Nicky V's 2023 Mock Draft, Version 1.1

published on 11/23/2022


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Round 1

Picks 1-16
4. Seahawks: Jalen Carter, DT, Georgia

via Denver
Geno Smith is another player who could earn a big bag this offseason, but considering that this is the first sustained success that Geno's had in his entire career, he has to keep that momentum going with the team that's working for him. So, like Carr, I think he also re-signs with his current team, and they keep improving around him. Pass rush is a weak spot for the Seahawks, so adding someone like Jalen Carter would be a slam dunk for them alongside Uchenna Nwosu.


5. Lions: Bryan Bresee, DT, Clemson

via LA Rams
If C.J. Stroud is available at #5, I'd be tempted to say he goes here, but the Lions biggest weakness is well-known: basically their entire defense, outside of Aidan Hutchinson and Jeff Okaduh if healthy, which is basically his full legal name at this point. Best defensive player available is one of the Clemson linemen, Bryan Bresee or Myles Murphy. Bresee is the more well-rounded, complete player, and that is what I think will make the Lions go for him, since they're a team that's close to competing. The Jared Goff thing can be kicked down the road another year, he's just fine for now. Fix that defense.


7. Eagles: Myles Murphy, DE, Clemson

via New Orleans
It must be nice to have the best roster in the league and still be proud owners of a top ten pick. They have no needs as of right now, though a lot of their defensive line is getting up there in age, and are in contract years, so drafting a raw talent like Myles Murphy could be a strong play. This way, they can re-sign who they can, and then build up Murphy into a starter over a season or two. Murphy has some kinks to work out, but he's a strong run stuffer (which their recent struggles to contain the run without Jordan Davis has shown to be a weakness) and can develop into a more complete pass rusher.


8. Texans: C.J. Stroud, QB, Ohio State

via Cleveland
Keep in mind, this is a no-trade mock. The Texans would shit bricks if C.J. Stroud were still on the board at #8, and they would sprint to the podium and announce the pick themselves if that happened. Stroud is a big bodied thrower with great arm strength, a high football IQ, and plenty of mobility. On a rebuilding offense like Houston's, he could be asked to improvise early and often. Plus, since they'd still have an emerging star in Dameon Pierce in the backfield, that means Stroud doesn't have to throw 50 times a game as a rookie. Plus, using one of the Watson picks to grab their new QB of the future just feels right.


9. Cardinals: Kelee Ringo, CB, Georgia

This Cardinals team feels like it's seconds away from a total Square 1 restart. Kliff Kingsbury is on borrowed time, and it feels like the team could use a new identity. Their only starting caliber corner, Byron Murphy, is on an expiring contract, and they really need a compliment to him at the very least. Ringo brings a rare bit of physicality to the position that comes from a converted linebacker, and that sounds like someone a new coach or coordinator could build around.


11. Jaguars: Rasheed Walker, OT, Penn State

REPLACE RASHEED WALKER WITH Olumuyiwa Fashanu

The Jaguars have been slowly, but steadily improving the last few years, and could be a year away from playoff contention. That can be expediated if A) Trent Baalke leaves, and B) they find a franchise left tackle. Cam Robinson has been mid for several years, and Jawaan Taylor is a free agent. Move Robinson to the right side, and slot Olu Fashanu into that left tackle spot. He can hold down the line there, and hopefully help the Jags get to that next level.


12. Jets: Will Levis, QB, Kentucky

This feels like a story destined to end badly, doesn't it? Zach Wilson has proven himself to not only be unreliable as a leader of men, but also just downright bad through a season and a half as the unquestioned starter, drawing unfavorable comparisons to Ryan Leaf and Johnny Manziel. Let's question that starter status. Levis might be the most pro-ready quarterback in this draft class, since Kentucky ran an offense coordinated by former NFL OCs. He's got a massive arm and can run for firsts with ease, the two biggest traits that scouts are looking for in today's NFL. You put that on a team that might be a quarterback away from success, and suddenly the Jets are looking dangerous.


13. Packers: Jaxon Smith-Njigba, WR, Ohio State

"ALRIGHT FINE AARON, WE'LL GIVE YOU A WIDE RECEIVER, ARE YOU HAPPY NOW?" Both Christian Watson and Romeo Doubs have both shown flashes of potential this season, but they need a #1 guy that Aaron Rodgers can put his trust in again, and that can be Jaxon Smith-Njigba. JSN has been hobbled for most of the season so far, but he was the best receiver in the entire country last season, and think of all the good rookie receivers in the League this year that that stacks him up against. He got the raw speed and playmaking ability to be an instant #1 receiver.


14. Falcons: Tyree Wilson, DE, Texas Tech

Last year, the Falcons got a pretty good find in the second with Arnold Ebiketie to help with their anemic pass rush, and he has had a noticeable impact. Unfortunately, he's one of only three Falcons with more than one sack through 11 games. Yikes. Yea, pass rush is still a big problem for them, so Tyree Wilson could be a play here. This guy gives me the same vibes Jordan Davis got last year: an absolute physical monster who's going to be the talk of the Combine and launch up the board, maybe into top 10 range, before settling cozily into the top 15. The Falcons would be getting a steal here in Wilson.


15. Patriots: Jordan Addison, WR, USC

I think we need to just accept that we have no fucking clue what the Patriots are gonna do, and that's ok. For now, let's just assume that the Pats take the best player still available, which happens to include a position of need in Jordan Addison. USC's become a wide receiver powerhouse as of late with Drake London, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Michael Pittman, and Juju Smith-Schuster all wearing Trojan colors, and Addison seems like the next in that lineage. He's a bit of an elite slot receiver type who excels at finding the holes in the defense and getting the ball in that spot. Although, knowing them, they'll probably take a long snapper from Guam State or something.


16. Lions: Cam Smith, CB, South Carolina

The Lions should continue to bolster their ailing defense with a corner to give Jeff Okudah a strong partner, and take the #1 job should Okudah get hurt again. Cam Smith has reached the status in college football were people just stopped throwing to his side of the field, and that's when you know you've ascended. Explosive, lengthy, and smart all describe Smith well, and he could make the Lions a little more scary to throw on.


17. Colts: Broderick Jones, OT, Georgia

The Colts could absolutely be in the market for a quarterback, but the second tier of quarterbacks (Anthony Richardson, Hendon Hooker, Tanner McKee) just feel a little too raw for a first, especially when the Colts have plenty of other problems, like for instance along the offensive line. This was supposed to be their biggest strength, but it's crumbled around them this year, and left Matt Ryan to fight for his life in the pocket. Broderick Jones could easily slide into either the left tackle or right guard slot with minimal prep time.


18. Giants: Joey Porter Jr., CB, Penn State

This is another team that could look at quarterback, since Daniel Jones is playing for his job, however, I think they'll make a play for Lamar Jackson, and failing that, they could snag any number of capable stopgaps that would probably be better than Daniel Jones (Jimmy G, Geno Smith, Taylor Heinicke, etc). They only have two, COUNT 'EM: TWO, interceptions through ten games, tied for worst in the league with New Orleans. Much like his old man, Joey Porter Jr.'s a great tackler in space, and is one of the better cover corners in this draft class.


19. Chargers: Christian Gonzalez, CB, Oregon

J.C. Jackson is looking like a big ol' bust-a-roo in his short stint so far with the Chargers, and even if he rebounds soon, another corner to help in that department would still be huge. Christian Gonzalez ends off this mini-run of corners and is someone who's rising up draft boards. He plays very intelligently, never allowing his receiver to even sniff an opening, and having the ideal size that one looks for at the cornerback position.


20. Buccaneers: Bijan Robinson, RB, Texas

Running backs are back, baby! The two odds-on favorites for Rookie of the Year this year are Kenneth Walker and Dameon Pierce, and if he hadn't got hurt earlier this season, Breece Hall would be in that conversation too. The Buccaneers have the worst rushing offense in the league, and it actually feels worse than that. Robinson is the best running back prospect since Ezekiel Elliott, and running back is far and away the biggest hole in their team that can be filled at this spot (O-line can be resolved in the second round). A strong run game extends Tom Brady's career, and by extension, the Bucs' playoff window.


21. Commanders: Michael Mayer, TE, Notre Dame

I think it's time we come to the tragic consensus that Logan Thomas is not a consistent starting TE1. He's hurt way too often, and he's only a decent tight end even if he does see the field all season. Michael Mayer is someone who could actually go a couple of places higher up, like the Packers, Giants, or Colts, but Washington feels like the first place where he satisfies an area of need, without other players in this range feeling like a bigger priority. Whoever is throwing for Washington next season could use a big bodied target, who loves to block and runs super crispy routes. Mayer ticks all the boxes you want from a top-tier tight end.


Picks 1-16