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Bawambi
200 Club: African Qualifiers
Published at 11/14/2021
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Been actually overseas for a bit so wasn't able to gamble and on top of that I've been mush with other sports betting but back in the states and starting to hit when I handicap properly again so here goes:

One final note about tie soccer handicapping:  Early season and tournaments seem to be when bet hits more often with one league exception - English Championship - my theory on that is that teams that do better in that league are ones with a strong defensive mindset in the past several years.  I will do an analysis on overall scoring in this league in this space to see if my perception is accurate.

African Qualifying is a little different than other regions as there are only 4 teams in each group.  Therefore, it is easier to predict ties (which pay more) longer within a group.  You are still looking for ties in recent form and no direct favorites within the three bet spread however you CAN play a top team in the group if they are the road team and the goal difference is similar.

Here are 3 (of 4 total) for tomorrow (Monday) that I will play on Draft Kings:

Rwanda (3rd Group E GD -6) @ Kenya (4th Group E GD -6) +220 (Tie) Monday 8AM

Togo (2nd Group H GD -2) @ Namibia (3rd Group H GD -4) +195 (Tie) Monday 8AM

Sudan (4th Group I GD -7) @ Guinea-Bissau (2nd Group I GD -6) +205 (Tie) Monday 11AM

There were some European games I layed off on notably Italy @ Northern Ireland and Ireland @ Luxembourg

they may be close games but I think there is more of a chance of a result in those...maybe play an anytime goalscorer in one of those like Nicolo Barella +230 or Will Keane +240 if you want action in a particular game for example.

Let's see how I did on tomorrow's action..



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