Pat's 2024 Mock 1.0 (FINAL)

published on 4/24/2024


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Round 1

Picks 17-32
17. Jaguars: Terrion Arnold, CB, Alabama

With most of the top receiving talent gone, Jacksonville opts to stick here and take arguably the top corner in this year’s class. The Jaguars failed to replace former starter Darious Williams in free agency, so Arnold will step in to a big role opposite of Tyson Campbell day one. He’ll give the Jags a key piece in the secondary with excellent ball skills and enough athleticism to keep up with the talented receiving groups in the AFC South.


18. Seahawks: Johnny Newton, DT, Illinois

Seattle needs help on the D-Line, even after locking down Leonard Williams. The Dre’Mont Jones signing hasn’t panned out like the Seahawks hoped, and while Newton is undersized, his athleticism will give Seattle plenty to be excited about, as he’s a hard player to block and will make Williams’ job easier, along with the Seahawks’ talented pass rushing group.


19. Rams: Byron Murphy II, DT, Texas

If Murphy makes it this far, it’s a no-brainer pick for Los Angeles. They’ll almost certainly never see a player of Aaron Donald’s caliber again, but pairing a prospect like Murphy with another young standout D-Lineman in Kobie Turner will help take the sting off of that loss.


20. Buccaneers: Laiatu Latu, DE, UCLA

TRADE!
Tampa Bay receives: 2024 Round 1, Pick 20; 2025 5th-round
Pittsburgh receives: 2024 Round 1, Pick 26; 2024 Round 2, Pick 57

If Latu had no injury questions, he’s a top ten pick, but his concerning history is probably going to cause him to slide. Tampa capitalizes here, and Latu will lead a talented pass-rush rotation there, alongside YaYa Diaby and former first-round pick Joe Tryon-Shoyinka.


21. Dolphins: Chop Robinson, OLB/DE, Penn State

Miami already has a great pass-rushing duo in Jaelan Phillips and Bradley Chubb, but they’re both coming off of season-ending injuries and Robinson could form a standout rotation with those two. He might not be super impactful as a starter day one, but that’s why Miami is a great landing spot for him.


22. Eagles: Amarius Mims, OT, Georgia

Mims has an incredible amount of talent, and he’s not exactly a raw prospect, but his limited resume in college will scare some teams away from him. Despite starting only eight games – six of which were against top-level competition–Mims managed to catch scouts’ attention with his clean play (wasn’t flagged once and didn’t allow a sack in college) and his impressive size at 6-foot-7, 340 pounds. He gives Philly a high-upside project to develop behind Lane Johnson.


23. Chargers: Adonai Mitchell, WR, Texas

Despite all of the smoke surrounding a possible fall for Mitchell, I’ll still bet a player as talented as him goes Thursday night. He’ll need to work on his consistency, as he had a concerning tendency to disappear in games at Texas, but he’s a reliable playmaker when he gets the ball. The Chargers will really benefit from adding Mitchell to a room that’s barren after losing Keenan Allen and Mike Williams.


24. Cowboys: Troy Fautanu, G/OT, Washington

Fautanu is a really talented player that should go higher than this, but it’s very hard to predict in what order these teams are going to draft tackles in this loaded class, and he allegedly has some health concerns with his knee.. Fautanu is a strong player who has experience at both tackle and guard, and gives the Cowboys flexibility on the offensive line, whether he’s a long-term replacement for the recently-departed Tyron Smith or the future to Zack Martin, who will turn 34 years old this season.


25. Packers: Cooper DeJean, S/CB, Iowa

DeJean is one of the draft’s most intriguing players, and the Packers would love to pounce on the opportunity to grab a player with his versatility. DeJean offers Green Bay solutions at safety opposite of Xavier McKinney, corner opposite of Jaire Alexander, and an upgrade over Keisean Nixon in the slot. He’s a great run defender and electric with the ball in his hands, which should help him see time on special teams, too.


26. Steelers: Graham Barton, G/OT, Duke

Pittsburgh finally gets its' successor to Maurkice Pouncey, albeit a few years too late. Barton was a tackle most of his time with the Blue Devils, but played center his freshman year with the program. He’s an aggressive run blocker whose tendency to play through the whistle should fit in well with Pat Meyer’s group. Barton should transition inside in the pros seamlessly. The Steelers will still need some help at tackle, but an inside group consisting of Isaac Seumalo, Barton, and James Daniels is a nasty group that should make their 1-2 punch at running back very happy.


27. Cardinals: Prospect not selected

Wiggins might be undersized, but that doesn’t mean he’s not a physical corner. He’s around the football a ton and his athleticism allows him to keep up with receivers. Wiggins’ speed would work well opposite of 2024 free-agent signing Sean Murphy-Bunting in Arizona’s secondary.


27. Cardinals: Nate Wiggins, CB, Clemson

Wiggins might be undersized, but that doesn’t mean he’s not a physical corner. He’s around the football a ton and his athleticism allows him to keep up with receivers. Wiggins’ speed would work well opposite of 2024 free-agent signing Sean Murphy-Bunting in Arizona’s secondary.


28. Bills: Keon Coleman, WR, Florida State

Coleman is a polarizing athlete, and it’s easy to see why–the track record for draft prospects who have a hard time separating hasn’t been great. But Coleman has strong hands: he rarely drops the football and excels at tipping the scales on what should be 50-50 balls. With his ball skills, he’s more reminiscent of a receiver like George Pickens than he his Jalen Reagor, and for that reason, he’s worth the risk for Buffalo in round one.


29. Lions: Zach Frazier, C, West Virginia


29. Lions: Zach Frazier, C, West Virginia

Center isn’t an urgent need yet for the Lions, but Frank Ragnow’s injuries build up with each passing season and it looks more likely than not that his time in Detroit is dwindling. As a result, the Lions grab Frazier here, who projects pretty much exclusively as a center in the NFL. Frazier’s blue-collar work ethic matches up well for what Dan Campbell and Brad Holmes look for in their players, and his football IQ and grittiness on the field make him a high-floor solution at the position.


30. Ravens: Christian Haynes, G, Connecticut

Haynes is on my radar as a guy who could sneak into the very tail end of the opening night of the draft. If he does, the Ravens are a really good match for the Connecticut product–their current projected starters are 2023 7th-round pick Andrew Vorhees and former third-rounder Ben Cleveland, who has been adequate when called upon. Haynes is a phenomenal athlete who has the chance to develop into a special player on the interior of Baltimore’s offensive line.


31. Patriots: Tyler Guyton, OT, Oklahoma

TRADE!
New England receives: 2024 Round 1, Pick 31
San Francisco receives: 2024 Round 2, Pick 34; 2024 Round 3, Pick 103; 2025 5th-round

After securing their QB, the Patriots jump back into the very end of Round 1 to secure one of the last high-end tackle prospects in the draft. Guyton needs some development, but he’ll have time to adjust to the league and hone his skills behind former Steelers starter Chukwuma Okorafor.


32. Chiefs: Kingsley Suamataia, OT, BYU

Kansas City also needs tackle help, as Wanya Morris isn’t going to cut it as Patrick Mahomes’ blind-side blocker. Suamataia may not be a finished product who can play at a Pro Bowl-level day one like recent Chiefs draft picks Creed Humphrey and Trey Smith, but he has the tools to develop into a high-level starter that Kansas City can build around.


Picks 17-32