Round 1
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TRADE! Tennessee trades #1 to the Giants for #3, #34, and a 2026 2nd Round pick.
Major changes to this mock after news broke on Friday that Matthew Stafford was staying with the Rams. As I flip-flop back between the Titans keeping this pick and trading it to the Giants, I'm swayed by the fact that the Titans only have one other pick in the top 100, apart from this one. And I think the Giants really like Ward and could be swayed to move in front of Cleveland, who also likes Ward. This could be the big swing that the Schoen/Daboll regime needs to make, and perhaps they'll still try to sign a veteran as a bridge guy.
And since Tennessee knows that the Browns would probably take Sanders, they will still get their guy at #3. And even if the Browns didn't take a QB, the "consolation prize" would be one of Carter/Hunter anyway.
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It doesn't take a genius to figure out that the Watson era in Cleveland was an unmitigated disaster, although the team cobbled together a Wild Card playoff spot in 2023 behind Joe Flacco. They can't really give a veteran QB any kind of decent money in free agency because of the enormous cap hit that Watson has, whether he's on the roster or not. So, as Adam Schefter has pretty much guaranteed, the Browns have to take a QB, similar to what Denver had to go going into last year with Russell Wilson's enormous dead cap hit on their books. If Ward's there, I think he'd be the pick. If not, I believe they'd go with Sanders.
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TRADE! (See #1 for details.)
Tennessee trades down and still comes away with Carter, not to mention the extra draft capital.
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If both Carter and Hunter are gone, the Pats could decide between the top OL, or perhaps Mason Graham. However, in this scenario, Christmas has come early for New England, as 2 QB's have come off the board already.
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Graham fills a need and might be the best value on the board, regardless of position.
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I thought that Stafford was heading for Las Vegas, but it was not to be. I think that the Raiders now turn their attention to Sam Darnold or Justin Fields in free agency, especially since they have no way of knowing for sure whether Sanders will last to #6. As for the pick, Pete Carroll/Chip Kelly teams have relied heavily on the run, and adding the best RB prospect in the draft since Saquon Barkley could have serious appeal, because you'd have the makings of a dangerous offense at the skill positions. The prospect of the new QB throwing to Bowers and Meyers (and a likely veteran WR2 signed in free agency) and handing off to Jeanty might sound pretty good for Raider fans.
By the way, current guess as to the QB: Darnold.
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Olu Fashanu will take over at LT, but both Tyron Smith and Morgan Moses are older free agents who almost certainly will not be back. So there's a RT opening, and new coach Aaron Glenn, though he's a defensive guy, knows firsthand about strong tackle play on the OL with Detroit. I was already ahead of the curve with Membou as my OL2 before the Combine because I knew he would blow it up. He did just that, and now he's getting some OL1 buzz. Let's get aggressive.
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Jalon Walker could be polarizing enough that Williams passes him in the draft pecking order. Charlie is reporting that Williams and Shemar Stewart are in play for this pick.
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Juwan Johnson is a free agent and Taysom Hill (who will be 35 in August) may not play in 2025 due to torn knee ligaments.
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I agree with Nick Guarisco's assessment that the Bears going OL is one of the safest bets of Round 1, and with the entire iOL hitting free agency, Campbell would likely start out at a guard spot as a rookie. It should be noted that Campbell had a strong workout in Indianapolis as well, and he's still firmly in the mix to go as the first OL.
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This pick could come down to a couple of Michigan defenders for John Lynch (Grant or Will Johnson), but I'll side with Grant because Lynch prioritizes the trenches over DB's in the 1st Round.
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I knew Stewart would blow up the Combine, but he tested today as THE best athlete of all DE's tested from 1987 to 2025, for a perfect 10.00 RAS score. (Not a misprint, folks.) Sure, he only had 4.5 sacks in 3 college seasons. But Dane Brugler noted that he did create 39 QB pressures, and the measurables are so tantalizing that perhaps the thought of getting him one-on-one opportunities with Micah Parsons getting double-teamed is too good to pass up here.
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Jordan Poyer and Jevon Holland are both hitting free agency, and rather stunningly, Emmanwori was the second player to post a 10.00 RAS in as many days at the Combine. He has most likely passed Starks as the top safety prospect.
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If one of the top 2 TE's are here, it may be difficult for Chris Ballard to resist.
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Perpetually in need of a pass rush, perhaps the Falcons will listen to reason and go with that need.
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TRADE! Arizona trades #16 and a 2026 4th rounder to the Chargers for #22, #86, and a 2026 3rd rounder.
With Johnson still on the board, Jim Harbaugh comes up to get one of his Michigan guys.