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6 Comments (last 3 days)
Most Recent 5
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The Bills had as many penalties as the Jets. Tyler Bass missed a FG and an XP. BUF has an injury-depleted defense, a hodgepodge of crap like Mack Hollins and Curtis Samuel at WR and a backup RB, yet would have beat the Jets by double digits on the road if not for a Hail Mary. Risk/reward offseason signings (Mike Williams, Tyron Smith, Haason Reddick, Javon Kinlaw) that the Jets were counting on to patch up weaknesses along the starting lineup have been more detriment than asset. The Jets are already on their second HC for chrissake. Ulbrich seemed in over his head vs. BUF. So NY replaced one "good DC, shouldn't be a HC" with another one. Wonderful. The Jets shouldn't be in the top-15 right now, let alone the top-10. |
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If I remember right you called the falcons overated and picked agaisnt them weekly during their superbowl run
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I was in danger of losing not only my par play with the Eagles -9 screwing around (as usual) but my important hedge play against my now defunct par was in jeopardy. I had the Browns +15 start up win hedge teaser early and had the Falcons at pick to hopefully alleviate my par loss. Falcons (pick) finally come out of their coma in the first half and realized who they were playing and took care of business. Leaving me with a net loss of .5 units. Could have been worse. Had the Jets as my third spot par play early last week but of course that's now dust in the wind. Probably going with a 2 team 6.5 point teaser starting tonight with the Jets at +7.5 with one open. Risking 1.20 units to win 1. GLTA tonight. |
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What a great week! Finally, reversion to the mean after 5+ point dogs killed it earlier this season. I havent seen an NFL weekend this normal in a long time.
On to Monday night... |
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View rest of comments over last 3 days
"Deshaun Watson just played his best game of the season"
Watson had 47 yards at halftime and didn't lead a TD drive in the game. Again. His QBR was 34.6, somehow his 2nd highest of the season.
That 11-for-11 3rd-quarter completion streak was just fluky momentum-riding from the Myles Garrett/Rodney McCloud blocked FG/TD that made the halftime score 10-10 instead of PHI up 13-3...and possibly halftime locker room threats from Garrett, who is likely tired of the defense carrying the team.
"Watson had both of his starting tackles on the field for the first time all season"
Like it matters. Watson still took 5 sacks and 10 knockdowns. He's taken 5+ sacks in 4 of 6 starts and 31 sacks this season; 10 more than the next highest number. He took 4 sacks p/game last season with a healthy interior O-line and Wills Jr. in the lineup. He hasn't accounted for even 200 yards or more than one TD in any game this season.
Wills Jr. sucks. He has since his rookie season. He had two false start penalties (including 4th-and-goal) and a 42.4 PFF grade vs. PHI. This is typical Wills Jr. stuff when he's not injured. He was PFF's 56th-ranked OT last season. (51.3)
Conklin (57.9 PFF) is a shell of his former self, just as high-mileage Nick Chubb will assuredly be when he returns from a horrific knee injury and has to run behind the likes of Michael Dunn and Zac Zinter (41.6 PFF).
Fun stats:
The CLE offense (13.5 PPG) is last in the NFL by every imaginable metric, including a 13.8% 3rd-down conversion rate. The offense hasn't scored in it's last 29 drives.
Through six games, Watson is last in the NFL in EPA, QBR, sacks taken and pocket success rate. (Behind Will Levis, mind you.) His pocket success rate (33.3%) is ahead of only David Carr, Josh Rosen, Akili Smith, Blaine Gabbert and JaMarcus Russell this millennium.
Since 2006, of 566 passers graded through weeks 1-6, Watson is ranked:
QBR - 558th
Yards p/drop back - 565th
1st Down Rate - 566th
Three seasons into his 5-year contract, Watson has never thrown for 300 yards and has accounted for 2+ TDs twice.
The Watson signing was a catastrophic blunder and his coaches and teammates know it. (Amari Cooper has 100% checked out.) Watson is absolutely broken and I'm not sure if Anthony Munoz and Jon Ogden would make a difference at this point. Until Watson is benched, this is a bottom-5 team.