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Karensman • 11 Posts (3

) •
8 day(s) 0 hour(s) ago

Walter : Good Luck to you this season, I've always enjoyed your information, articles, and selections and have been a fan of yours since I retired from the Race/Sports industry in Nevada over 12 years ago. This will be my last comment and please don't take this the wrong way : I have never paid money for a subscription or a tout service, I enjoy listening to other opinions but I always use my own judgement in regards to wagering. There are other free sites on the internet to find NFL information which is what I will have to resort to. It is somewhat unfathomable to me that someone would pay money to see your selections especially when you have been a loser 2 of the last 3 years.

Anyway let me give you my 2 selections for opening weekend; I like the Giants getting points at home vs. the Vikings [ more of fade of the Vikings who I anticipate will have a bad year ], and I like the Jags with the points [ 3 1/2 ? ] vs. the Dolphins. I will also be making a wager on the Jags to go over their win total, and to win their division, and even the AFC. BTW, if there is any team that will be minimally affected by the heat and humidity in Miami it would be another team from Florida. Thanks once again and good luck to you and everybody else on this site !

Karensman • 11 Posts (3

) •
8 month(s) 10 day(s) ago

to Mr. Bitter ; How is TEN supposed to stay close ? D. Hopkins is a capable receiver and T. Spears has some speed as a change of pace RB. IF the Jaguars were healthy, I think it would be a different story. I'm not sure what to expect from Lawrence who is so beat up, they may actually be better with their backup [ can't believe I'm saying that ! ] . I also wonder if the Jaguar players are all in on making the playoffs. In all likelihood they will be one and done once they get in anyway. If they win, they would just be postponing some tee times another week. They have had plenty of chances to wrap up first place and they failed miserably. They are not playing well enough to be favored over any NFL team on the road. BTW, I don't agree with your assessment that Tannehill is damaged goods: this looks like a perfect situation for a veteran QB to show that he is NOT washed up and could have a future as an experienced backup on n NFL team. He definitely won't have 'jitters' about starting in this game. I would actually like the Jaguars chances better if Levis was the QB for the Titans. Just my opinion and good luck with your bets.

Karensman • 11 Posts (3

) •
8 month(s) 10 day(s) ago - hide

Mr. Bitter • 272 Posts (490

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8 month(s) 10 day(s) ago

@Karensman

Not sure why JAX wouldn't be all in on making the playoffs. They seemed pretty focused on their task last week. They tightened up around their backup QB for a clean, workmanlike W. That's what good teams do.

The Jags are a young team who have been dealing with a steady stream of key injuries this season; there were bound to be some inconsistencies. Still, the Pederson Jags usually beat the teams they're supposed to beat (especially in division), and key guys like Robinson, Campbell, Cisco, Kirk, etc, are being folded into the mix after absences. Assuming Lawrence is in one piece, I see no reason why JAX can't avenge that Week 14 road loss to CLE in the playoffs. (Sorry, but Flacco is going to turn into a pumpkin here real soon.)

Ryan Tannehill: 33.3 QBR, 64.7 CMP%, 2 TD/6 INT, sacked 11 times in his last two games. Damaged goods.

Karensman • 11 Posts (3

) •
9 month(s) 2 day(s) ago

@j_oliver_23 I'll admit that I am a big Bear fan but I try not to be a 'homer'. The first 4 games for the Bears were a 'nightmare'. Their best OL Tevin Jenkins was on IR. Two other OL were hurt and in and out of the lineup as well as their center. Their OL was arguably the worst in the league. Internal distractions also plagued the team. The Def Coordinator took a surprise Personal Leave just before the start of week 2 and was subsequently terminated by HR for an 'undisclosed reason'. Less than a week later their RB coach was also canned by HR. At virtually the same time the Bears cut C. Claypool for lack of effort, insubordination, whatever. When Jenkins came back and other OL members got healthier, the offense picked up although the coaching staff blew a late lead against Denver and they did the same fade against the Lions in Game 1 against them. Those fades cost them 2 very winnable games. However, J. Fields after returning from IR is beginning to show the type of ability that he has, but had not yet been able to translate that talent into victories because of the quality of the team he was on last year and early this year. I would heartily agree with you that the early season Bears were one of the worst [ if not the worst ] teams in the league. Walter does a tremendous job of focusing on injuries and the impact those injuries have on NFL teams. Right now, the Bears are relatively healthy unlike early in the year. Several rookies have shown signs of improvement and the acquisition of M. Sweat has dramatically improved the Defense. Right now, the Bears have a young, improving team on an upward trajectory. I do not like their coaching staff, but they are very much underrated in my opinion. I also think that Green Bay is rapidly improving and also dangerous. As a Bear fan I detest GB but right now I think the Pack are better than Detroit who have suffered several significant injuries and are not playing anywhere near the level they did early in the season. We do not have much of a 'track record' on Lion's coach Campbell. The players seem to love playing for him, the media fawns over him but he has yet to prove that he is the highly successful coach that the Media loves to portray him. Could he have pushed his team too hard early in the year and the team has peaked ? Are all the injuries they suffered responsible for their subpar play lately ? They jumped out to a big lead down in NOLA but were actually fortunate to hang on and win and cover. I am in total agreement with Walt that the Saints have talent but are poorly coached and in my opinion 'counterfeit'. However, opinions are like a--holes, everyone has one so don't sweat the Power Rankings but use them in your decision making as far as wagering. Al least for me cashing winning tickets is what this is all about. Good Luck the rest of the season.

Karensman • 11 Posts (3

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11 month(s) 5 day(s) ago

@Mr. Bitter : I have to agree with your assessment of the Browns as no longer being 'loaded'. Losing Chubb is/was a difference maker, there is no getting around it. BTW, Walter spoke rather glowingly of P.J. Walker as a good quality backup QB which he performed well in that role last year for the Panthers. The Bears signed him in the offseason to be the backup to Justin Fields this year. Just before the season started: the Bears cut Walker and handed the backup job to an undrafted division 2A quarterback. Walker's exhibition performance was terrible. In addition to releasing Walker, the Bears signed Peterman [ worst QB in NFL history ? ] for their 3rd string QB. Although I generally agree with Walt's assessment that many teams perform well for their backup QB, I don't have a warm and fuzzy feeling for th Browns in this game. If Walker was still good why did they start the rookie Dorian Thompson Gray last week who was clearly not ready ?

	Karensman • 11 Posts (3 ) • 11 month(s) 13 day(s) ago
@You are 100% correct. The Raiders organization is incredibly dysfunctional. Carr was performing at solid level when the team made the decision to start Stidham and bench Carr whose contract would extend if he suffered an injury. Not surprisingly the rest of the team basically quit on the rest of the year. Carr was not 'benched for Stidham' because of performance. 0 0

Karensman • 11 Posts (3

) •
11 month(s) 14 day(s) ago

I always make my own line early Monday and decide on most of my picks before I read Walter's write up on Tuesday. I am a long suffering Bears fan and follow them closely but very seldom bet on one of their games because I want to keep a 'rooting interest' without any money at stake. Anyway, I told my long time Bear fan and friend this morning that I was very interested in betting the Bears this week and told him I made the line Wash - 6 and asked him to check for me and he said -6 1/2. He then asked why the Bears ? I said :

[1.] Their best [ and most physical ] o-lineman Tevin Jenkins was injured in preseason and put on IR for 4 weeks . He is due to come off IR this week which will greatly improve the O-line.

[2.] It appears that Chase Claypool was a major distraction to the team, which along with their Defensive Coordinator basically being fired [ ? ] , let go [?], or who knows what that was all about. It appears that the team was definitely not focused and after the team's performance against the Broncos I would anticipate a 'rally together' team moment this week. I think the Bears are probably better off being on the road this week to avoid the distractions of everyone telling them 'how bad they are, or you guys suck' and after a tough loss you're probably better getting right back at it as quickly as possible. Granted the Skins are in the same boat but their #1 competition from the start of training camp had to have been the Eagles and they had to have unloaded everything they had in an attempt to beat the Eagles and just came up agonizingly short. I don't anticipate the same 'juice or urgency' against the winless Bears who they should handle easily.

[3.] If the Skins were considered a top 10 level team, I could see them overcoming the 'bad spot' they are in but I don't think that from a talent perspective they are really that much better than the Bears. I'm also one of the few that think that Fields is the better Qb which is a huge plus. I'm not interested in betting the Bears to win just that I don't like the chances of the Skins covering 6, 6 1/2, or even better yet 7

[4.] However I'm not confident that Eberflus is a competent head coach so I won't be going overboard on the amount of the wager.

Karensman • 11 Posts (3

) •
11 month(s) 25 day(s) ago

I'm probably posting this in the wrong area/spot but Walter is looking for Denver to 'surprise' the Dolphins because the Dolphins defense stinks [ among other reasons ] . I would be the first to admit the talent level on Miami's defense pales in comparison to their offense BUT the Dolphins defensive coordinator is Vince Fazio - formerly the head coach of the Broncos. Not only is Fazio one of the top D- coordinators in the league, he may be looking to stick it to his former team. Just saying,

Karensman • 11 Posts (3

) •
4 years 10 month(s) ago

@Tyler two Tyler, I'm guessing that you are a Saints fan and that's fine. But when it comes to betting; it's all about winning the bet. 6 points are a lot of points in a divisional matchup on the road . I would be interested in betting the Saints if they were laying less than 3 points but at 6 points that is not what most serious bettors [ Walter included ] are inclined to do. Frankly this game screams "back -door cover" as Winston has been pretty good throwing the ball this year . I would gladly concede that Peyton has the coaching edge but I also have a lot of respect for Arians. There's also that possibility of the Saints wearing their black jerseys on a warm humid day in Tampa [ I wish that Walter could provide an information source for what uniforms will be worn ] that screams that Tampa is the side to bet.

Karensman • 11 Posts (3

) •
4 years 10 month(s) ago

Good comments. I don't follow the money aspect of the players so I will definitely defer to your expertise there. As a long time Bear [ and NFL fan ] I must put the blame for this season's decline squarely on the shoulders of Matt Nagy. I know it is fashionable in Chicago to blame Trubisky but the kid has some talent and skills but is he being utilized properly ? He is more effective when he is mobile in the pocket and throws well on the run. I do not believe Nagy has done a lot for his confidence, the loss to the Chargers [ eerily similar to the playoff loss to the Eagles ] featured a lack of confidence in Trubisky/Offense to get closer and instead relied on the kicker. It's never the coach's fault when the kicker misses - it's the kicker's fault. if the Bears had run another play and had a turnover it becomes the coaches fault . The Bears have a revolving door at tight end, none are talented. They may have the worst special teams coach in the NFL despite the best punt returner and best kickoff returner in the league. I don't know enough about Pagano but the defense has regressed. I remember a few games back with both Hicks out and Roquan Smith a no-show the Bears started #44 Kwiatkowski [ sp ] who had a sensational game. #44 [ easier than trying to spell his name ], is a regular on special teams. But when the Bears started getting gashed on defense because they couldn't stop the run, why wasn't he inserted ? It would be better on the defense if #44 was making tackles instead of Eddie Jackson or Dix. Coachimg, coaching, coaching. We all thought that Nagy was going to be a great coach but it is beginning to look like he was a one trick pony ]

	Karensman • 11 Posts (3 ) • 4 years 11 month(s) ago - hide
Gentlemen : Just a question or something to ponder : after the Lions were screwed by the refs on Monday night, will the refs look to "show favoritism" to the Lions this week . And/or look to screw over the Packers this week ? ? 0 3

	Thats called Football (Anonymous Poster) • 4 years 11 month(s) ago
@chuckster No doubt the Lions SHOULD have scored more but credit the Packers defense. And if they lost the game solely because of that, then fine. But the refs interfered so much that it cost the Lions a chance to put the game away. Simple 0 0

	Karensman • 11 Posts (3 ) • 4 years 11 month(s) ago
Gentlemen : Just a question or something to ponder : after the Lions were screwed by the refs on Monday night, will the refs look to "show favoritism" to the Lions this week . And/or look to screw over the Packers this week ? ? 0 3

	Karensman • 11 Posts (3 ) • 4 years 11 month(s) ago - hide
Gentlemen : Just a question or something to ponder : after the Lions were screwed by the refs on Monday night, will the refs look to "show favoritism" to the Lions this week . And/or look to screw over the Packers this week ? ? 0 3

	TED BUNDY (Anonymous Poster) • 4 years 11 month(s) ago
@time to sign THAN THAN THAN. GO BACK TO KINDERGARTEN FOOL 0 1

	Karensman • 11 Posts (3 ) • 4 years 11 month(s) ago - hide
Gentlemen : Just a question or something to ponder : after the Lions were screwed by the refs on Monday night, will the refs look to "show favoritism" to the Lions this week . And/or look to screw over the Packers this week ? ? 0 3

	BCE INC (Anonymous Poster) • 4 years 11 month(s) ago
@chuckster YOU’RE A CREEP SON. YOU BIATCH ASS TEASER MUST AVE WON YOU 50 CENTS SON. GO GET SOME BUBBLE GUM SON. GO JERK OFF TO THE REFS SON 0 1

	Karensman • 11 Posts (3 ) • 4 years 11 month(s) ago - hide
Gentlemen : Just a question or something to ponder : after the Lions were screwed by the refs on Monday night, will the refs look to "show favoritism" to the Lions this week . And/or look to screw over the Packers this week ? ? 0 3

	time to sign • 630 Posts (473 ) • 4 years 11 month(s) ago
@Karensman The NFL refs love Brady than there is a gap than they love Rodgers than there is a gap to the rest of the league. Some thought that NOS would get favourable calls against the LAR earlier this year after the championship game stuff but the refs took away a TD from NOS with their incompetence. The NFL refs are not competent enough to try and help one team over the other. 1 0

	Karensman • 11 Posts (3 ) • 4 years 11 month(s) ago - hide
Gentlemen : Just a question or something to ponder : after the Lions were screwed by the refs on Monday night, will the refs look to "show favoritism" to the Lions this week . And/or look to screw over the Packers this week ? ? 0 3

	GangGang (Anonymous Poster) • 4 years 11 month(s) ago
@Karensman To me if the NFL was gonna play into and fix a side I’d think lions will prob be the ones to get that. Considering they are the ones that lost due to it. It makes lions vs Minnesota all the more reason to lean heavy on lions. 0 0

	Karensman • 11 Posts (3 ) • 4 years 11 month(s) ago - hide
Gentlemen : Just a question or something to ponder : after the Lions were screwed by the refs on Monday night, will the refs look to "show favoritism" to the Lions this week . And/or look to screw over the Packers this week ? ? 0 3

	$$$$ (Anonymous Poster) • 4 years 11 month(s) ago
@Peter Griffen It also brought the full game under. Not to mention the pack half time line closed at 4.5 and the second half under hit... 1 0

	Karensman • 11 Posts (3 ) • 4 years 11 month(s) ago - hide
Gentlemen : Just a question or something to ponder : after the Lions were screwed by the refs on Monday night, will the refs look to "show favoritism" to the Lions this week . And/or look to screw over the Packers this week ? ? 0 3

	chuckster • 346 Posts (316 ) • 4 years 11 month(s) ago
@Peter Griffen: Lions shot themselves in the foot the entire game. They ended up with ONE touchdown and FIVE field goals.... The Lions "screwed" themselves. As did the Packers to themselves for quarters 2, 3 and 4. No doubt a bad call(s,)...happens almost every game for every team through the season. GL going forward. 2 3

	Karensman • 11 Posts (3 ) • 4 years 11 month(s) ago - hide
Gentlemen : Just a question or something to ponder : after the Lions were screwed by the refs on Monday night, will the refs look to "show favoritism" to the Lions this week . And/or look to screw over the Packers this week ? ? 0 3

	Peter Griffen (Anonymous Poster) • 4 years 11 month(s) ago
@Karensman neither. Garauntee that none of those refs will ref either of these teams again this season. Those refs needs to be investigated. The hands to the face was total BS flag to give the pack a win. Nothing against the pack but lions got screwed over. Refs don't want to be scrutinised so being favorable will lend them in a hot seat again. 0 0

Karensman • 11 Posts (3

) •
4 years 11 month(s) ago

@Tyler Two I agree with you that the Wash. Foreskins shouldn't be favored on the road. Hell does anybody know who their qb is going to be ? I know that the Dolphins are trying to "mail in their season" but they can still win a few games and still be likely to get a top draft choice. Miami in October can be a strange place to play, not all NFL teams handle the heat & humidity. Plus the Dolphins are coming off a bye so their players are more rested and less banged up.This looks like a game to avoid.

Karensman • 11 Posts (3

) •
5 years 0 month(s) ago

@Walter: Good luck this year, I enjoy reading your selections and analysis. I would like to make a comment on your analysis of the Bear-Packer game. I am a long time Bear fan and I am confused by your assessment of Adrian Amos and Bryce Callahan as being elite players. Most Bear fans would classify them [ especially Callahan ] as mediocre. Amos is a solid run stuffing safety, he became effective when the Bears added Eddie Jackson an all pro safety to cover the deep throws. Having an outstanding pass rush also helped. That said I'm not interested in betting this game because of Aaron Rodgers. The percentages say that a bettor should always take an elite quarterback getting points. Anyway thanks and good luck. By the way, how did you find out that Miami will be wearing their white jerseys ? I'm interested in finding out if Tampa and Jacskonville will be wearing white also.