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17 Comments (last 3 days)

Most Recent 5

View Original Post: -https://walterfootball.com/nflpicks2024_01early.php
Mr. Bitter 403 Posts (430 )
1 hour(s) 54 minute(s) ago

@WFDevTeam 

Can only speak for myself, but here's what I think:

The "BAL's secondary is weak" angle is incorrect. Has been for a while. Boundary CB Brandon Stephens alone is the weak link - maybe on the entire team. Walt's "The Bills are better than the Ravens" take - while defiantly bold - is untrue. It's untrue by every offensive and defensive metric, and it's untrue if you simply look at the roster talent position-by-position. And this is all before factoring in John Harbaugh's historic road playoff record (#1 in road playoff wins and road playoff win % in NFL history), BUF's recent trouble TCB at home in the divisional round, and the fact that BUF's run-funnel, light box defensive scheme is the exact opposite of what you want to contain Jackson/Henry. The Ravens are an awful schematic matchup for the Bills defense and it's hardly mentioned in his writeup because he's too busy with Group A/Group B hocus pocus.

Walt's BUF>BAL play is largely based on that Group A/Group B stuff - which is inherently flawed because what teams are good on any given week is totally fluid, and it's too easy to leave out pertinent facts that don't fit your argument. (Such as the fact that BAL is 8-3 against playoff teams and would be 10-1 had it not been for Justin Tucker missing three kicks in two of those games. I can go a step further in that "what if" game: BAL would have entered the playoffs 15-2 had Tucker just been his usually reliable self and had Kyle Hamilton not dropped a sure game-ending Jameis Winston INT that hit him between the numbers vs. CLE back in October.)

Sure, Walt could eventually be right about a BAL opponent winning by targeting and burning Stephens, but that only happens if Stephens is matched up against a reliable boundary deep threat. BUF is actually an easier matchup for Stevens than PIT in that regard because Wilson-to-Pickens deep stuff is largely how PIT won through the air, whereas BUF is more about efficient over-the-middle feeds to Shakir/Samuel/TEs and a healthy dose of Superman stuff from Josh Allen. (This actually plays right into the R. Smith/Humphrey/Hamilton strength of BAL's defense.) Basically, you're banking on Keon Coleman and/or Mack Hollins to step up and give Stephens the business. Possible, but a very shaky bet.

One also has to assume that opponent controls the BAL ground game, which even the best run defenses haven't been able to do all season. Like, not at all. PIT wasn't the team to do it, and neither is BUF. Milano's presence won't change that. Milano is obviously compromised and has been mostly awful since his return. His 56.6 PFF run D grade is 148th/189 LBs, and his 48.0 overall LB grade is 161st/189 LBs, and all that is after his 86.3 grade vs. DEN - a game where Milano's role was almost purely to spy Bo Nix. If BUF uses Milano to spy Lamar Jackson, Jackson is going to break Milano's ankles and rush for 100 yards.

View Original Post: -https://walterfootball.com/nflpicks2024_01early.php
WFDevTeam 73 Posts (20 )
4 hour(s) 47 minute(s) ago
What is the consensus in this comment section on the primary reason Walt missed on his Pit Bal pick last week?  Was he more wrong about Pit or Bal?    I think he may still be proven right about the Ravens defense and Pit just simply wasn't the team do it.  
View Original Post: -https://walterfootball.com/nflteamneeds.php
WFDevTeam 73 Posts (20 )
5 hour(s) 37 minute(s) ago
Can we start a petition to have Aaron Rodgers hop on over to the Giants for next season?  Am I the only one that wants the Aaron Rodgers in NY experience to be completed in this way?
View Original Post: -https://walterfootball.com/draft2024QB.php
arekayone 1 Posts (0)
5 hour(s) 54 minute(s) ago
This WR list is ridiculous.  Pat Bryant from Illinois will be drafted 3rd or 4th round and you don't even have him top 40? He was #2 or #3 in all major receiving categories in the Big Ten (excluding the playoffs which have skewed Smith's and Warren's numbers).  Big catch after big catch all season.
View Original Post: -https://walterfootball.com/draft2025charlie.php
hydeparkartglass 0 Posts (1 )
9 hour(s) 29 minute(s) ago
The Bucs are not wasting a 2nd round pick on OT. They have 2 of the best in the league. Solid swing tackle too. Needs are ILB, OLB, CB and DT

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