Chargers +1. Minny defense hasn't traveled well this year, giving up 10 points more on the road vs home. Anthony Lynn has good homedog stats for the Chargers. Cousins is 1-7 ats for the vikings when the line is within 3 points. Big bets are clearly behind chargers. Teaser of the week: Pats -3, Chicago +11, Zona +10, Chargers +8, Oakland Pick, Buffalo +8 (with pit being a super easy hedge/scoop play). Good luck all, BDV
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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 15, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 0 month(s) ago
What's up boys! I'll post my nfl picks a little later, if not tomorrow morning, but wanted to post a boxing pick for later today. ESPN is showcasing Terrence Crawford, but the match of night is Lopez vs Commey. This is an even-ish scrap, even though lopez is a healthy -230 favorite. The outcome is too tough to call, and there is probably some value on commey by KO, but i want to focus on the O/U here - 10.5 +185. Both of these guys have high career KO%, and can easily put the other one away. Unless the total fix is in, and it's boxing so who knows, I don't see this going past an 8th round. Good luck All, BDV
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https://walterfootball.com/nflpicks2019_15early.php
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 0 month(s) ago - hide
What's up boys! I'll post my nfl picks a little later, if not tomorrow morning, but wanted to post a boxing pick for later today. ESPN is showcasing Terrence Crawford, but the match of night is Lopez vs Commey. This is an even-ish scrap, even though lopez is a healthy -230 favorite. The outcome is too tough to call, and there is probably some value on commey by KO, but i want to focus on the O/U here - 10.5 +185. Both of these guys have high career KO%, and can easily put the other one away. Unless the total fix is in, and it's boxing so who knows, I don't see this going past an 8th round. Good luck All, BDV
6    0
Marty (Anonymous Poster) •
5 years 0 month(s) ago
@BigDaddyVladdy : very nice boxing pick yesterday! I took your advice and made some money, thank you!
3    0


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 15, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 0 month(s) ago
@time to sign  I am on this under too! Lets get it!
0    0


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 14, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 0 month(s) ago
@chuckster  i can honestly say that i dont remember those days lol
0    0


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 14, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 0 month(s) ago
@Petr Griffen  We'll crush em next week!
0    0


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 14, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 0 month(s) ago
@BIGVLADDYSDADDY #fakenews
0    0


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 14, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 0 month(s) ago
@still crazy! thanks, man!
0    0


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 14, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 0 month(s) ago
@Good Goobily Goop whiners whining, and bashing walt. Yearly occurence whenever there is a bad week or two.
0    0


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 14, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 0 month(s) ago
@still crazy!  in case you haven't been to this site prior to this season, it's a yearly occurrence.
0    0


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 14, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 0 month(s) ago - hide
Whats up boys! 2 games are catching my attention this week, might post a 3rd by sunday. Zona +3. It seems ive had a piece of either zona or pit every week this year. Was on zona and pit last week, but the main thing for me here is the following: tomlin is a spectacular coach in specific situations, and this is not it 14-28 ats as a road favorite versus sub .500 teams. This is also shaping up as a letdown spot after 3 divisional gamea in a row, and we all know steelers were supremky focused on last week. Zona is one of the better ats teams in the league, and we get them as a homedog. Raiders +3 This titans team runs hot n cold, although part of it might have been mariotta. They followed up a lot of their big wins with losses over last 2 seasons. I think its a descent time to buy low on the raiders, who played much better at home this year (my guess is a super rowdy crowd embracing last year of homegames). This feels like a perfect buylow sellhigh spot for both teams. For you boxing fans, joshua ruiz fight is on dazn tmr. Joshua showed up lighter in weight, meaning he is training for a 12 round fight. I expect him to have a conservative gameplan and grind out a victory behind his jab. -230 is a tremendous price for a guy who was -2500 just a short time ago. Excellent parlay padder, or just a standalone piece worth a wager. Best of luck, Bdv
4    5
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 0 month(s) ago
@Rbb  Leaning rams. Original spread was rams -7.5, now its a pick? Rams are getting big bet love as well. Hate fading wilson primetime, but i am on the rams.
1    0


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 14, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 0 month(s) ago
Whats up boys! 2 games are catching my attention this week, might post a 3rd by sunday. Zona +3. It seems ive had a piece of either zona or pit every week this year. Was on zona and pit last week, but the main thing for me here is the following: tomlin is a spectacular coach in specific situations, and this is not it 14-28 ats as a road favorite versus sub .500 teams. This is also shaping up as a letdown spot after 3 divisional gamea in a row, and we all know steelers were supremky focused on last week. Zona is one of the better ats teams in the league, and we get them as a homedog. Raiders +3 This titans team runs hot n cold, although part of it might have been mariotta. They followed up a lot of their big wins with losses over last 2 seasons. I think its a descent time to buy low on the raiders, who played much better at home this year (my guess is a super rowdy crowd embracing last year of homegames). This feels like a perfect buylow sellhigh spot for both teams. For you boxing fans, joshua ruiz fight is on dazn tmr. Joshua showed up lighter in weight, meaning he is training for a 12 round fight. I expect him to have a conservative gameplan and grind out a victory behind his jab. -230 is a tremendous price for a guy who was -2500 just a short time ago. Excellent parlay padder, or just a standalone piece worth a wager. Best of luck, Bdv
4    5


https://walterfootball.com/nflpicks2019_14late.php
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 0 month(s) ago - hide
Whats up boys! 2 games are catching my attention this week, might post a 3rd by sunday. Zona +3. It seems ive had a piece of either zona or pit every week this year. Was on zona and pit last week, but the main thing for me here is the following: tomlin is a spectacular coach in specific situations, and this is not it 14-28 ats as a road favorite versus sub .500 teams. This is also shaping up as a letdown spot after 3 divisional gamea in a row, and we all know steelers were supremky focused on last week. Zona is one of the better ats teams in the league, and we get them as a homedog. Raiders +3 This titans team runs hot n cold, although part of it might have been mariotta. They followed up a lot of their big wins with losses over last 2 seasons. I think its a descent time to buy low on the raiders, who played much better at home this year (my guess is a super rowdy crowd embracing last year of homegames). This feels like a perfect buylow sellhigh spot for both teams. For you boxing fans, joshua ruiz fight is on dazn tmr. Joshua showed up lighter in weight, meaning he is training for a 12 round fight. I expect him to have a conservative gameplan and grind out a victory behind his jab. -230 is a tremendous price for a guy who was -2500 just a short time ago. Excellent parlay padder, or just a standalone piece worth a wager. Best of luck, Bdv
4    5
Rbb (Anonymous Poster) •
5 years 0 month(s) ago
@BigDaddyVladdy  What u thinking for the nite game?
1    0


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 14, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 0 month(s) ago - hide
Whats up boys! 2 games are catching my attention this week, might post a 3rd by sunday. Zona +3. It seems ive had a piece of either zona or pit every week this year. Was on zona and pit last week, but the main thing for me here is the following: tomlin is a spectacular coach in specific situations, and this is not it 14-28 ats as a road favorite versus sub .500 teams. This is also shaping up as a letdown spot after 3 divisional gamea in a row, and we all know steelers were supremky focused on last week. Zona is one of the better ats teams in the league, and we get them as a homedog. Raiders +3 This titans team runs hot n cold, although part of it might have been mariotta. They followed up a lot of their big wins with losses over last 2 seasons. I think its a descent time to buy low on the raiders, who played much better at home this year (my guess is a super rowdy crowd embracing last year of homegames). This feels like a perfect buylow sellhigh spot for both teams. For you boxing fans, joshua ruiz fight is on dazn tmr. Joshua showed up lighter in weight, meaning he is training for a 12 round fight. I expect him to have a conservative gameplan and grind out a victory behind his jab. -230 is a tremendous price for a guy who was -2500 just a short time ago. Excellent parlay padder, or just a standalone piece worth a wager. Best of luck, Bdv
4    5
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 0 month(s) ago
@time to sign  Right back at you! Lets get it!
1    0


https://walterfootball.com/nflpicks2019_14early.php
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 0 month(s) ago - hide
Whats up boys! 2 games are catching my attention this week, might post a 3rd by sunday. Zona +3. It seems ive had a piece of either zona or pit every week this year. Was on zona and pit last week, but the main thing for me here is the following: tomlin is a spectacular coach in specific situations, and this is not it 14-28 ats as a road favorite versus sub .500 teams. This is also shaping up as a letdown spot after 3 divisional gamea in a row, and we all know steelers were supremky focused on last week. Zona is one of the better ats teams in the league, and we get them as a homedog. Raiders +3 This titans team runs hot n cold, although part of it might have been mariotta. They followed up a lot of their big wins with losses over last 2 seasons. I think its a descent time to buy low on the raiders, who played much better at home this year (my guess is a super rowdy crowd embracing last year of homegames). This feels like a perfect buylow sellhigh spot for both teams. For you boxing fans, joshua ruiz fight is on dazn tmr. Joshua showed up lighter in weight, meaning he is training for a 12 round fight. I expect him to have a conservative gameplan and grind out a victory behind his jab. -230 is a tremendous price for a guy who was -2500 just a short time ago. Excellent parlay padder, or just a standalone piece worth a wager. Best of luck, Bdv
4    5
time to sign • 630 Posts (473 ) •
5 years 0 month(s) ago
@BigDaddyVladdy  Feels like a game you could have an odd scoreline. GL with your action!
3    0


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 14, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 0 month(s) ago - hide
Whats up boys! 2 games are catching my attention this week, might post a 3rd by sunday. Zona +3. It seems ive had a piece of either zona or pit every week this year. Was on zona and pit last week, but the main thing for me here is the following: tomlin is a spectacular coach in specific situations, and this is not it 14-28 ats as a road favorite versus sub .500 teams. This is also shaping up as a letdown spot after 3 divisional gamea in a row, and we all know steelers were supremky focused on last week. Zona is one of the better ats teams in the league, and we get them as a homedog. Raiders +3 This titans team runs hot n cold, although part of it might have been mariotta. They followed up a lot of their big wins with losses over last 2 seasons. I think its a descent time to buy low on the raiders, who played much better at home this year (my guess is a super rowdy crowd embracing last year of homegames). This feels like a perfect buylow sellhigh spot for both teams. For you boxing fans, joshua ruiz fight is on dazn tmr. Joshua showed up lighter in weight, meaning he is training for a 12 round fight. I expect him to have a conservative gameplan and grind out a victory behind his jab. -230 is a tremendous price for a guy who was -2500 just a short time ago. Excellent parlay padder, or just a standalone piece worth a wager. Best of luck, Bdv
4    5
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 0 month(s) ago
Adding one more play to the card, denver +9. Its a hold your nose type of play, but rookie qbs this year are great at covering spreads in the first 2 weeks (15-4 ats). Houston hasnt covered a game as an 8+ point favorite in 6 years! This year alone, houston is 1-4 ats as a favorite, and they are now coming off of their biggest win of the season (every team that beat the pats last year, lost next week) before playing a divisional opponent. Denver played a lot of close 1score type games this year, so they are not mailing it in. Original spread was hou -5.5, and are crossing 3 key #s with this overreaction. Good luck all, Bdv
5    0


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 14, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 0 month(s) ago
@BabyBettor  Heard a sayin a while back, sharps bet numbers, not teams. Could explain some of these funky plays.
0    0


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 14, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 0 month(s) ago - hide
Whats up boys! 2 games are catching my attention this week, might post a 3rd by sunday. Zona +3. It seems ive had a piece of either zona or pit every week this year. Was on zona and pit last week, but the main thing for me here is the following: tomlin is a spectacular coach in specific situations, and this is not it 14-28 ats as a road favorite versus sub .500 teams. This is also shaping up as a letdown spot after 3 divisional gamea in a row, and we all know steelers were supremky focused on last week. Zona is one of the better ats teams in the league, and we get them as a homedog. Raiders +3 This titans team runs hot n cold, although part of it might have been mariotta. They followed up a lot of their big wins with losses over last 2 seasons. I think its a descent time to buy low on the raiders, who played much better at home this year (my guess is a super rowdy crowd embracing last year of homegames). This feels like a perfect buylow sellhigh spot for both teams. For you boxing fans, joshua ruiz fight is on dazn tmr. Joshua showed up lighter in weight, meaning he is training for a 12 round fight. I expect him to have a conservative gameplan and grind out a victory behind his jab. -230 is a tremendous price for a guy who was -2500 just a short time ago. Excellent parlay padder, or just a standalone piece worth a wager. Best of luck, Bdv
4    5
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 0 month(s) ago
@time to sign  one of my books has pit -1 now... might go for the middle tmr afternoon.
4    1


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 14, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 0 month(s) ago - hide
Whats up boys! 2 games are catching my attention this week, might post a 3rd by sunday. Zona +3. It seems ive had a piece of either zona or pit every week this year. Was on zona and pit last week, but the main thing for me here is the following: tomlin is a spectacular coach in specific situations, and this is not it 14-28 ats as a road favorite versus sub .500 teams. This is also shaping up as a letdown spot after 3 divisional gamea in a row, and we all know steelers were supremky focused on last week. Zona is one of the better ats teams in the league, and we get them as a homedog. Raiders +3 This titans team runs hot n cold, although part of it might have been mariotta. They followed up a lot of their big wins with losses over last 2 seasons. I think its a descent time to buy low on the raiders, who played much better at home this year (my guess is a super rowdy crowd embracing last year of homegames). This feels like a perfect buylow sellhigh spot for both teams. For you boxing fans, joshua ruiz fight is on dazn tmr. Joshua showed up lighter in weight, meaning he is training for a 12 round fight. I expect him to have a conservative gameplan and grind out a victory behind his jab. -230 is a tremendous price for a guy who was -2500 just a short time ago. Excellent parlay padder, or just a standalone piece worth a wager. Best of luck, Bdv
4    5
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 0 month(s) ago
@time to sign  I wouldnt bet zona lower than 3, know a few books took thst number down. In teasers, it's a fantastic play.
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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 13, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 0 month(s) ago - hide
Whats up boys! 2 games are catching my attention this week, might post a 3rd by sunday. Zona +3. It seems ive had a piece of either zona or pit every week this year. Was on zona and pit last week, but the main thing for me here is the following: tomlin is a spectacular coach in specific situations, and this is not it 14-28 ats as a road favorite versus sub .500 teams. This is also shaping up as a letdown spot after 3 divisional gamea in a row, and we all know steelers were supremky focused on last week. Zona is one of the better ats teams in the league, and we get them as a homedog. Raiders +3 This titans team runs hot n cold, although part of it might have been mariotta. They followed up a lot of their big wins with losses over last 2 seasons. I think its a descent time to buy low on the raiders, who played much better at home this year (my guess is a super rowdy crowd embracing last year of homegames). This feels like a perfect buylow sellhigh spot for both teams. For you boxing fans, joshua ruiz fight is on dazn tmr. Joshua showed up lighter in weight, meaning he is training for a 12 round fight. I expect him to have a conservative gameplan and grind out a victory behind his jab. -230 is a tremendous price for a guy who was -2500 just a short time ago. Excellent parlay padder, or just a standalone piece worth a wager. Best of luck, Bdv
4    5
time to sign • 630 Posts (473 ) •
5 years 0 month(s) ago
@BigDaddyVladdy  Like the plays BDV! Will likely play OAK straight and tease ARI. Great spot for ARI but i'm not sure I can trust them.
3    2


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 14, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 0 month(s) ago
@BabyBettor  Per betlabs, over the last 15 seasons (or close to it): Overall ATS - 190-165 (53.5%) Home Favorites: 77-67 (53.5%) against-the-spread Away Favorites: 48-23 (67.6%) against-the-spread Home Underdogs: 26-32 (44.8%) against-the-spread Away Underdogs: 64-68 (48.5%) against-the-spread I think coaching trends are super pertinent; there are simply better coaches that gameplan superbly for opponents over an extended period of time.
0    0


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 13, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 0 month(s) ago - hide
what's up boys! Couple of thoughts on week 13: Zona +3. You know the story with me, divisional homedogs will always attract my attention. Zona is one of the best ATS teams in the league, and arizona is coming off a bye. Even though it hasn't resulted in wins, i am actually really impressed with zona's headcoach as it seems they alter weekly gameplans depending on the opponent. Rams being 2 games out of the playoff race + short turnaround after that MNF whooping, might not be all there. Some places have the line at 2.5 now, indicating big bets on Zona. Pit +2 I've been on a few of these Pittsburg as a dog, or pittsburg with a losing record sides as Tomlin has incredible stats there. I know a ton of missing players for Pitt, but there is major revenge factor, and they seem to be a better team with Hodges operating at the wheel. The best unit on the field is Pitt Defense, and i fully expect them to take over this game. Bengals +3. Another homedog for me, but i think jets are being bet up before of last week's game vs a non focused raider team. Original line was Cinci -1.5, and yes, cinci is worse than we thought, but their Defense shored up over the last couple of weeks allowing only 16 points/game against somewhat capable offenses + Dalton is an upgrade over whatever the hell they were starting before. This is probably cinci's best chance at avoiding an 0-16 season, so i expect a solid effort here. Teaser of the week: Titans +7, Pit +9, Zona +10, Philly -3, Carolina -3, NE +4 (with ability to take houston +3 or maybe even better by the time game kicks for hedge/scoop)). Best of luck, BDV
5    2
Fballguy • 1 Posts (4 ) •
5 years 0 month(s) ago
@BigDaddyVladdy  Hahaha. Nice analysis. Jimmy The Greek over here.
0    2


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 13, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 0 month(s) ago
what's up boys! Couple of thoughts on week 13: Zona +3. You know the story with me, divisional homedogs will always attract my attention. Zona is one of the best ATS teams in the league, and arizona is coming off a bye. Even though it hasn't resulted in wins, i am actually really impressed with zona's headcoach as it seems they alter weekly gameplans depending on the opponent. Rams being 2 games out of the playoff race + short turnaround after that MNF whooping, might not be all there. Some places have the line at 2.5 now, indicating big bets on Zona. Pit +2 I've been on a few of these Pittsburg as a dog, or pittsburg with a losing record sides as Tomlin has incredible stats there. I know a ton of missing players for Pitt, but there is major revenge factor, and they seem to be a better team with Hodges operating at the wheel. The best unit on the field is Pitt Defense, and i fully expect them to take over this game. Bengals +3. Another homedog for me, but i think jets are being bet up before of last week's game vs a non focused raider team. Original line was Cinci -1.5, and yes, cinci is worse than we thought, but their Defense shored up over the last couple of weeks allowing only 16 points/game against somewhat capable offenses + Dalton is an upgrade over whatever the hell they were starting before. This is probably cinci's best chance at avoiding an 0-16 season, so i expect a solid effort here. Teaser of the week: Titans +7, Pit +9, Zona +10, Philly -3, Carolina -3, NE +4 (with ability to take houston +3 or maybe even better by the time game kicks for hedge/scoop)). Best of luck, BDV
5    2


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 13, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 0 month(s) ago
@madturk Happy Birthday!
0    0


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 13, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 0 month(s) ago - hide
what's up boys! Couple of thoughts on week 13: Zona +3. You know the story with me, divisional homedogs will always attract my attention. Zona is one of the best ATS teams in the league, and arizona is coming off a bye. Even though it hasn't resulted in wins, i am actually really impressed with zona's headcoach as it seems they alter weekly gameplans depending on the opponent. Rams being 2 games out of the playoff race + short turnaround after that MNF whooping, might not be all there. Some places have the line at 2.5 now, indicating big bets on Zona. Pit +2 I've been on a few of these Pittsburg as a dog, or pittsburg with a losing record sides as Tomlin has incredible stats there. I know a ton of missing players for Pitt, but there is major revenge factor, and they seem to be a better team with Hodges operating at the wheel. The best unit on the field is Pitt Defense, and i fully expect them to take over this game. Bengals +3. Another homedog for me, but i think jets are being bet up before of last week's game vs a non focused raider team. Original line was Cinci -1.5, and yes, cinci is worse than we thought, but their Defense shored up over the last couple of weeks allowing only 16 points/game against somewhat capable offenses + Dalton is an upgrade over whatever the hell they were starting before. This is probably cinci's best chance at avoiding an 0-16 season, so i expect a solid effort here. Teaser of the week: Titans +7, Pit +9, Zona +10, Philly -3, Carolina -3, NE +4 (with ability to take houston +3 or maybe even better by the time game kicks for hedge/scoop)). Best of luck, BDV
5    2
madturk • 71 Posts (49 ) •
5 years 0 month(s) ago
@BigDaddyVladdy + with ya that cincy game I feel Dalton has some thing to prove but I did not bet the game
1    2


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 13, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 0 month(s) ago - hide
what's up boys! Couple of thoughts on week 13: Zona +3. You know the story with me, divisional homedogs will always attract my attention. Zona is one of the best ATS teams in the league, and arizona is coming off a bye. Even though it hasn't resulted in wins, i am actually really impressed with zona's headcoach as it seems they alter weekly gameplans depending on the opponent. Rams being 2 games out of the playoff race + short turnaround after that MNF whooping, might not be all there. Some places have the line at 2.5 now, indicating big bets on Zona. Pit +2 I've been on a few of these Pittsburg as a dog, or pittsburg with a losing record sides as Tomlin has incredible stats there. I know a ton of missing players for Pitt, but there is major revenge factor, and they seem to be a better team with Hodges operating at the wheel. The best unit on the field is Pitt Defense, and i fully expect them to take over this game. Bengals +3. Another homedog for me, but i think jets are being bet up before of last week's game vs a non focused raider team. Original line was Cinci -1.5, and yes, cinci is worse than we thought, but their Defense shored up over the last couple of weeks allowing only 16 points/game against somewhat capable offenses + Dalton is an upgrade over whatever the hell they were starting before. This is probably cinci's best chance at avoiding an 0-16 season, so i expect a solid effort here. Teaser of the week: Titans +7, Pit +9, Zona +10, Philly -3, Carolina -3, NE +4 (with ability to take houston +3 or maybe even better by the time game kicks for hedge/scoop)). Best of luck, BDV
5    2
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 0 month(s) ago
@time to sign  Right back at you!
1    1


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 13, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 0 month(s) ago - hide
what's up boys! Couple of thoughts on week 13: Zona +3. You know the story with me, divisional homedogs will always attract my attention. Zona is one of the best ATS teams in the league, and arizona is coming off a bye. Even though it hasn't resulted in wins, i am actually really impressed with zona's headcoach as it seems they alter weekly gameplans depending on the opponent. Rams being 2 games out of the playoff race + short turnaround after that MNF whooping, might not be all there. Some places have the line at 2.5 now, indicating big bets on Zona. Pit +2 I've been on a few of these Pittsburg as a dog, or pittsburg with a losing record sides as Tomlin has incredible stats there. I know a ton of missing players for Pitt, but there is major revenge factor, and they seem to be a better team with Hodges operating at the wheel. The best unit on the field is Pitt Defense, and i fully expect them to take over this game. Bengals +3. Another homedog for me, but i think jets are being bet up before of last week's game vs a non focused raider team. Original line was Cinci -1.5, and yes, cinci is worse than we thought, but their Defense shored up over the last couple of weeks allowing only 16 points/game against somewhat capable offenses + Dalton is an upgrade over whatever the hell they were starting before. This is probably cinci's best chance at avoiding an 0-16 season, so i expect a solid effort here. Teaser of the week: Titans +7, Pit +9, Zona +10, Philly -3, Carolina -3, NE +4 (with ability to take houston +3 or maybe even better by the time game kicks for hedge/scoop)). Best of luck, BDV
5    2
time to sign • 630 Posts (473 ) •
5 years 0 month(s) ago
@BigDaddyVladdy  Gl BDV.
1    1


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 13, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 0 month(s) ago
@time to sign  I feel like you'd be a good person to ask... I am in absurdly high stakes Fantasy league... playoffs are on the line.. Trying to figure out best player to start.. Have Watkins/Sutton/AJ Brown/Deebo Samuel at WR (can only start 2 of these in WR slot - already started Golladay). Then there is a flex spot, where i have benny snell & darrel williams. Thoughts???
0    0


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 12, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 0 month(s) ago
@time to sign  Agreed. Kudos to the folks riding balt. I have a dog or pass mentality most of the time especially in nfl, so especially now, its nearly impossible for me to jump.on that train..time to find some other ugly dogs i guess :)
0    0


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 12, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 0 month(s) ago
@time to sign  Perfect comparison to us fading nola last year.
0    0


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 12, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 0 month(s) ago
@time to sign  So which side you playing? Besides the under of course ;)
0    0


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 12, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 0 month(s) ago
2-1 on posted picks yesterday. Had a feeling gb game might have been a trap, and it was. Rolling with rams -4 -116 tonight. Homedog in primetime, check. Way inflated spread - check (original spread, was rams -7). Goff is much better at home than road, and receivers are healthu. Rams are great against the run which should somewhat slow down baltimore attack. Rams r also somewhat familiar with scrambling qbs, having russell wilson and kyle murray in their division. Best of luck! Bdv
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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 12, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 0 month(s) ago - hide
2-1 on posted picks yesterday. Had a feeling gb game might have been a trap, and it was. Rolling with rams -4 -116 tonight. Homedog in primetime, check. Way inflated spread - check (original spread, was rams -7). Goff is much better at home than road, and receivers are healthu. Rams are great against the run which should somewhat slow down baltimore attack. Rams r also somewhat familiar with scrambling qbs, having russell wilson and kyle murray in their division. Best of luck! Bdv
3    3
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 0 month(s) ago
Rams +4, clearly they are not favorite in this game.
1    2


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 12, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 0 month(s) ago - hide
Been treading water last couple of weeks, but let's try to crush week 12! Jets +3 I like this game from multiple angles... Original line was Jets -3. Gruden era raiders are 3-8ats on the road, 2-6ats in the early slot on east coast. The world where this raiders team is a double digit favorite at home & road favorite on the road in b2b weeks, just doesn't make sense to me. Bigger bets are landing on jets as well. Cinci +7 -115 Divisional homedog, which i always appreciate. Original spread was Pit -3, and now mason rudolph is -6? This is truly THE MOTHER of ALL spots, Pitsburgh is playing cleveland next week - i don't think we get a fully focused team, that by the way is missing james conner, juju & pouncey. as much as i've been praising tomlin, as a favorite of 6 or more, he is only 8-18ats. GB +3. Rodgers, in primetime, off a bye, with no lookahead scenario. Sign me up.This might be a total trap, but i just don't see how you can pass up catching points here. TB +4 - might be time to sell this atlanta run. Philly ML? Philly might be a tad bit underrated. Teaser of the week: Jets +10, Broncos +11, Browns - 3.5, Seattle +8.5, Under 45 Cinci/Pit, Over 45 at/tb, Baltimore +4 (with an opp to take rams as a homedog of 3 or better on monday). Good luck all, BDV
7    2
time to sign • 630 Posts (473 ) •
5 years 0 month(s) ago
@BigDaddyVladdy  I wasn't planning on playing the game but Philly best receiver is JJ Arcega-whiteside.... Had to bet under.
1    0


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 12, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 0 month(s) ago
Been treading water last couple of weeks, but let's try to crush week 12! Jets +3 I like this game from multiple angles... Original line was Jets -3. Gruden era raiders are 3-8ats on the road, 2-6ats in the early slot on east coast. The world where this raiders team is a double digit favorite at home & road favorite on the road in b2b weeks, just doesn't make sense to me. Bigger bets are landing on jets as well. Cinci +7 -115 Divisional homedog, which i always appreciate. Original spread was Pit -3, and now mason rudolph is -6? This is truly THE MOTHER of ALL spots, Pitsburgh is playing cleveland next week - i don't think we get a fully focused team, that by the way is missing james conner, juju & pouncey. as much as i've been praising tomlin, as a favorite of 6 or more, he is only 8-18ats. GB +3. Rodgers, in primetime, off a bye, with no lookahead scenario. Sign me up.This might be a total trap, but i just don't see how you can pass up catching points here. TB +4 - might be time to sell this atlanta run. Philly ML? Philly might be a tad bit underrated. Teaser of the week: Jets +10, Broncos +11, Browns - 3.5, Seattle +8.5, Under 45 Cinci/Pit, Over 45 at/tb, Baltimore +4 (with an opp to take rams as a homedog of 3 or better on monday). Good luck all, BDV
7    2


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 12, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 0 month(s) ago
@time to sign  I think pitt comes out so vanilla with Cleveland next. Totally on board with this under. Good luck!
0    0


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 12, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 0 month(s) ago - hide
Been treading water last couple of weeks, but let's try to crush week 12! Jets +3 I like this game from multiple angles... Original line was Jets -3. Gruden era raiders are 3-8ats on the road, 2-6ats in the early slot on east coast. The world where this raiders team is a double digit favorite at home & road favorite on the road in b2b weeks, just doesn't make sense to me. Bigger bets are landing on jets as well. Cinci +7 -115 Divisional homedog, which i always appreciate. Original spread was Pit -3, and now mason rudolph is -6? This is truly THE MOTHER of ALL spots, Pitsburgh is playing cleveland next week - i don't think we get a fully focused team, that by the way is missing james conner, juju & pouncey. as much as i've been praising tomlin, as a favorite of 6 or more, he is only 8-18ats. GB +3. Rodgers, in primetime, off a bye, with no lookahead scenario. Sign me up.This might be a total trap, but i just don't see how you can pass up catching points here. TB +4 - might be time to sell this atlanta run. Philly ML? Philly might be a tad bit underrated. Teaser of the week: Jets +10, Broncos +11, Browns - 3.5, Seattle +8.5, Under 45 Cinci/Pit, Over 45 at/tb, Baltimore +4 (with an opp to take rams as a homedog of 3 or better on monday). Good luck all, BDV
7    2
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 0 month(s) ago
@BabyBettor  Passing on my philly lean. No jeffery, agholor, or lane Johnson. Not optimal vs ruseel wilson.
2    0


https://walterfootball.com/nflpicks2019_12late.php
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 0 month(s) ago - hide
Been treading water last couple of weeks, but let's try to crush week 12! Jets +3 I like this game from multiple angles... Original line was Jets -3. Gruden era raiders are 3-8ats on the road, 2-6ats in the early slot on east coast. The world where this raiders team is a double digit favorite at home & road favorite on the road in b2b weeks, just doesn't make sense to me. Bigger bets are landing on jets as well. Cinci +7 -115 Divisional homedog, which i always appreciate. Original spread was Pit -3, and now mason rudolph is -6? This is truly THE MOTHER of ALL spots, Pitsburgh is playing cleveland next week - i don't think we get a fully focused team, that by the way is missing james conner, juju & pouncey. as much as i've been praising tomlin, as a favorite of 6 or more, he is only 8-18ats. GB +3. Rodgers, in primetime, off a bye, with no lookahead scenario. Sign me up.This might be a total trap, but i just don't see how you can pass up catching points here. TB +4 - might be time to sell this atlanta run. Philly ML? Philly might be a tad bit underrated. Teaser of the week: Jets +10, Broncos +11, Browns - 3.5, Seattle +8.5, Under 45 Cinci/Pit, Over 45 at/tb, Baltimore +4 (with an opp to take rams as a homedog of 3 or better on monday). Good luck all, BDV
7    2
BabyBettor (Anonymous Poster) •
5 years 0 month(s) ago
@BigDaddyVladdy  TB is interesting with Winston coming off a major stinker and playing a weak D (despite the last 2 weeks)
1    0


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 12, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 0 month(s) ago - hide
Been treading water last couple of weeks, but let's try to crush week 12! Jets +3 I like this game from multiple angles... Original line was Jets -3. Gruden era raiders are 3-8ats on the road, 2-6ats in the early slot on east coast. The world where this raiders team is a double digit favorite at home & road favorite on the road in b2b weeks, just doesn't make sense to me. Bigger bets are landing on jets as well. Cinci +7 -115 Divisional homedog, which i always appreciate. Original spread was Pit -3, and now mason rudolph is -6? This is truly THE MOTHER of ALL spots, Pitsburgh is playing cleveland next week - i don't think we get a fully focused team, that by the way is missing james conner, juju & pouncey. as much as i've been praising tomlin, as a favorite of 6 or more, he is only 8-18ats. GB +3. Rodgers, in primetime, off a bye, with no lookahead scenario. Sign me up.This might be a total trap, but i just don't see how you can pass up catching points here. TB +4 - might be time to sell this atlanta run. Philly ML? Philly might be a tad bit underrated. Teaser of the week: Jets +10, Broncos +11, Browns - 3.5, Seattle +8.5, Under 45 Cinci/Pit, Over 45 at/tb, Baltimore +4 (with an opp to take rams as a homedog of 3 or better on monday). Good luck all, BDV
7    2
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 0 month(s) ago
TB & Philly were leans. haven't bet them (yet).
4    1


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 11, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 1 month(s) ago
frustrating day yesterday, was on the way to go 2 out of 4, and the arizona/49ers somehow pushed. Rolling with Chargers tonight. They are a better team on the road, hell they might even have more fans in mexico city than in LA show up to the game. Vegas got murdered yesterday, with KC liability still looming. The line is 2, if not 3 points too high. Chargers have the tools to keep mahomes off the field with gordon and ekeler, and an above average secondary to disrupt mahomes. best of luck, BDV
2    3


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 11, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 1 month(s) ago - hide
frustrating day yesterday, was on the way to go 2 out of 4, and the arizona/49ers somehow pushed. Rolling with Chargers tonight. They are a better team on the road, hell they might even have more fans in mexico city than in LA show up to the game. Vegas got murdered yesterday, with KC liability still looming. The line is 2, if not 3 points too high. Chargers have the tools to keep mahomes off the field with gordon and ekeler, and an above average secondary to disrupt mahomes. best of luck, BDV
2    3
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 1 month(s) ago
@time to sign  The silver lining there, i thought they were going to kick the extea point to really screw the zona backers.
2    0


https://walterfootball.com/nflpicks2019_11late.php
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 1 month(s) ago - hide
frustrating day yesterday, was on the way to go 2 out of 4, and the arizona/49ers somehow pushed. Rolling with Chargers tonight. They are a better team on the road, hell they might even have more fans in mexico city than in LA show up to the game. Vegas got murdered yesterday, with KC liability still looming. The line is 2, if not 3 points too high. Chargers have the tools to keep mahomes off the field with gordon and ekeler, and an above average secondary to disrupt mahomes. best of luck, BDV
2    3
time to sign • 630 Posts (473 ) •
5 years 1 month(s) ago
@BigDaddyVladdy  That was a ridiculous play that should've been blown dead when ARI player recovered the fumble.
3    0


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 11, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 1 month(s) ago - hide
What's up my dudes! Some thoughts on tomorrow's games (this is the week where i feel least confident all season long). Zona +10 there are a few reasons for this wager.. starting with the fact that arizona is consantly underrated ATS this season (effectively being one of the best ATS teams). 49ers are coming off of an Overtime lost that went through entirety of OT. Teams coming off MNF Losses, are 20-36 ats last 3 years. Tons of injuries for 49ers as well. I like zona to keep this close. Atlanta +4 I am getting suckered into a matty ice on the road bet. Falcons are in the middle of a horrific ATS run since losing in the SuperBowl, but they are actually descent ATS in divisional games. looks like big bets are on Falcons as well, moving this spread from 6 to 4. Kyle Allen was a great story as a dog, but in a role of a favorite, i am not ready to bet him just yet. Original spread was carolina -2, and that was with cam newton slated as a starter. We are crossing some key #s here. Hou +4.5 I bet cinci (maybe stupidly)last week, but the spot was solid in my eyes. I think we are getting into "let's sell Baltimore" territory after a NE outright win + blowing through a terribel Cinci team. Deshaun Watson is 11-3 ats as a dog, houston is one of the better teams against the run who can make it difficult on baltimore to execute. Original line was Balt -2.5, so crossing through 2 key #s is extremely attractive to me. Ohter games that interest me, but haven't pulled the trigger.. Philly +4 (original spread was philly -1, and we are getting a heavy heavy NE off a loss + bye tax). Cinci +13 (should raiders really be favorite by 13 points over anyone??). Good luck All! BDV
7    7
time to sign • 630 Posts (473 ) •
5 years 1 month(s) ago
@BigDaddyVladdy  Lets get it!! I agree with the sell Baltimore sentiment as well (hopefully we're live after 1 quarter this time). GL Today.
1    0


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 11, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 1 month(s) ago
What's up my dudes! Some thoughts on tomorrow's games (this is the week where i feel least confident all season long). Zona +10 there are a few reasons for this wager.. starting with the fact that arizona is consantly underrated ATS this season (effectively being one of the best ATS teams). 49ers are coming off of an Overtime lost that went through entirety of OT. Teams coming off MNF Losses, are 20-36 ats last 3 years. Tons of injuries for 49ers as well. I like zona to keep this close. Atlanta +4 I am getting suckered into a matty ice on the road bet. Falcons are in the middle of a horrific ATS run since losing in the SuperBowl, but they are actually descent ATS in divisional games. looks like big bets are on Falcons as well, moving this spread from 6 to 4. Kyle Allen was a great story as a dog, but in a role of a favorite, i am not ready to bet him just yet. Original spread was carolina -2, and that was with cam newton slated as a starter. We are crossing some key #s here. Hou +4.5 I bet cinci (maybe stupidly)last week, but the spot was solid in my eyes. I think we are getting into "let's sell Baltimore" territory after a NE outright win + blowing through a terribel Cinci team. Deshaun Watson is 11-3 ats as a dog, houston is one of the better teams against the run who can make it difficult on baltimore to execute. Original line was Balt -2.5, so crossing through 2 key #s is extremely attractive to me. Ohter games that interest me, but haven't pulled the trigger.. Philly +4 (original spread was philly -1, and we are getting a heavy heavy NE off a loss + bye tax). Cinci +13 (should raiders really be favorite by 13 points over anyone??). Good luck All! BDV
7    7


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 11, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 1 month(s) ago - hide
What's up my dudes! Some thoughts on tomorrow's games (this is the week where i feel least confident all season long). Zona +10 there are a few reasons for this wager.. starting with the fact that arizona is consantly underrated ATS this season (effectively being one of the best ATS teams). 49ers are coming off of an Overtime lost that went through entirety of OT. Teams coming off MNF Losses, are 20-36 ats last 3 years. Tons of injuries for 49ers as well. I like zona to keep this close. Atlanta +4 I am getting suckered into a matty ice on the road bet. Falcons are in the middle of a horrific ATS run since losing in the SuperBowl, but they are actually descent ATS in divisional games. looks like big bets are on Falcons as well, moving this spread from 6 to 4. Kyle Allen was a great story as a dog, but in a role of a favorite, i am not ready to bet him just yet. Original spread was carolina -2, and that was with cam newton slated as a starter. We are crossing some key #s here. Hou +4.5 I bet cinci (maybe stupidly)last week, but the spot was solid in my eyes. I think we are getting into "let's sell Baltimore" territory after a NE outright win + blowing through a terribel Cinci team. Deshaun Watson is 11-3 ats as a dog, houston is one of the better teams against the run who can make it difficult on baltimore to execute. Original line was Balt -2.5, so crossing through 2 key #s is extremely attractive to me. Ohter games that interest me, but haven't pulled the trigger.. Philly +4 (original spread was philly -1, and we are getting a heavy heavy NE off a loss + bye tax). Cinci +13 (should raiders really be favorite by 13 points over anyone??). Good luck All! BDV
7    7
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 1 month(s) ago
@time to sign  100% inflated. The SB line was NE - 4 on a neutral field. Yes, things have changed, but not this much. As of right now, i haven't pulled the trigger, but adding Tampa Bay +5 to the card. Divisional homedog, that should have some bite to them today. Let's GET IT!
1    0


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 11, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 1 month(s) ago - hide
What's up my dudes! Some thoughts on tomorrow's games (this is the week where i feel least confident all season long). Zona +10 there are a few reasons for this wager.. starting with the fact that arizona is consantly underrated ATS this season (effectively being one of the best ATS teams). 49ers are coming off of an Overtime lost that went through entirety of OT. Teams coming off MNF Losses, are 20-36 ats last 3 years. Tons of injuries for 49ers as well. I like zona to keep this close. Atlanta +4 I am getting suckered into a matty ice on the road bet. Falcons are in the middle of a horrific ATS run since losing in the SuperBowl, but they are actually descent ATS in divisional games. looks like big bets are on Falcons as well, moving this spread from 6 to 4. Kyle Allen was a great story as a dog, but in a role of a favorite, i am not ready to bet him just yet. Original spread was carolina -2, and that was with cam newton slated as a starter. We are crossing some key #s here. Hou +4.5 I bet cinci (maybe stupidly)last week, but the spot was solid in my eyes. I think we are getting into "let's sell Baltimore" territory after a NE outright win + blowing through a terribel Cinci team. Deshaun Watson is 11-3 ats as a dog, houston is one of the better teams against the run who can make it difficult on baltimore to execute. Original line was Balt -2.5, so crossing through 2 key #s is extremely attractive to me. Ohter games that interest me, but haven't pulled the trigger.. Philly +4 (original spread was philly -1, and we are getting a heavy heavy NE off a loss + bye tax). Cinci +13 (should raiders really be favorite by 13 points over anyone??). Good luck All! BDV
7    7
time to sign • 630 Posts (473 ) •
5 years 1 month(s) ago
@BigDaddyVladdy  Come on BDV, you know there is value with Philly. Forget the NE is off a loss and a bye with Super Bowl revenge nonsense. My Eagles are going to provide a reminder to everyone of that super bowl win. Forget that without D-Jax or Alshon Philly has no way to stretch the field vertically and that Belichick has 2 weeks to prepare to stop 5 yard passes to Ertz. None of that matters as it's all been factored into the line, a line which we know is inflated.
1    2


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 11, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 1 month(s) ago - hide
What's up my dudes! Some thoughts on tomorrow's games (this is the week where i feel least confident all season long). Zona +10 there are a few reasons for this wager.. starting with the fact that arizona is consantly underrated ATS this season (effectively being one of the best ATS teams). 49ers are coming off of an Overtime lost that went through entirety of OT. Teams coming off MNF Losses, are 20-36 ats last 3 years. Tons of injuries for 49ers as well. I like zona to keep this close. Atlanta +4 I am getting suckered into a matty ice on the road bet. Falcons are in the middle of a horrific ATS run since losing in the SuperBowl, but they are actually descent ATS in divisional games. looks like big bets are on Falcons as well, moving this spread from 6 to 4. Kyle Allen was a great story as a dog, but in a role of a favorite, i am not ready to bet him just yet. Original spread was carolina -2, and that was with cam newton slated as a starter. We are crossing some key #s here. Hou +4.5 I bet cinci (maybe stupidly)last week, but the spot was solid in my eyes. I think we are getting into "let's sell Baltimore" territory after a NE outright win + blowing through a terribel Cinci team. Deshaun Watson is 11-3 ats as a dog, houston is one of the better teams against the run who can make it difficult on baltimore to execute. Original line was Balt -2.5, so crossing through 2 key #s is extremely attractive to me. Ohter games that interest me, but haven't pulled the trigger.. Philly +4 (original spread was philly -1, and we are getting a heavy heavy NE off a loss + bye tax). Cinci +13 (should raiders really be favorite by 13 points over anyone??). Good luck All! BDV
7    7
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 1 month(s) ago
@BabyBettor  i hear you. and totally valid point. but with that said, carolina is one of the worst teams against the run. One would think atlanta can play some keepaway from them.
2    1


https://walterfootball.com/nflpicks2019_11late.php
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 1 month(s) ago - hide
What's up my dudes! Some thoughts on tomorrow's games (this is the week where i feel least confident all season long). Zona +10 there are a few reasons for this wager.. starting with the fact that arizona is consantly underrated ATS this season (effectively being one of the best ATS teams). 49ers are coming off of an Overtime lost that went through entirety of OT. Teams coming off MNF Losses, are 20-36 ats last 3 years. Tons of injuries for 49ers as well. I like zona to keep this close. Atlanta +4 I am getting suckered into a matty ice on the road bet. Falcons are in the middle of a horrific ATS run since losing in the SuperBowl, but they are actually descent ATS in divisional games. looks like big bets are on Falcons as well, moving this spread from 6 to 4. Kyle Allen was a great story as a dog, but in a role of a favorite, i am not ready to bet him just yet. Original spread was carolina -2, and that was with cam newton slated as a starter. We are crossing some key #s here. Hou +4.5 I bet cinci (maybe stupidly)last week, but the spot was solid in my eyes. I think we are getting into "let's sell Baltimore" territory after a NE outright win + blowing through a terribel Cinci team. Deshaun Watson is 11-3 ats as a dog, houston is one of the better teams against the run who can make it difficult on baltimore to execute. Original line was Balt -2.5, so crossing through 2 key #s is extremely attractive to me. Ohter games that interest me, but haven't pulled the trigger.. Philly +4 (original spread was philly -1, and we are getting a heavy heavy NE off a loss + bye tax). Cinci +13 (should raiders really be favorite by 13 points over anyone??). Good luck All! BDV
7    7
BabyBettor (Anonymous Poster) •
5 years 1 month(s) ago
@BigDaddyVladdy  The one thing that worries me about ATL is that CAR run game has been ridiculous and we've seen them smash lessor defenses late in the game to front door.
3    2


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 10, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 1 month(s) ago - hide
Lets get a few plays in: Cinci +11 -115 as spot as it gets. Read a funny stat on ESPN, teams that beat pats and then are 7+ favorites, havent covered in 10 years. Lamar was sick, might not be at his best. Cinci covered 4 straight in this series. Cle -2.5 -115 A ton of sharp love for this game and i am following the money. Love buffalo defense, but their qb is incosistent especially on the road. Tennese +6 I think this spread is 3 points too high. Tennessee is equipped to keep the ball away from mahomes and co. Always love the homedog angle. Tannenhil breathed some life into the offense as well. Lets get it! Bdv
7    2
time to sign • 630 Posts (473 ) •
5 years 1 month(s) ago
@BigDaddyVladdy  me too off a bye, division rivalry... I split a pair of 2H bets that i didn't get to post here with the winner being NOS/ATL 2H Under 26... Agree, Madturk was very smart to stay away...
1    1


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 10, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 1 month(s) ago
Lets get a few plays in: Cinci +11 -115 as spot as it gets. Read a funny stat on ESPN, teams that beat pats and then are 7+ favorites, havent covered in 10 years. Lamar was sick, might not be at his best. Cinci covered 4 straight in this series. Cle -2.5 -115 A ton of sharp love for this game and i am following the money. Love buffalo defense, but their qb is incosistent especially on the road. Tennese +6 I think this spread is 3 points too high. Tennessee is equipped to keep the ball away from mahomes and co. Always love the homedog angle. Tannenhil breathed some life into the offense as well. Lets get it! Bdv
7    2


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 10, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 1 month(s) ago - hide
Lets get a few plays in: Cinci +11 -115 as spot as it gets. Read a funny stat on ESPN, teams that beat pats and then are 7+ favorites, havent covered in 10 years. Lamar was sick, might not be at his best. Cinci covered 4 straight in this series. Cle -2.5 -115 A ton of sharp love for this game and i am following the money. Love buffalo defense, but their qb is incosistent especially on the road. Tennese +6 I think this spread is 3 points too high. Tennessee is equipped to keep the ball away from mahomes and co. Always love the homedog angle. Tannenhil breathed some life into the offense as well. Lets get it! Bdv
7    2
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 1 month(s) ago
@time to sign  Kicking myself for not taking atlanta. Just couldn't bring myself to pull the trigger, but will take a positive day no matter what!
3    2


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 10, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 1 month(s) ago - hide
Lets get a few plays in: Cinci +11 -115 as spot as it gets. Read a funny stat on ESPN, teams that beat pats and then are 7+ favorites, havent covered in 10 years. Lamar was sick, might not be at his best. Cinci covered 4 straight in this series. Cle -2.5 -115 A ton of sharp love for this game and i am following the money. Love buffalo defense, but their qb is incosistent especially on the road. Tennese +6 I think this spread is 3 points too high. Tennessee is equipped to keep the ball away from mahomes and co. Always love the homedog angle. Tannenhil breathed some life into the offense as well. Lets get it! Bdv
7    2
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 1 month(s) ago
@madturk  You are a smart man to stay away there, i couldn't pass up this kind of a spot.
1    1


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 10, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 1 month(s) ago - hide
Lets get a few plays in: Cinci +11 -115 as spot as it gets. Read a funny stat on ESPN, teams that beat pats and then are 7+ favorites, havent covered in 10 years. Lamar was sick, might not be at his best. Cinci covered 4 straight in this series. Cle -2.5 -115 A ton of sharp love for this game and i am following the money. Love buffalo defense, but their qb is incosistent especially on the road. Tennese +6 I think this spread is 3 points too high. Tennessee is equipped to keep the ball away from mahomes and co. Always love the homedog angle. Tannenhil breathed some life into the offense as well. Lets get it! Bdv
7    2
madturk • 71 Posts (49 ) •
5 years 1 month(s) ago
@BigDaddyVladdy= stayed far away from that balt game after they won their super bowl, but 1st qtr #s had to take them 1st qtr. Gl
3    1


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 10, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 1 month(s) ago - hide
Lets get a few plays in: Cinci +11 -115 as spot as it gets. Read a funny stat on ESPN, teams that beat pats and then are 7+ favorites, havent covered in 10 years. Lamar was sick, might not be at his best. Cinci covered 4 straight in this series. Cle -2.5 -115 A ton of sharp love for this game and i am following the money. Love buffalo defense, but their qb is incosistent especially on the road. Tennese +6 I think this spread is 3 points too high. Tennessee is equipped to keep the ball away from mahomes and co. Always love the homedog angle. Tannenhil breathed some life into the offense as well. Lets get it! Bdv
7    2
time to sign • 630 Posts (473 ) •
5 years 1 month(s) ago
@BigDaddyVladdy  GL BDV!
2    1


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 9, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 1 month(s) ago
Short write up prior to sunday, off to Vegas - going to the canelo/kovalev fight. Tampa bay +6. Tons of sharp money on tampabay. Arians is 4-1 vs ats vs wilson in seattle. Lookahead scenario for seattle. Pit +1. Ive written about this before, but tomlin is an amazing underdog coach and gets the tesm focus when they have a losing record. He emphasized getting to .500 in their post game speach. Colts secondary banged up and ty hilton is ruled out. Jets -3. Goes against all my homedog principals, but jets should get right here. If they dont, might be my last bet on them all season. Good luck all, Bdv
6    2


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 9, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 1 month(s) ago - hide
Any good Intel on today's game7?
1    1
time to sign • 630 Posts (473 ) •
5 years 1 month(s) ago
@ND10  Thanks! Washington played in 5 elimination games this post season. They amazingly trailed in all of them yet here they are as world champions.
2    1


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 9, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 1 month(s) ago
Any good Intel on today's game7?
1    1


https://walterfootball.com/nflpicks2019_09early.php
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 1 month(s) ago - hide
Any good Intel on today's game7?
1    1
ND10 • 60 Posts (99 ) •
5 years 1 month(s) ago
@time to sign  good work. Nice call on Corbin.
2    1


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 9, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 1 month(s) ago - hide
Any good Intel on today's game7?
1    1
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 1 month(s) ago
@time to sign  i am taking a shot at the under. All pictchers are in play today. Good luck my dude!
2    2


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 9, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 1 month(s) ago - hide
Any good Intel on today's game7?
1    1
time to sign • 630 Posts (473 ) •
5 years 1 month(s) ago
@BigDaddyVladdy  I took a small a shot with WAS at the + price b/c HOU has all the pressure at home in a series the road team has dominated and I have the better starter. I know WAS bullpen is terrible but we won't see most of those guys (hopefully) and Corbin is likely to come in if needed.
3    1


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 8, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 1 month(s) ago
@time to sign  dont sweat the trolls, bro. Not even worth your keystrokes.
0    0


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 8, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 1 month(s) ago - hide
Back to regular posting after being swamped with my buddy's wedding last week. Giants +7. I really feel like this is a gift of a spread. Detroits best running back is injured slay is out, and they just traded their starting safety. Rookie qbs hate pressure, and detroit simply doesnt blitz much. Wouldnt be suprised if giants pull of a road upset here. Jets +7 -115. Classic buy low spot on the jets. Everyone just saw them look horrible in mnf, but their softer side of the schedule starts now. Jags no longer have the blistering heat homefield advantage, and eating 7 points with gardner minshew is ridicolous. Original line was jax -4, and that was with foles at qb, so we r saying minshew is 3 poings better? Carolina +6. Another ridiculous-ish type spread. Original line was 49ers -2.5, and i get a few things happened. 49ers are better than we expected, but kyle allen is still undefeated ATS. we get carolina off a bye coupled with rivera being a great dog coach (17-8 ats last 25 games). This shapes up as a low scoring game, giving a dog +pts even more credence. Teaser of the weeek: Giants +14, hou pick, philly +9, sea pick, indy +2,gb +3, with kc +4 as a hedge/scoop. Best of luck, Bdv
5    2
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 1 month(s) ago
@BigDaddyVladdy  1-2 ats, the jets game really annoyed me. I dont think they are that much worse than jax. Carolina laid an absolute egg, and this type of loss might get cam newton back. Good news though, teaser got there, although i gave some back on the kc hedge play. Doubt ill play mnf. We are on to cincinatti.
4    0


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 8, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 1 month(s) ago
Back to regular posting after being swamped with my buddy's wedding last week. Giants +7. I really feel like this is a gift of a spread. Detroits best running back is injured slay is out, and they just traded their starting safety. Rookie qbs hate pressure, and detroit simply doesnt blitz much. Wouldnt be suprised if giants pull of a road upset here. Jets +7 -115. Classic buy low spot on the jets. Everyone just saw them look horrible in mnf, but their softer side of the schedule starts now. Jags no longer have the blistering heat homefield advantage, and eating 7 points with gardner minshew is ridicolous. Original line was jax -4, and that was with foles at qb, so we r saying minshew is 3 poings better? Carolina +6. Another ridiculous-ish type spread. Original line was 49ers -2.5, and i get a few things happened. 49ers are better than we expected, but kyle allen is still undefeated ATS. we get carolina off a bye coupled with rivera being a great dog coach (17-8 ats last 25 games). This shapes up as a low scoring game, giving a dog +pts even more credence. Teaser of the weeek: Giants +14, hou pick, philly +9, sea pick, indy +2,gb +3, with kc +4 as a hedge/scoop. Best of luck, Bdv
5    2


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 8, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 1 month(s) ago
@time to sign  really want to pull the trigger on zona.. feeling just tadbit gunshy. Hope you hit it!
0    0


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 8, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 1 month(s) ago
@ND10  with you on most of these. Lets get it!
0    0


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 8, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 1 month(s) ago - hide
Back to regular posting after being swamped with my buddy's wedding last week. Giants +7. I really feel like this is a gift of a spread. Detroits best running back is injured slay is out, and they just traded their starting safety. Rookie qbs hate pressure, and detroit simply doesnt blitz much. Wouldnt be suprised if giants pull of a road upset here. Jets +7 -115. Classic buy low spot on the jets. Everyone just saw them look horrible in mnf, but their softer side of the schedule starts now. Jags no longer have the blistering heat homefield advantage, and eating 7 points with gardner minshew is ridicolous. Original line was jax -4, and that was with foles at qb, so we r saying minshew is 3 poings better? Carolina +6. Another ridiculous-ish type spread. Original line was 49ers -2.5, and i get a few things happened. 49ers are better than we expected, but kyle allen is still undefeated ATS. we get carolina off a bye coupled with rivera being a great dog coach (17-8 ats last 25 games). This shapes up as a low scoring game, giving a dog +pts even more credence. Teaser of the weeek: Giants +14, hou pick, philly +9, sea pick, indy +2,gb +3, with kc +4 as a hedge/scoop. Best of luck, Bdv
5    2
time to sign • 630 Posts (473 ) •
5 years 1 month(s) ago
@BigDaddyVladdy  The Jets also spent the week talking about how they were disrespected by JAX last year when the game was in hand and they scored a late TD and went for 2.
4    2


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 8, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 1 month(s) ago
@chuckster  Thursday night games are just ugly. I wish nfl would eliminate them.
0    0


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 8, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 1 month(s) ago
@Ravineman barring injury news, that line is only going down. Already saw some 1.5s.
0    0


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 8, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 1 month(s) ago
@time to sign  On the under in tor/pels, and took lakers -1 a few nights back (admittedly this is more of a fan bet).
0    0


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 7, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 1 month(s) ago
@time to sign  I took Toronto to win the title when the playoff started. Probably my best longshot-ish nba bet of all time. Not much of a season total bettor, more of a futures outlook for me.
0    0


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 7, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 1 month(s) ago
@time to sign  We'll see how some of these spreads look. Its one thing to get up for the game, its another to have talent/scheme to execute, especially when golden states troops have a lot to proove themselves. Side note, been down on nba over the last few years as a viewing product, but pretty pumped for this season. Between multiole contenders and the lakers resurgence, i am on board paid for league pass.
0    0


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 7, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 1 month(s) ago
@time to sign  Seems like a good deal to me!
0    0


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 7, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 1 month(s) ago
@time to sign  I am team morrant all the way here. He is given the keys to the franchise. The ball will be in his hands. Even if zion was healthy, which he isnt, too much talent around him. I have a jah ticket already and i am intrigued to throw a few bucks on hachumura.
0    0


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 7, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 1 month(s) ago
@time to sign  Let's cash this jets ticket.
0    0


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 7, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 1 month(s) ago
Whats up gents! I am taking a shot at jets +10 today. Always love a homedog, but esepcially a divisonal homedog. Original line was NE -4.5, so we are getting 5.5 points to play with ( i think we r getting the falk treatment with this line, not darnold). Pats were 7 point favorites at buffalo, and didnt cover, and idk if this buffalo team is fulll 3 points better than Jets. Even though youll hear on espn how pats beat up on jets constantly, jets covered last 5 out of 6. We are probably looking at a kitchen sink game from the jets, 5th loss might be too much to overcome for a team with playoff aspirations. Good luck all, Bdv
3    3


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 7, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago
@Ravineman keepn in mind some middling opportunities with a moving line. if this gets to KC -2.5, you owe it to yourself to bet KC -3 and hope for the scoop. Best of luck!
0    0


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 7, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago - hide
2-1 day yesterday, dont even know what to say about cle/sea game.. is russell wilson mvp right now? Taking a shot at the divisonal dog today.. Detroit +4 -120. It seems the books are wanting some greenbay money, ive seen some positive payout -3.5s out there. Detroit is coming off a bye, and the devanta adams injury is still looming large for greenbay. With books having a huge day yesterday, the public is chasing with ye ol trusty packers, but i am going the other way. Good luck all, Bdv
11    1
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago
@ND10 i am not going to confirm nor deny any yelling in that specific moment.
1    1


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 6, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago
2-1 day yesterday, dont even know what to say about cle/sea game.. is russell wilson mvp right now? Taking a shot at the divisonal dog today.. Detroit +4 -120. It seems the books are wanting some greenbay money, ive seen some positive payout -3.5s out there. Detroit is coming off a bye, and the devanta adams injury is still looming large for greenbay. With books having a huge day yesterday, the public is chasing with ye ol trusty packers, but i am going the other way. Good luck all, Bdv
11    1


https://walterfootball.com/nflpicks2019_07early.php
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago - hide
2-1 day yesterday, dont even know what to say about cle/sea game.. is russell wilson mvp right now? Taking a shot at the divisonal dog today.. Detroit +4 -120. It seems the books are wanting some greenbay money, ive seen some positive payout -3.5s out there. Detroit is coming off a bye, and the devanta adams injury is still looming large for greenbay. With books having a huge day yesterday, the public is chasing with ye ol trusty packers, but i am going the other way. Good luck all, Bdv
11    1
ND10 • 60 Posts (99 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago
@BigDaddyVladdy  I bet you almost had a heart attack before Jamaal Williams took a knee on the one yard line lol..nice call
0    1


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 6, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago - hide
2-1 day yesterday, dont even know what to say about cle/sea game.. is russell wilson mvp right now? Taking a shot at the divisonal dog today.. Detroit +4 -120. It seems the books are wanting some greenbay money, ive seen some positive payout -3.5s out there. Detroit is coming off a bye, and the devanta adams injury is still looming large for greenbay. With books having a huge day yesterday, the public is chasing with ye ol trusty packers, but i am going the other way. Good luck all, Bdv
11    1
time to sign • 630 Posts (473 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago
@BigDaddyVladdy  ya me too. Not that Wilson is a lock or anything especially considering 2 weeks ago everyone was ready to give it to Mahomes. Mahomes and Watson seem like good choices and are both favored to win the division while SEA has to compete with both the Rams and 49ers this year. Mccaffrey is also making noise in CAR. If they ever beat NOS for that division, you know he'll get most of the credit over the rookie QB. And yes, let's cash the Lions ticket!!
1    1


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 6, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago - hide
2-1 day yesterday, dont even know what to say about cle/sea game.. is russell wilson mvp right now? Taking a shot at the divisonal dog today.. Detroit +4 -120. It seems the books are wanting some greenbay money, ive seen some positive payout -3.5s out there. Detroit is coming off a bye, and the devanta adams injury is still looming large for greenbay. With books having a huge day yesterday, the public is chasing with ye ol trusty packers, but i am going the other way. Good luck all, Bdv
11    1
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago
@time to sign  I dropped the ball on mvp bets this season... Lets cash this lions ticket!
1    1


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 6, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago - hide
2-1 day yesterday, dont even know what to say about cle/sea game.. is russell wilson mvp right now? Taking a shot at the divisonal dog today.. Detroit +4 -120. It seems the books are wanting some greenbay money, ive seen some positive payout -3.5s out there. Detroit is coming off a bye, and the devanta adams injury is still looming large for greenbay. With books having a huge day yesterday, the public is chasing with ye ol trusty packers, but i am going the other way. Good luck all, Bdv
11    1
time to sign • 630 Posts (473 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago
@BigDaddyVladdy  I said at the beginning of year when I posted my week 1 lines here that SEA has the NFL's best QB. Unfortunately I didn't consider betting Wilson to win MVP. But i'm happy people are realizing how elite he is.
1    1


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 6, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago
@time to sign  definitely a flat-ish spot for Saints; I just hate living in a world where i have to eat points with something called gardner minshew lol Good luck brother, Let's get it!!!!
0    0


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 6, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago
@time to sign  for some reason i just can't bring myself to eat the points with jax. good luck!
0    0


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 6, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago - hide
What's up Gents! Couple of week 6 picks i like: Jets +7 Mentioned earlier while replying to @timetosign's post... This is a classic overreacion game. Original spread for this game was cowboys -2, which rates these two teams correctly. Now cowboys are expected to come into a road game, and win by 7+? Sam Darnold is back for the jets, and this offense will move the ball. Public is betting the boys, yet the money distribution is pretty much even, very much a joes vs pros game. Let's go homedoggy! Cle +1.5 I was really hoping for a bigger Seattle overreaction to push this into +3 territory. Everyone and their mom is betting last week's results, but original spread was Cle -1; hell the spread before MNF was Cle -2.5! Looks like Seattle will be without 2 offensive linemen here, and you have to think Browns rebound. I am well aware of the week prior TNF vs MNF advantage, and am def concerned with that trend,but again, we are following the money - and the bigger bets are flowing onto cleveland. This might be my first (and who knows, maybe last) chalk pick.. Carolina -2. Maybe this is a trap, but this is an England (pretty sure it's not london, but not sure where Tottenham Spurs play) game, and the rule of thumb for these, you take a better team. Carolina took of earlier to Engalnd than TB which is a distinct advantage. Carolina's defensive weakness is stopping the run, and i am just not sure TB is equipped to punish them. Kyle Allen hasn't lost ATS yet, and i just don't think this is the game he loses. I'll be up early to watch this one. Teaser of the week: TN +9, CLE +8.5, Saints +10, Arizona +9.5, Over 44 Zona/Atlanta, Chargers + .5/Pick (with Pit as the potential hedge/scoop scenario if we are still alive). Best of luck to All, BDV
12    0
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago
@Ronnie James Dio thanks for the info. the stadium does look cool on tv.
2    0


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 6, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago
What's up Gents! Couple of week 6 picks i like: Jets +7 Mentioned earlier while replying to @timetosign's post... This is a classic overreacion game. Original spread for this game was cowboys -2, which rates these two teams correctly. Now cowboys are expected to come into a road game, and win by 7+? Sam Darnold is back for the jets, and this offense will move the ball. Public is betting the boys, yet the money distribution is pretty much even, very much a joes vs pros game. Let's go homedoggy! Cle +1.5 I was really hoping for a bigger Seattle overreaction to push this into +3 territory. Everyone and their mom is betting last week's results, but original spread was Cle -1; hell the spread before MNF was Cle -2.5! Looks like Seattle will be without 2 offensive linemen here, and you have to think Browns rebound. I am well aware of the week prior TNF vs MNF advantage, and am def concerned with that trend,but again, we are following the money - and the bigger bets are flowing onto cleveland. This might be my first (and who knows, maybe last) chalk pick.. Carolina -2. Maybe this is a trap, but this is an England (pretty sure it's not london, but not sure where Tottenham Spurs play) game, and the rule of thumb for these, you take a better team. Carolina took of earlier to Engalnd than TB which is a distinct advantage. Carolina's defensive weakness is stopping the run, and i am just not sure TB is equipped to punish them. Kyle Allen hasn't lost ATS yet, and i just don't think this is the game he loses. I'll be up early to watch this one. Teaser of the week: TN +9, CLE +8.5, Saints +10, Arizona +9.5, Over 44 Zona/Atlanta, Chargers + .5/Pick (with Pit as the potential hedge/scoop scenario if we are still alive). Best of luck to All, BDV
12    0


https://walterfootball.com/nflpicks2019_06early.php
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago - hide
What's up Gents! Couple of week 6 picks i like: Jets +7 Mentioned earlier while replying to @timetosign's post... This is a classic overreacion game. Original spread for this game was cowboys -2, which rates these two teams correctly. Now cowboys are expected to come into a road game, and win by 7+? Sam Darnold is back for the jets, and this offense will move the ball. Public is betting the boys, yet the money distribution is pretty much even, very much a joes vs pros game. Let's go homedoggy! Cle +1.5 I was really hoping for a bigger Seattle overreaction to push this into +3 territory. Everyone and their mom is betting last week's results, but original spread was Cle -1; hell the spread before MNF was Cle -2.5! Looks like Seattle will be without 2 offensive linemen here, and you have to think Browns rebound. I am well aware of the week prior TNF vs MNF advantage, and am def concerned with that trend,but again, we are following the money - and the bigger bets are flowing onto cleveland. This might be my first (and who knows, maybe last) chalk pick.. Carolina -2. Maybe this is a trap, but this is an England (pretty sure it's not london, but not sure where Tottenham Spurs play) game, and the rule of thumb for these, you take a better team. Carolina took of earlier to Engalnd than TB which is a distinct advantage. Carolina's defensive weakness is stopping the run, and i am just not sure TB is equipped to punish them. Kyle Allen hasn't lost ATS yet, and i just don't think this is the game he loses. I'll be up early to watch this one. Teaser of the week: TN +9, CLE +8.5, Saints +10, Arizona +9.5, Over 44 Zona/Atlanta, Chargers + .5/Pick (with Pit as the potential hedge/scoop scenario if we are still alive). Best of luck to All, BDV
12    0
Ronnie James Dio • 5 Posts (7 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago
@BigDaddyVladdy  The game is in London at the new Tottenham Stadium (will be renamed once they find a sponsor). All NFL games will be played here from now on; the synthetic turf for games, concerts, etc is used when soccer is not being played. Beautiful facility, toured it back in the summer.
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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 6, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago
@time to sign  ended up rolling with zona, but did reduce the wager amount after reading your thoughts...
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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 6, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago
@ND10 @timetosign i don't really follow college fball as you guys... being told Zona +6 is a great bet today.. worth a wager?
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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 6, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago
@time to sign you best know I'll be on this homedoggy too!
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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 5, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago - hide
Greetings boys. Couple of plays i like for tomorrow. Pitt +3.5 Divisional homedog always peeks my interest, especially in a bitter rivalry like this. Tomlin covers as a dog, and i mentioned a stat earlier.. he wins something like 70% of his games when pitt has a losing record - almost double the league average. It seems the books want you to take baltimore given the juice on the game. I get that cinci is no baltimore, but i appreciate the gameplan to make Rudolph's life easier. Denver +6 Divisional dog that no one wants to bet, yet there is a ton of money on them. Chargers dont have a home field advantage, at all. I think there is a bit of recency bias too in publics eyes. Chargers covered, Denver didnt last week. Denver was up most of the game, and chargers had a lot of trouble with miami. Chargers might have to work out some kinks with Melvin gordon coming back as well. I am not in love with this game, but atlanta +4 is calling my attention. I normally fade road matty ice, but its a dome game. This has shootout potential, and without a good running game to speak of, i just dont see how houston would ice the game. Best of luck all, Bdv
10    1
Ravineman (Anonymous Poster) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago
@BigDaddyVladdy It sure didn't after all BDV! What a week! Congrats my friend, and good luck to all.
3    0


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 5, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago
Greetings boys. Couple of plays i like for tomorrow. Pitt +3.5 Divisional homedog always peeks my interest, especially in a bitter rivalry like this. Tomlin covers as a dog, and i mentioned a stat earlier.. he wins something like 70% of his games when pitt has a losing record - almost double the league average. It seems the books want you to take baltimore given the juice on the game. I get that cinci is no baltimore, but i appreciate the gameplan to make Rudolph's life easier. Denver +6 Divisional dog that no one wants to bet, yet there is a ton of money on them. Chargers dont have a home field advantage, at all. I think there is a bit of recency bias too in publics eyes. Chargers covered, Denver didnt last week. Denver was up most of the game, and chargers had a lot of trouble with miami. Chargers might have to work out some kinks with Melvin gordon coming back as well. I am not in love with this game, but atlanta +4 is calling my attention. I normally fade road matty ice, but its a dome game. This has shootout potential, and without a good running game to speak of, i just dont see how houston would ice the game. Best of luck all, Bdv
10    1


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 5, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago - hide
Greetings boys. Couple of plays i like for tomorrow. Pitt +3.5 Divisional homedog always peeks my interest, especially in a bitter rivalry like this. Tomlin covers as a dog, and i mentioned a stat earlier.. he wins something like 70% of his games when pitt has a losing record - almost double the league average. It seems the books want you to take baltimore given the juice on the game. I get that cinci is no baltimore, but i appreciate the gameplan to make Rudolph's life easier. Denver +6 Divisional dog that no one wants to bet, yet there is a ton of money on them. Chargers dont have a home field advantage, at all. I think there is a bit of recency bias too in publics eyes. Chargers covered, Denver didnt last week. Denver was up most of the game, and chargers had a lot of trouble with miami. Chargers might have to work out some kinks with Melvin gordon coming back as well. I am not in love with this game, but atlanta +4 is calling my attention. I normally fade road matty ice, but its a dome game. This has shootout potential, and without a good running game to speak of, i just dont see how houston would ice the game. Best of luck all, Bdv
10    1
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago
@Ravineman  6.5, 6, 5.5, 5.. none of it mattered.
2    0


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 5, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago
@time to sign  Happens to the best of us... as billichek likes to say, we are onto cincinatti.. i.e. week 6.
0    0


https://walterfootball.com/nflpicks2019_05late.php
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago - hide
Greetings boys. Couple of plays i like for tomorrow. Pitt +3.5 Divisional homedog always peeks my interest, especially in a bitter rivalry like this. Tomlin covers as a dog, and i mentioned a stat earlier.. he wins something like 70% of his games when pitt has a losing record - almost double the league average. It seems the books want you to take baltimore given the juice on the game. I get that cinci is no baltimore, but i appreciate the gameplan to make Rudolph's life easier. Denver +6 Divisional dog that no one wants to bet, yet there is a ton of money on them. Chargers dont have a home field advantage, at all. I think there is a bit of recency bias too in publics eyes. Chargers covered, Denver didnt last week. Denver was up most of the game, and chargers had a lot of trouble with miami. Chargers might have to work out some kinks with Melvin gordon coming back as well. I am not in love with this game, but atlanta +4 is calling my attention. I normally fade road matty ice, but its a dome game. This has shootout potential, and without a good running game to speak of, i just dont see how houston would ice the game. Best of luck all, Bdv
10    1
BabyBettor (Anonymous Poster) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago
@BigDaddyVladdy  Houston as a favorite scares me even against crappy ATL, who I can take +5 in my pool.
1    0


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 5, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago - hide
Greetings boys. Couple of plays i like for tomorrow. Pitt +3.5 Divisional homedog always peeks my interest, especially in a bitter rivalry like this. Tomlin covers as a dog, and i mentioned a stat earlier.. he wins something like 70% of his games when pitt has a losing record - almost double the league average. It seems the books want you to take baltimore given the juice on the game. I get that cinci is no baltimore, but i appreciate the gameplan to make Rudolph's life easier. Denver +6 Divisional dog that no one wants to bet, yet there is a ton of money on them. Chargers dont have a home field advantage, at all. I think there is a bit of recency bias too in publics eyes. Chargers covered, Denver didnt last week. Denver was up most of the game, and chargers had a lot of trouble with miami. Chargers might have to work out some kinks with Melvin gordon coming back as well. I am not in love with this game, but atlanta +4 is calling my attention. I normally fade road matty ice, but its a dome game. This has shootout potential, and without a good running game to speak of, i just dont see how houston would ice the game. Best of luck all, Bdv
10    1
time to sign • 630 Posts (473 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago
@BigDaddyVladdy  Well at 4 Ryan can play his typical terrible road game and back door it at the end....
1    1


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 5, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago - hide
Greetings boys. Couple of plays i like for tomorrow. Pitt +3.5 Divisional homedog always peeks my interest, especially in a bitter rivalry like this. Tomlin covers as a dog, and i mentioned a stat earlier.. he wins something like 70% of his games when pitt has a losing record - almost double the league average. It seems the books want you to take baltimore given the juice on the game. I get that cinci is no baltimore, but i appreciate the gameplan to make Rudolph's life easier. Denver +6 Divisional dog that no one wants to bet, yet there is a ton of money on them. Chargers dont have a home field advantage, at all. I think there is a bit of recency bias too in publics eyes. Chargers covered, Denver didnt last week. Denver was up most of the game, and chargers had a lot of trouble with miami. Chargers might have to work out some kinks with Melvin gordon coming back as well. I am not in love with this game, but atlanta +4 is calling my attention. I normally fade road matty ice, but its a dome game. This has shootout potential, and without a good running game to speak of, i just dont see how houston would ice the game. Best of luck all, Bdv
10    1
Ravineman (Anonymous Poster) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago
@BigDaddyVladdy I'm on board with the Broncos. I locked in 6.5 earlier in the week. Walter may end up with 5 the longer he waits lol. Good luck!
4    1


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 5, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago - hide
I am on the rams today for 1 unit, and the under for half a unit (just for you @timeforsign). Idk if rams were in a lookahead scenario last week, or what, but i am looking for a fired effort vs a divisional opponent. Double revenge amgle is out there, but what if rams are simply a much better team? Seattle defense is living off of their reputation, while the offense is highly efficient, but not necessarily a world beater. A bit of line value with the original line being rams -2 as well. Good luck all, Bdv
7    1
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago
@Peter Griffen   Good luck with whatever side you choose.
3    1


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 5, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago
I am on the rams today for 1 unit, and the under for half a unit (just for you @timeforsign). Idk if rams were in a lookahead scenario last week, or what, but i am looking for a fired effort vs a divisional opponent. Double revenge amgle is out there, but what if rams are simply a much better team? Seattle defense is living off of their reputation, while the offense is highly efficient, but not necessarily a world beater. A bit of line value with the original line being rams -2 as well. Good luck all, Bdv
7    1


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 5, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago - hide
I am on the rams today for 1 unit, and the under for half a unit (just for you @timeforsign). Idk if rams were in a lookahead scenario last week, or what, but i am looking for a fired effort vs a divisional opponent. Double revenge amgle is out there, but what if rams are simply a much better team? Seattle defense is living off of their reputation, while the offense is highly efficient, but not necessarily a world beater. A bit of line value with the original line being rams -2 as well. Good luck all, Bdv
7    1
Peter Griffen (Anonymous Poster) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago
@BigDaddyVladdy thanks for postong a pick. Didn't want to go against hot walt but I feel like Rams will bounce back, way too much talent on that team. Good luck tonight
2    2


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 5, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago - hide
I am on the rams today for 1 unit, and the under for half a unit (just for you @timeforsign). Idk if rams were in a lookahead scenario last week, or what, but i am looking for a fired effort vs a divisional opponent. Double revenge amgle is out there, but what if rams are simply a much better team? Seattle defense is living off of their reputation, while the offense is highly efficient, but not necessarily a world beater. A bit of line value with the original line being rams -2 as well. Good luck all, Bdv
7    1
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago
@time to sign  It's not the most confident pick i have this week. But i do feel you get a rams discount here. Hook it up with some hockey picks! Good luck my dude!
4    1


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 5, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago - hide
I am on the rams today for 1 unit, and the under for half a unit (just for you @timeforsign). Idk if rams were in a lookahead scenario last week, or what, but i am looking for a fired effort vs a divisional opponent. Double revenge amgle is out there, but what if rams are simply a much better team? Seattle defense is living off of their reputation, while the offense is highly efficient, but not necessarily a world beater. A bit of line value with the original line being rams -2 as well. Good luck all, Bdv
7    1
time to sign • 630 Posts (473 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago
@BigDaddyVladdy  The case I heard all week was the Rams were -7 in this game last year and this price is cheap... SEA at home in a night game always has me interested. Pete Carrol has a proven track record (8-1) on Thursday nights and as I stated earlier, I just want to bet against road Jared Goff... The under does warm my heart!! GL with your action BDV!
1    2


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 5, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago - hide
I am on the rams today for 1 unit, and the under for half a unit (just for you @timeforsign). Idk if rams were in a lookahead scenario last week, or what, but i am looking for a fired effort vs a divisional opponent. Double revenge amgle is out there, but what if rams are simply a much better team? Seattle defense is living off of their reputation, while the offense is highly efficient, but not necessarily a world beater. A bit of line value with the original line being rams -2 as well. Good luck all, Bdv
7    1
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago
@BigDaddyVladdy  Rams +2 -115 Under 49
2    1


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 5, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago
@Ravineman  Tough to say. I think this line already had chubb news factored in there. This is a pure guess, but id say better chance it goes to 6 than 7... chargers just dont have much of a home field advantage (i live in LA, its kind of a joke actually). Chargers are pretty terriblr ats at home, so I can see thst being factored into the spread move more so than delayed reaction to chubb being out.
0    0


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 5, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago
@Ravineman  There are a couple of ways you can apprximate the next line move. 1. Read between the lines of key player injuries. Sometimes you just have to cut through bs. 2. Keep a eye on bets vs money distributions, covers, vegasinsider,action network all do reporting on this. 3. Keep an eye out on multiple marketplaces... i.e. shop around for best line, if you see one market place with a different line, anticipate the move into that direction. Hope this helps.
0    0


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 4, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago - hide
Whats up boys! Back from vegas and back to posting... i.e. i am not distracted by poker and blackjack. Taking a shot on the over 44.5 in mnf. First, i think this game is going to be wide open given the nature of the teams records and primetime lights. Cinci defense is horrible, and pittsburgh d hasnt lived up to its reputation. Mason rudolph took some deep shots in san Francisco and these should connect at home. It also seems like there is some sharp money on the over, and i will follow the all mighty buck! Best of luck, Bdv
2    0
time to sign • 630 Posts (473 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago
@BigDaddyVladdy  Sorry BDV. To be fair "99% game/spread plays" doesn't sound like a lot of totals to me so I think I can be forgiven for not noticing.
2    0


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 4, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago
Whats up boys! Back from vegas and back to posting... i.e. i am not distracted by poker and blackjack. Taking a shot on the over 44.5 in mnf. First, i think this game is going to be wide open given the nature of the teams records and primetime lights. Cinci defense is horrible, and pittsburgh d hasnt lived up to its reputation. Mason rudolph took some deep shots in san Francisco and these should connect at home. It also seems like there is some sharp money on the over, and i will follow the all mighty buck! Best of luck, Bdv
2    0


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 4, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago - hide
Whats up boys! Back from vegas and back to posting... i.e. i am not distracted by poker and blackjack. Taking a shot on the over 44.5 in mnf. First, i think this game is going to be wide open given the nature of the teams records and primetime lights. Cinci defense is horrible, and pittsburgh d hasnt lived up to its reputation. Mason rudolph took some deep shots in san Francisco and these should connect at home. It also seems like there is some sharp money on the over, and i will follow the all mighty buck! Best of luck, Bdv
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BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago
@time to sign  Ouch, that hurts. I play more unders than you realize, but i do postly 99% game/spread plays.
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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 4, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago - hide
Whats up boys! Back from vegas and back to posting... i.e. i am not distracted by poker and blackjack. Taking a shot on the over 44.5 in mnf. First, i think this game is going to be wide open given the nature of the teams records and primetime lights. Cinci defense is horrible, and pittsburgh d hasnt lived up to its reputation. Mason rudolph took some deep shots in san Francisco and these should connect at home. It also seems like there is some sharp money on the over, and i will follow the all mighty buck! Best of luck, Bdv
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time to sign • 630 Posts (473 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago
@BigDaddyVladdy  I can't remember the last time I saw BDV play a total. Yet here we are! I will give myself half the credit for you playing a total and the full credit once you play an 'Under!' GL BDV
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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 4, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago
@time to sign  I am in Vegas and got philly and the navy under parlayed. Lets go!!!
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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 3, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago - hide

This is a rough week dealing with some qb unknowns, but let's try to make sense of it all.

Saints +4.5

For starters i am simply not impressed with seahawks. Close game vs cinci, and they beat pitt sans Roethlisberger (pitt was leading prior to Ben's exit). Bridgewater might not have looked great, but he is probably the top backup in NFL. Bridgewater is 12-2 ats as a dog. Big bets are coming in on Saints, and i think they show a heck of an effort and cover the spread.

Pitt +7 -115

I dont know if tomlin is the best  x's and o's coach, but he is a damn good motivational coach.  Under tomlin, when pitt has a losing record, they win over 70% of the time (almost double the leauge average).  49ers havent covered a game as a home favorite 12 last games in that situation.. 49ers home opener in week3, is historically a bad spot. Original line was pick, or maybe even pitt -1, this seems as a bit of an overreaction.

Det +6 (sorry @timetosign, betting agaisnt your eagles)

Full disclosure i bet thia game at +7, -120, but i like this at 6 as well. This is such a horrible scheduling spot for the eagles,.MNF into sunday morning, into TNF. too many injuries to name for the eagles, and the secondary has been torched. Even if eagles go up 10+, the backdoor is wide open here.

Teaser of the week: vikes -2.5, detroit +13, saints +11.5, hou +10, Atlanta +8.5, cleveland +10 (with rams -3 or moneyline with hedge/scoop attempt).

Good luck All!

Bdv

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BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago

@time to sign 

Thanks man! These scoop type scenarios is what i wager NFL for! Wonder what the real math is behind betting 4.5 versus ML.

On to week 4 for me, just rooting on my bears tmr w/o a wager.

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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 3, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago

This is a rough week dealing with some qb unknowns, but let's try to make sense of it all.

Saints +4.5

For starters i am simply not impressed with seahawks. Close game vs cinci, and they beat pitt sans Roethlisberger (pitt was leading prior to Ben's exit). Bridgewater might not have looked great, but he is probably the top backup in NFL. Bridgewater is 12-2 ats as a dog. Big bets are coming in on Saints, and i think they show a heck of an effort and cover the spread.

Pitt +7 -115

I dont know if tomlin is the best  x's and o's coach, but he is a damn good motivational coach.  Under tomlin, when pitt has a losing record, they win over 70% of the time (almost double the leauge average).  49ers havent covered a game as a home favorite 12 last games in that situation.. 49ers home opener in week3, is historically a bad spot. Original line was pick, or maybe even pitt -1, this seems as a bit of an overreaction.

Det +6 (sorry @timetosign, betting agaisnt your eagles)

Full disclosure i bet thia game at +7, -120, but i like this at 6 as well. This is such a horrible scheduling spot for the eagles,.MNF into sunday morning, into TNF. too many injuries to name for the eagles, and the secondary has been torched. Even if eagles go up 10+, the backdoor is wide open here.

Teaser of the week: vikes -2.5, detroit +13, saints +11.5, hou +10, Atlanta +8.5, cleveland +10 (with rams -3 or moneyline with hedge/scoop attempt).

Good luck All!

Bdv

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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 3, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago - hide

This is a rough week dealing with some qb unknowns, but let's try to make sense of it all.

Saints +4.5

For starters i am simply not impressed with seahawks. Close game vs cinci, and they beat pitt sans Roethlisberger (pitt was leading prior to Ben's exit). Bridgewater might not have looked great, but he is probably the top backup in NFL. Bridgewater is 12-2 ats as a dog. Big bets are coming in on Saints, and i think they show a heck of an effort and cover the spread.

Pitt +7 -115

I dont know if tomlin is the best  x's and o's coach, but he is a damn good motivational coach.  Under tomlin, when pitt has a losing record, they win over 70% of the time (almost double the leauge average).  49ers havent covered a game as a home favorite 12 last games in that situation.. 49ers home opener in week3, is historically a bad spot. Original line was pick, or maybe even pitt -1, this seems as a bit of an overreaction.

Det +6 (sorry @timetosign, betting agaisnt your eagles)

Full disclosure i bet thia game at +7, -120, but i like this at 6 as well. This is such a horrible scheduling spot for the eagles,.MNF into sunday morning, into TNF. too many injuries to name for the eagles, and the secondary has been torched. Even if eagles go up 10+, the backdoor is wide open here.

Teaser of the week: vikes -2.5, detroit +13, saints +11.5, hou +10, Atlanta +8.5, cleveland +10 (with rams -3 or moneyline with hedge/scoop attempt).

Good luck All!

Bdv

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time to sign • 630 Posts (473 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago

@BigDaddyVladdy 

Congrats BDV!!  btw you could've laid the 5 or whatever it was and still middled.

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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 3, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago

@time to sign 

Great job by the board all around!

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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 3, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago - hide

This is a rough week dealing with some qb unknowns, but let's try to make sense of it all.

Saints +4.5

For starters i am simply not impressed with seahawks. Close game vs cinci, and they beat pitt sans Roethlisberger (pitt was leading prior to Ben's exit). Bridgewater might not have looked great, but he is probably the top backup in NFL. Bridgewater is 12-2 ats as a dog. Big bets are coming in on Saints, and i think they show a heck of an effort and cover the spread.

Pitt +7 -115

I dont know if tomlin is the best  x's and o's coach, but he is a damn good motivational coach.  Under tomlin, when pitt has a losing record, they win over 70% of the time (almost double the leauge average).  49ers havent covered a game as a home favorite 12 last games in that situation.. 49ers home opener in week3, is historically a bad spot. Original line was pick, or maybe even pitt -1, this seems as a bit of an overreaction.

Det +6 (sorry @timetosign, betting agaisnt your eagles)

Full disclosure i bet thia game at +7, -120, but i like this at 6 as well. This is such a horrible scheduling spot for the eagles,.MNF into sunday morning, into TNF. too many injuries to name for the eagles, and the secondary has been torched. Even if eagles go up 10+, the backdoor is wide open here.

Teaser of the week: vikes -2.5, detroit +13, saints +11.5, hou +10, Atlanta +8.5, cleveland +10 (with rams -3 or moneyline with hedge/scoop attempt).

Good luck All!

Bdv

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BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago

The influx of rams money ruined my teaser hedge bet plans, but gotta take rams ml -210 out of principal (and math). No complaints on a 3-0 day otherwise.

Good luck all, 

Bdv

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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 3, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago

@ND10 

Congrats on a clean sweep!

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https://walterfootball.com/nflpicks2019_03early.php
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago - hide

This is a rough week dealing with some qb unknowns, but let's try to make sense of it all.

Saints +4.5

For starters i am simply not impressed with seahawks. Close game vs cinci, and they beat pitt sans Roethlisberger (pitt was leading prior to Ben's exit). Bridgewater might not have looked great, but he is probably the top backup in NFL. Bridgewater is 12-2 ats as a dog. Big bets are coming in on Saints, and i think they show a heck of an effort and cover the spread.

Pitt +7 -115

I dont know if tomlin is the best  x's and o's coach, but he is a damn good motivational coach.  Under tomlin, when pitt has a losing record, they win over 70% of the time (almost double the leauge average).  49ers havent covered a game as a home favorite 12 last games in that situation.. 49ers home opener in week3, is historically a bad spot. Original line was pick, or maybe even pitt -1, this seems as a bit of an overreaction.

Det +6 (sorry @timetosign, betting agaisnt your eagles)

Full disclosure i bet thia game at +7, -120, but i like this at 6 as well. This is such a horrible scheduling spot for the eagles,.MNF into sunday morning, into TNF. too many injuries to name for the eagles, and the secondary has been torched. Even if eagles go up 10+, the backdoor is wide open here.

Teaser of the week: vikes -2.5, detroit +13, saints +11.5, hou +10, Atlanta +8.5, cleveland +10 (with rams -3 or moneyline with hedge/scoop attempt).

Good luck All!

Bdv

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ND10 • 60 Posts (99 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago
@BigDaddyVladdy with you on lions and steelers. Good luck sir! 
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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 3, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago

@time to sign 

I am really tempted to take one of the big dogs (if not both). Miami should be better with rosen, and pats did rule out a few key players as well. Maybe half a unit on both out of principal.

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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 3, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago - hide

This is a rough week dealing with some qb unknowns, but let's try to make sense of it all.

Saints +4.5

For starters i am simply not impressed with seahawks. Close game vs cinci, and they beat pitt sans Roethlisberger (pitt was leading prior to Ben's exit). Bridgewater might not have looked great, but he is probably the top backup in NFL. Bridgewater is 12-2 ats as a dog. Big bets are coming in on Saints, and i think they show a heck of an effort and cover the spread.

Pitt +7 -115

I dont know if tomlin is the best  x's and o's coach, but he is a damn good motivational coach.  Under tomlin, when pitt has a losing record, they win over 70% of the time (almost double the leauge average).  49ers havent covered a game as a home favorite 12 last games in that situation.. 49ers home opener in week3, is historically a bad spot. Original line was pick, or maybe even pitt -1, this seems as a bit of an overreaction.

Det +6 (sorry @timetosign, betting agaisnt your eagles)

Full disclosure i bet thia game at +7, -120, but i like this at 6 as well. This is such a horrible scheduling spot for the eagles,.MNF into sunday morning, into TNF. too many injuries to name for the eagles, and the secondary has been torched. Even if eagles go up 10+, the backdoor is wide open here.

Teaser of the week: vikes -2.5, detroit +13, saints +11.5, hou +10, Atlanta +8.5, cleveland +10 (with rams -3 or moneyline with hedge/scoop attempt).

Good luck All!

Bdv

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BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago

@time to sign 

I'll take a SU Win, no ats cover for both of our teams!

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/nflpicks2019_03early.php#comment
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago - hide

This is a rough week dealing with some qb unknowns, but let's try to make sense of it all.

Saints +4.5

For starters i am simply not impressed with seahawks. Close game vs cinci, and they beat pitt sans Roethlisberger (pitt was leading prior to Ben's exit). Bridgewater might not have looked great, but he is probably the top backup in NFL. Bridgewater is 12-2 ats as a dog. Big bets are coming in on Saints, and i think they show a heck of an effort and cover the spread.

Pitt +7 -115

I dont know if tomlin is the best  x's and o's coach, but he is a damn good motivational coach.  Under tomlin, when pitt has a losing record, they win over 70% of the time (almost double the leauge average).  49ers havent covered a game as a home favorite 12 last games in that situation.. 49ers home opener in week3, is historically a bad spot. Original line was pick, or maybe even pitt -1, this seems as a bit of an overreaction.

Det +6 (sorry @timetosign, betting agaisnt your eagles)

Full disclosure i bet thia game at +7, -120, but i like this at 6 as well. This is such a horrible scheduling spot for the eagles,.MNF into sunday morning, into TNF. too many injuries to name for the eagles, and the secondary has been torched. Even if eagles go up 10+, the backdoor is wide open here.

Teaser of the week: vikes -2.5, detroit +13, saints +11.5, hou +10, Atlanta +8.5, cleveland +10 (with rams -3 or moneyline with hedge/scoop attempt).

Good luck All!

Bdv

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time to sign • 630 Posts (473 ) •
5 years 2 month(s) ago

@BigDaddyVladdy 

We'll see about the Bears monday night...... than again I did write an essay earlier in the week as to why the Cowgirls were cheap to win the division so...

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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 3, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 3 month(s) ago

@time to sign 

Its also a clode ot game last year, i think public still remembers that one.

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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 3, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 3 month(s) ago

@Andy B 

Many sportsbooks release lines months before the season starts. From then, lines are typically releases on weekly basis, usually by monday night everyone will have lines posted for the week ahead.

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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 3, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 3 month(s) ago

@madturk 

Way to crush it, bud!

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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 2, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 3 month(s) ago - hide

Not a bad showing on sunday going 3-1.. missng my posted teaser by half a point because of gardner minshews last second heroics was pretty brutal.

I am tempted to take a homedoggy tonight.. the spread is cerainly inflated, but moving on to week 3 where i am already eyeing a few plays. 

Best of luck to the ones who are playing mnf!

Bdv

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time to sign • 630 Posts (473 ) •
5 years 3 month(s) ago

@BigDaddyVladdy

Thank you. I couldn't resist DET and luckily they were playing LAC. Only the Chargers could go the entire second half WITHOUT punting and manage to score ZERO points

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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 2, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 3 month(s) ago

Not a bad showing on sunday going 3-1.. missng my posted teaser by half a point because of gardner minshews last second heroics was pretty brutal.

I am tempted to take a homedoggy tonight.. the spread is cerainly inflated, but moving on to week 3 where i am already eyeing a few plays. 

Best of luck to the ones who are playing mnf!

Bdv

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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 2, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 3 month(s) ago

@madturk 

I like the concept of odb for anytime td at +110. Sounds like there is some bad blood between greg Williams and odb, #narrativestreet

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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 2, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 3 month(s) ago - hide

Not a bad showing on sunday going 3-1.. missng my posted teaser by half a point because of gardner minshews last second heroics was pretty brutal.

I am tempted to take a homedoggy tonight.. the spread is cerainly inflated, but moving on to week 3 where i am already eyeing a few plays. 

Best of luck to the ones who are playing mnf!

Bdv

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BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 3 month(s) ago

@time to sign 

Excellent showing yesterday my man! Saw you end up rolling with detroit, that was a bit of a sweat at the end. Good luck tonight with the close game, and let's crush week 3!

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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 2, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 3 month(s) ago - hide

Not a bad showing on sunday going 3-1.. missng my posted teaser by half a point because of gardner minshews last second heroics was pretty brutal.

I am tempted to take a homedoggy tonight.. the spread is cerainly inflated, but moving on to week 3 where i am already eyeing a few plays. 

Best of luck to the ones who are playing mnf!

Bdv

3    0
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 3 month(s) ago

@chuckster 

Twice on sunday is the goal! Good luck tonight!

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https://walterfootball.com/nflpicks2019_02late.php
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 3 month(s) ago - hide

Not a bad showing on sunday going 3-1.. missng my posted teaser by half a point because of gardner minshews last second heroics was pretty brutal.

I am tempted to take a homedoggy tonight.. the spread is cerainly inflated, but moving on to week 3 where i am already eyeing a few plays. 

Best of luck to the ones who are playing mnf!

Bdv

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time to sign • 630 Posts (473 ) •
5 years 3 month(s) ago

@BigDaddyVladdy 

I can't complain about going 14-4 yesterday with plays posted here. 1u plays 5-2, 0.5u plays 9-2 (portion of those were correlated to bigger plays in GB and BUF games, philly was a middle attempt). But when you go 3-1 in the afternoon and the L (KCC over) was on pace and was the bigger play I just want to throw up A b/c I hate overs, B b/c it gets there if kcc and oak both don't turn the ball over in the red zone and KCC doesn't punt after having a TD called back via penalty. 

Yes I'm aware BUF and GB games had strong arguments for going over but its true: you only remember what you saw last.

Got lucky my book didn't take CLE game off immediately thus I have CLE -2.5 -115. My number was NYJ -1.5 and with the injuries it's now CLE -3. Agree with Chuckster: can't trust CLE laying points like this until they prove it. I also don't trust a young CLE team to stay focused against an injured foe. Jets backup QB is limited but not terrible and how big of a downgrade is he from Darnold? Darnold has more potential but just for tonight, I'm not sure it's that big a difference. I got out of my CLE position entirely with Jets +6.5. Cle by 3,4,6 would make my night.

Can't wait to see what you're on next week BDV. Let's beat the books again!

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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 2, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 3 month(s) ago - hide

Not a bad showing on sunday going 3-1.. missng my posted teaser by half a point because of gardner minshews last second heroics was pretty brutal.

I am tempted to take a homedoggy tonight.. the spread is cerainly inflated, but moving on to week 3 where i am already eyeing a few plays. 

Best of luck to the ones who are playing mnf!

Bdv

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chuckster • 361 Posts (316 ) •
5 years 3 month(s) ago
@BigDaddyVladdy:  Hey bud,  good for you Sir on the 3-1 on Sunday.  Anyone would take a  75  percent winning  ATS...six days a week and twice on Sunday!!! (lol.)  Yea, we got a potential of a real pig-fest of a game tonight with the loud speaking, under-performing Browns,  on the road against the beat up, (real beat up) Jets.  That said,  laying 6.5 on the road with the Browns SU and ats historical record,  seems like  to much.  I played the Jets in a big teaser,  before the Jets QB  illness hit the media.  Trying to close up a small wagered 5 team 14 pointer tonight with the Jets +16.5....Is it a little sad to say, that I'm a little worried about the Home team plus 16.5??....Yikes!!  Continued good picking for you Sir...GLTA  tonight.
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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 2, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 3 month(s) ago

Week 2 is all about overreactions, so let's take advantage of that:

Zona +13

Original spread was Zona +8.5, so we are getting free 4.5 points to play with because Baltimore blew out a dumpster fire of a team.  Baltimore has KC on deck, and not sure they will get 100% focus on a team that looked kind of atrocious for 3 quarters. I am hoping that Zona's air raid can take advantage of a banged up baltimore secondary.

Colts +4 -120

Original spread was Pick, so it's not as much value as i'd like given Andrew Luck's retirement. However, this titans team runs hot and cold after big wins - and this cleveland win was a big win for them, it was evident in all the press conferences after. Titans beat philly and NE last year, and followed up both of those wins with losses to non-playoffteams. Some numerical perspetive, last 5 times titans scored 30+, they average 17 points in the following game. Colts are well coached, can match TN in the trenches, and TY Hilton & Mack can match TN's playmakers.

Very interested in Wash +6; @TimeToSign layed out a great blueprint as to why it's a good bet (original spread was a pick), but my book is being stubborn at SKins +5. If it gets to +6, i will be on this game as well.

Teaser of the week: Det +9.5, Vikings +10, Hou -1.5, KC Pick, 49ers +8, Atlanta +8.5 with a chance to take Philly at a small ML as hedge/scoop.

Good luck all,

BDV

4    1


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 2, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 3 month(s) ago - hide

Week 2 is all about overreactions, so let's take advantage of that:

Zona +13

Original spread was Zona +8.5, so we are getting free 4.5 points to play with because Baltimore blew out a dumpster fire of a team.  Baltimore has KC on deck, and not sure they will get 100% focus on a team that looked kind of atrocious for 3 quarters. I am hoping that Zona's air raid can take advantage of a banged up baltimore secondary.

Colts +4 -120

Original spread was Pick, so it's not as much value as i'd like given Andrew Luck's retirement. However, this titans team runs hot and cold after big wins - and this cleveland win was a big win for them, it was evident in all the press conferences after. Titans beat philly and NE last year, and followed up both of those wins with losses to non-playoffteams. Some numerical perspetive, last 5 times titans scored 30+, they average 17 points in the following game. Colts are well coached, can match TN in the trenches, and TY Hilton & Mack can match TN's playmakers.

Very interested in Wash +6; @TimeToSign layed out a great blueprint as to why it's a good bet (original spread was a pick), but my book is being stubborn at SKins +5. If it gets to +6, i will be on this game as well.

Teaser of the week: Det +9.5, Vikings +10, Hou -1.5, KC Pick, 49ers +8, Atlanta +8.5 with a chance to take Philly at a small ML as hedge/scoop.

Good luck all,

BDV

4    1
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 3 month(s) ago

as promised, adding Wash +6. Divisional homedog, at key number, and an inflated line is very hard for me to pass up. Original line was Pickem, and dallas -6 is a gross overreaction to them looking spectacular versus a bottom 3 team in the league. this game should be a bit of a grind, and i think there is a good chance AP has a good game versus his homestate team that wasn't willing to sign him back in the day.

Good luck all,

BDV

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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 2, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 3 month(s) ago - hide

I am going to post a couple more picks later today / tmr morning along with my teaser, but what stands out right away is Detroit +2.5. Its probably wiser just to take the moneyline, but ill gladly take the points. Chargers are banged up as all hell, and this is a home opener for Detroit - i expect the crowd to be into it. Bigger bets are hitting Detroit, and this line is on the move. From a line perspective, this kind of doesnt make sense... chargers -2.5 in Detroit, -5.5 on neutral field, -8.5 at home? So you are saying colts w/o luck are 2 points better than detroit? 

Detroit makes an excellent teaser pillar, we r crossing 3 and 7.

Best of luck,

Bdv

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time to sign • 630 Posts (473 ) •
5 years 3 month(s) ago

@BigDaddyVladdy 

Thanks BDV. Truthfully I thought DET just got into soft coverage and it wasn't anything ARI did (something that has me think Under in tmrw's ARI game) ATL through key numbers makes so much sense on a teaser that I know i'll try to get live to it. It would be nice to find a cheap ML on PHI and turn a 6 point middle into 7 or 8 if fortunate enough to be live.

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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 2, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 3 month(s) ago

I am going to post a couple more picks later today / tmr morning along with my teaser, but what stands out right away is Detroit +2.5. Its probably wiser just to take the moneyline, but ill gladly take the points. Chargers are banged up as all hell, and this is a home opener for Detroit - i expect the crowd to be into it. Bigger bets are hitting Detroit, and this line is on the move. From a line perspective, this kind of doesnt make sense... chargers -2.5 in Detroit, -5.5 on neutral field, -8.5 at home? So you are saying colts w/o luck are 2 points better than detroit? 

Detroit makes an excellent teaser pillar, we r crossing 3 and 7.

Best of luck,

Bdv

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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 2, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 3 month(s) ago - hide

I am going to post a couple more picks later today / tmr morning along with my teaser, but what stands out right away is Detroit +2.5. Its probably wiser just to take the moneyline, but ill gladly take the points. Chargers are banged up as all hell, and this is a home opener for Detroit - i expect the crowd to be into it. Bigger bets are hitting Detroit, and this line is on the move. From a line perspective, this kind of doesnt make sense... chargers -2.5 in Detroit, -5.5 on neutral field, -8.5 at home? So you are saying colts w/o luck are 2 points better than detroit? 

Detroit makes an excellent teaser pillar, we r crossing 3 and 7.

Best of luck,

Bdv

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BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 3 month(s) ago

@time to sign 

Not the greatest showing last week for detroit,  but theoretically, that could be a motivational angle. It's also hard to ice someone on the road.

I am playing around with some teasers with both Atlanta and philly to cap off the day. I see value in both sides teased, but hate crossing 0 if you r teasing them.

Good luck on your college plays today+

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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 2, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 3 month(s) ago - hide

I am going to post a couple more picks later today / tmr morning along with my teaser, but what stands out right away is Detroit +2.5. Its probably wiser just to take the moneyline, but ill gladly take the points. Chargers are banged up as all hell, and this is a home opener for Detroit - i expect the crowd to be into it. Bigger bets are hitting Detroit, and this line is on the move. From a line perspective, this kind of doesnt make sense... chargers -2.5 in Detroit, -5.5 on neutral field, -8.5 at home? So you are saying colts w/o luck are 2 points better than detroit? 

Detroit makes an excellent teaser pillar, we r crossing 3 and 7.

Best of luck,

Bdv

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time to sign • 630 Posts (473 ) •
5 years 3 month(s) ago
@BigDaddyVladdy Only reason I haven't jumped on DET yet is b/c last week left a sour taste in my mouth and I just have a feeling they will play well do everything right lose by 3. Though tmrw i'll probably add some ml. Also want to play ATL (Why do i do this to myself?) as a home puppy against my Eagles or at least have live teaser to them at night
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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 2, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 3 month(s) ago

@time to sign 

That was the one weird play at the end. Just ram it down the middle and dont get cute.

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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 2, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 3 month(s) ago

Closing my eyes, holding my nose, amd taking an ugly dog tonight. This is a divisional game and a touchdown to play with. My books is offering carolina -7 +105, i feel like they are just begging for morr Carolina money. Tampa bay had 2 touchdowns called back on penalties last week and the pick 6, they are not as bad as media makes them out to be. I am thinking a close, competetive game, Carolina wins but doesnt cover.

Best of luck,

Bdv

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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 1, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 3 month(s) ago

@time to sign 

Pats might be -20 by kickoff

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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 1, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 3 month(s) ago

Decent start to the season yesterday. When making my colts play, i thought about the ml and stayed away.. it would have been a loser inevitably, but was 100% in play, especially since vinatieri all kept 7 points off the board for the colts. Ill gladly take an ats cover though.

I am on houston +7 tonight. Big bets r landing on Houston, and a healthy watson should keep this competitive. Over the last 5 years, saints are 1-9 ats in first 2 weeks of the season. I like the tunsil addition for houston as well.

Absolutely 0 feel for oak/den game.

Good luck all,

BDV

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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 1, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 3 month(s) ago - hide

Decent start to the season yesterday. When making my colts play, i thought about the ml and stayed away.. it would have been a loser inevitably, but was 100% in play, especially since vinatieri all kept 7 points off the board for the colts. Ill gladly take an ats cover though.

I am on houston +7 tonight. Big bets r landing on Houston, and a healthy watson should keep this competitive. Over the last 5 years, saints are 1-9 ats in first 2 weeks of the season. I like the tunsil addition for houston as well.

Absolutely 0 feel for oak/den game.

Good luck all,

BDV

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madturk • 71 Posts (49 ) •
5 years 3 month(s) ago

@BigDaddyVladdy= hey BDV good job, look at all the home dogs next week WOW

GL

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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 1, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 3 month(s) ago - hide

Gents, we have made it through the summer, and fball is upon us! Great to see the usual band of degenerates, i mean regulars haha, madturk, timetosign, chuckster, etc. Lets have a great season boys!

3 bets i already wagered a bit early, and have a better line than the current marketplace"

Buffalo +3.5, divisional dogs do well in week 1. Buffalos defense is legit, and while i am a darnold fan, josh allen can hold his own. Id bet it at 3, but  not below that.

Jax +4. Jacksonville is a homedog thats gettin big bets, sign me up! Last year these teams played in arrowhead, and kc was -3. Crazy overreaction of a line. 

Carolina +3. Road goff isnt as good as home goff. Carolina is a tough out at home, and again a homedog thats receiving big bets.. idk if id bet this game at a lower spread than 3, and personally might not be able to stay away from a middling opportunity.

Colts +7 -120, took this today. Just too many points for a team with no home field advantage to cover. I think the rest of the colts step up... good ol bill simmons ewing theory at work here.

Teaser of the week: buff +10, jax +10.5,over 44 49ers/bucs,  cowboys pick, eagles -3, nola pick (with hou +7 as hedge/scoop scenario)

Best of luck,

BDV

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BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 3 month(s) ago

@time to sign 

Thanks man, this colts play is about how i feel about your titans play. Non-juiced 6 would do haha.

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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 1, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 3 month(s) ago

Gents, we have made it through the summer, and fball is upon us! Great to see the usual band of degenerates, i mean regulars haha, madturk, timetosign, chuckster, etc. Lets have a great season boys!

3 bets i already wagered a bit early, and have a better line than the current marketplace"

Buffalo +3.5, divisional dogs do well in week 1. Buffalos defense is legit, and while i am a darnold fan, josh allen can hold his own. Id bet it at 3, but  not below that.

Jax +4. Jacksonville is a homedog thats gettin big bets, sign me up! Last year these teams played in arrowhead, and kc was -3. Crazy overreaction of a line. 

Carolina +3. Road goff isnt as good as home goff. Carolina is a tough out at home, and again a homedog thats receiving big bets.. idk if id bet this game at a lower spread than 3, and personally might not be able to stay away from a middling opportunity.

Colts +7 -120, took this today. Just too many points for a team with no home field advantage to cover. I think the rest of the colts step up... good ol bill simmons ewing theory at work here.

Teaser of the week: buff +10, jax +10.5,over 44 49ers/bucs,  cowboys pick, eagles -3, nola pick (with hou +7 as hedge/scoop scenario)

Best of luck,

BDV

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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 1, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 3 month(s) ago - hide

Gents, we have made it through the summer, and fball is upon us! Great to see the usual band of degenerates, i mean regulars haha, madturk, timetosign, chuckster, etc. Lets have a great season boys!

3 bets i already wagered a bit early, and have a better line than the current marketplace"

Buffalo +3.5, divisional dogs do well in week 1. Buffalos defense is legit, and while i am a darnold fan, josh allen can hold his own. Id bet it at 3, but  not below that.

Jax +4. Jacksonville is a homedog thats gettin big bets, sign me up! Last year these teams played in arrowhead, and kc was -3. Crazy overreaction of a line. 

Carolina +3. Road goff isnt as good as home goff. Carolina is a tough out at home, and again a homedog thats receiving big bets.. idk if id bet this game at a lower spread than 3, and personally might not be able to stay away from a middling opportunity.

Colts +7 -120, took this today. Just too many points for a team with no home field advantage to cover. I think the rest of the colts step up... good ol bill simmons ewing theory at work here.

Teaser of the week: buff +10, jax +10.5,over 44 49ers/bucs,  cowboys pick, eagles -3, nola pick (with hou +7 as hedge/scoop scenario)

Best of luck,

BDV

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time to sign • 630 Posts (473 ) •
5 years 3 month(s) ago

@BigDaddyVladdy 

GL BDV! Like all the plays, even Indy who i've been trying to talk myself into all week and i'm not sure i'll get there (though a no juiced 7 will).

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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 1, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 3 month(s) ago
@chuckster always good to see you here, brother! Best of luck with your investments!
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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 1, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 3 month(s) ago

@time to sign 

This one i do like haha

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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 1, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 3 month(s) ago

@time to sign 

As a bears fan, can't like this comment of yours (but you are probably right).

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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 1, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 4 month(s) ago - hide
Welcomr back degenerates:)
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tts (Anonymous Poster) •
5 years 4 month(s) ago
@BigDaddyVladdy Welcome back BDV
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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Preseason Week 1, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 4 month(s) ago
Welcomr back degenerates:)
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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Preseason Week 1, 2019
BigDaddyVladdy • 114 Posts (198 ) •
5 years 4 month(s) ago - hide
Welcomr back degenerates:)
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madturk • 71 Posts (49 ) •
5 years 4 month(s) ago
@BigDaddyVladdy = welcome back buddy!
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