Round 2
I won't be putting alternative options in my Round 2 mocks, as its so hard to predict from this point. My commentary will also start getting a bit shorter.
Smith is a name commonly associated with the Steelers, and they have a real need for a run stuffing nose tackle. Smith could have some off-field issues (he was arrested for illegal weapon possession in '22) but he has two years of excellent tape and would be a big upgrade. He could sneak into the 1st round due to his impressive athleticism, but he's a 2-down player in the NFL.
The Texans need to draft multiple defensive linemen. Adebawore has had one of the biggest rises of anyone in the pre-draft process, and feels destined to be a top-50 pick. He would be an high-upside 4-3 3-tech in the NFL, and could probably play 3-4 base end too. Some call him versatile; others a tweener.
Cornerback is a realistic possibility if the Cardinals trade down with - say - the Titans. If not, they have to draft a CB early in the draft. Apart from Marco Wilson, I have never heard of any of their other rostered cornerbacks. Stevenson has the chance to sneak into the 1st round, but feels like a love/hate prospect. I'm personally a bit lower on him than this site is, and think he's more of a 2nd round prospect, but this is a decent range for him.
The Colts' hallmark used to be their offensive line, but it was truly abysmal in '22. Quenton Nelson is honestly the only safe starter. On the other side of the line they definitely need a better starting guard. Torrence has a realistic chance to go in the 20's, but has had a weak pre-draft process. He's an elite blocker but is big and could have conditioning issues at the next level. He appears to be better as a gap blocker than a zone one, but he'd be terrific value here.
The Rams could draft literally any player the deem BPA, as far as I'm concerned. They are in contention for being the worst team in the NFL after selling their soul (and all their cap space/draft capital) for the '21 Super Bowl. If I were LA, I'd focus on premium positions with their capital this year. Hall is a rising player who feels like a solid 2nd round 3-4 OLB. He'd be a good fit for the Rams.
The Seahawks have vastly improved their O-line, but they need a better center. Recently signed underrated IOL Evan Brown will probably play guard, and the Seahawks reportedly have high interested in Michael Schmitz. I think he's a high floor, low ceiling player, but at center that's not necessarily a bad thing. He appears to be plug and play.
Jermaine Eluemunor was solid at RT last year, but their need at least two IOL upgrade. Avila has a "bad body", but is one of my draft crushes on Day 2. I wouldn't even hate it if he snuck into Round 1, although that's unrealistic. Avila is a guard for the next level who has center versatility. He has tremendous tape and feels like a high floor player at the next lever.
Brian Burns is tremendous, but they need more defenders who can profile as 3-4 OLB types now they've transitioned their scheme. White is a bit overrated as a potential 1st rounder, but I like him in the 35-50 range as a high upside edge rusher. White has a tremendous skill-set, but was never dominant in college.
This is good value, but I am not certain Mayer is a sure-fire 1st round prospect. He's a good tight end but has some limitations and feels like a bit of a jack of all trades, master of none. Still, the Saints need better tight end play. Adam Trautman is not a difference maker.
Treylon Burks has talent, but they could do with more help at receiver - if they don't make the plunge in Round 1. Mingo is an underrated prospect who could go top-50. Charlie reports that teams think he's a starting X-receiver in the NFL, which is a terrific use of a 2nd round pick.
It's highly unlikely the Jets maintain both these picks due to the impending Rodgers trade. If they do, they could do with a linebacking upgrade. Campbell has a high floor, low ceiling quality to him, but he's a very safe player and my personal LB1 in this notoriously weak linebacking class.
The Jets need a new starting center. Tippman is quite tall for an IOL, but is more athletic than John Michael Schmitz and probably has more upside. His floor is lower too, though.
The Falcons aren't done at receiver. Drake London had a good rookie season, but they could do with some more speed with their WR2. Tillman didn't play much in '22 and was utilised weirdly because of Hyatt, but he's an underrated player and the better NFL prospect of the two Tennessee receivers for the NFL in my opinion. Tillman shouldn't escape the 2nd round.
Many are mocking a Tight End to the Packers at pick No. 15; it would make for more sense to do that here. Washington is a physical freak. He may not be a 700+ yard receiving tight end at the next level, but he's a 6th offensive lineman who is athletic for his size and can be largely excused for his production due to being behind future top-16 pick Brock Bowers at Georgia. Anywhere else, he'd have been more productive
The Patriots like their big O-lineman, and they don't come much bigger than Jones. I think Round 1 is a big rich for Jones, and he's a RT only for the NFL, but he was dominant at the senior bowl and played well in '22. He deserves a look-in around this range for the right team. Riley Reiff is a stop-gap solution for New England.
The Commanders have a lot of rostered tight ends, but most of them are blocker. Logan Thomas has been a huge disappointment since signing and extension. Musgrave was injured for most of '22, but showcased his pass catching TE ability. He's expected to be one of the many TE's expected to go in the first 2 rounds.
The Lions need linebacking help quite badly. I prefer Henley as a pure ILB prospect, but Sanders is very athletic and has pass rushing potential. I like Sanders as Hassan Reddick-type 4-3 OLB who can blitz a lot. He's also an adequare "pure" linebacker, although still developing in that regard. 1st round feels rich, but this would be decent value.
The Steelers need to address CB at some point. It could be with pick No. 17 if the right CB falls, but they have 3 top-50 picks so have time to wait for the board. This would be decent value for Cam Smith. Commonly projected as a 1st rounder prior to the combine, he's been slipping quite a bit in recent weeks and could slide as far as the 3rd round. However, he's a sticky cornerback who would be a terrific press corner and fits the Steelers' M.O. nicely.
Antoine Winfield Jr. is an outstanding strong safety, but they don't have a viable free safety next to him. Johnson flew under the radar a bit in '22 after a good, but not amazing season. He had high 1st round potential but now feels more of a solid Day 2 choice. Still, Johnson is one of the more talented players the Bucs could take in this sort of range.
The Dolphins - on paper - have the best roster in the NFL, in my opinion. They are loaded on both sides of the ball, and if Tua can stay healthy, they'll be AFC Championship favourites. The question is - can he stay healthy? The Dolphins OL is slowly improving, but the have a hole at RT. Austin Jackson is a bust, and may not make the roster, yet he's their current "starting" RT. That cannot be. Freeland is more of a 3rd round prospect, but he's getting a lot of hype as a top-50 prospective pick for the right team. He projects best as a zone blocker, so I really like the fit for Miami.
Jordyn Brooks has done well for Seattle, but he's coming off an ACL and may not play much in '23. Bobby Wagner is coming towards the end of his career, and I think they could do with some youth at linebacker. Henley is one of my Day 2 draft crushes who is close to my LB1. He does everything pretty well and has a lot of upside.
Anudike-Uzomah could easily go earlier than this. Still being mocked at the tail of the 1st round by some, that feels a bit too soon for me, but he could go top-40 quite easily, so this would be awesome value. The Bears need to draft heavily along the defensive line, and should do so early in the draft.
Kenneth Murray was a player I was very high on, but he was a complete bust and shouldn't be on the roster. Drue Tranquill also left for divisional rivals KC. They need better linebacking help to improve their dire run defense. Simpson is an athletic linebacker who is still a bit raw but has a great physical skill-set and some balance between being decent in coverage and in pass rush, although he's not elite at either.
I think Bresee is incredibly overrated, but he's a good athlete and had a lot stacked against him last year. The Lions ideally need a better option at 3-tech, and this sort of range makes more sense for Bresee than late first. He's a boom or bust player who could either be the steal of the '23 class or out of the league by the end of his rookie deal.
Kelee Ringo is another player who is insanely overrated, although the media has mostly caught onto this by now, unlike Bresee. Teams have Day 2 grades on Ringo, and even this is a bit early for him - I consider him a 3rd round prospect. Nevertheless, Ringo would be a decent fit for Jacksonville. He's a similar profile as Tyson Campbell, who has excelled for Jacksonville. Ringo is press only for the next level, and his play has not matched his skill-set thus far.
Unless they get lucky, the Giants would be making a huge reach on a receiver in Round 1 if the consensus top-4 are gone. It makes more sense to take a Tennessee receiver or Mingo here. In this mock, Hyatt is the last man out. Hyatt wont the Biletnikoff Award, but is a bit of a one-trick pony for the NFL who will need to use more than sheer speed to get past NFL defenders. He disappointed at the combine, and is sliding.
It seems almost conditional that the Cowboys have have "Ty" in the first name of any offensive lineman they take. Tyler Smith, Tyler Biadacz, Tyron Smith...in all seriousness, the Cowboys have a huge hole at guard the other side of Zach Martin. Steen feels like a prime OT to G candidate for the NFL. He's a really solid player with multiple years of quality college tape, and feels like a Day 1 starter at guard. He can play RT, too, which fills the Cowboys' flexibility criteria. He's an Alabama alumnus, but Trevon Diggs broke the trend of "no Crimson Tide in Dallas".
The Bills' OL is rapidly declining. Here is a versatile player who could theoretically play all 5 positions, but translates much better as a guard or center in the NFL than tackle. He'd be a huge upgrade and good value this far in the 2nd round.
The Bengals secondary is okay, but very thin. Cam Taylor Britt was decent as a rookie, but they have multiple mid-level veterans towards the end of their deals (Awuzie, Hilton), and needed an upgrade from Eli Apple anyway. At safety, Dax Hill is going to go from redshirt rookie to full time starter, which could be rough in the early going. Another corner to sure up the back of their defense would help. Brents is one of the bigger corners in this draft class, and would immediately provide boundary starting upside. He's a top-50 player on my big board.
The Bears could conceivably draft a tackle as high as No. 9 overall, which would theoretically finish off their offensive line. Duncan is raw, but he has one of the better skill-sets in this class. Skill-set alone, Duncan is a top-20 prospect. Unfortunately, he is very raw with some green, almost bad tape. He needs a year to develop before being a full-time starter, but the ability is absolutely there.
The Eagles lost Miles Sanders in free agency. I like Kenny Gainwell, but he's far from a bellcow back. Achane would be a solid option this far into the 2nd round. He's a blisteringly fast running back who is also a pass game asset.
The Chiefs need more edge rush help, but I think the best player available to them who could help them right away is Quan Martin. Martin could easily go earlier than this, as he's a very talented free safety with corner versatility and quality tape. He helped himself a lot at the combine. This would be an A+ pick from me.